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Next College Football Coach Fired Odds: Danny Gonzalez On The Hot Seat

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

Dan Kilbridge  | 5 mins

Next College Football Coach Fired Odds: Danny Gonzalez On The Hot Seat

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It doesn’t take long for the college football coaching carousel to start its unforgiving rotation. 

Every team begins the season with a clean slate and new goals to achieve, whatever those may be. It’s a time for optimism and excitement for most. 

For a few programs around the country, it’s a different vibe. A handful of unfortunate coaches know the deal when practice gets underway whether they’d like to admit it or not. They know the clock is ticking and the goodwill is running low. It’s time to win, now. Their jobs depend on it. 


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University officials and athletic directors have been much quicker to move on leadership changes in recent years – Scott Frost (Nebraska), Herm Edwards (Arizona State), Geoff Collins (Georgia Tech), Paul Chryst (Wisconsin) and Karl Dorrell (Colorado) were all fired before the sixth game of the 2022 season. 

Those set the dominos in place for the rest of the year and the offseason, and schools know they need to act fast given the nature of today’s coaching search market. That’s a tough reality of the business these days, and it won’t be long before the first major move once the 2023 season kicks off. 

With that in mind, Bookies.com handicapper gives his hypothetical college football odds on the next coach fired* in 2023.

*List is comprised of coaches on the hot seat for on-field performance only

Next College Football Coach Fired Odds

CoachSchoolOddsImplied Probability
Danny GonzalezNew Mexico+25028.6%
Dino BabersSyracuse+40020%
Tom AllenIndiana+60014.3%
Sam PittmanArkansas+80011.1%
Justin WilcoxCalifornia+10009.1%
Tony ElliottVirginia+12007.7%
Jeff HafleyBoston College+20004.8%

Odds hypothetical and aren't reflective of odds on any legal betting sites or betting apps.

Danny Gonzalez, New Mexico +250

The dominos are finally starting to fall. We finally saw our first pair of coaches fired for on-field reasons this season in Texas A&M's Jimbo Fisher and Mississippi State's Zach Arnett. There will surely be more to follow. 

We're somewhat surprised that Gonzalez has lasted this long. It was the same old story over the weekend in a blowout loss at Boise State, and it's just not working out. 

The Lobos got smoked again two weeks ago, failing to compete in a 56-14 loss to UNLV. That came after a game in which New Mexico was close to a pick 'em at Nevada and immediately fell behind, trailing 24-0 at the half before scoring a few points to make the final score look more competitive than it was. Now it feels like it's only a matter of time before the Lobos make a change. 

Gonzales has had plenty of chances to buy some goodwill this season, falling short at almost every opportunity. 

Despite the lone conference win three weeks ago, the Lobos are now 4-25 in the Mountain West under Gonzales. Time to switch it up.

Dino Babers, Syracuse +400

Babers did finally get a win as the Orange snapped a five-game losing streak in a win over Pittsburgh. But Pat Narduzzi's seat isn't exactly comfortable either and beating the Panthers doesn't change Babers' long-term outlook. 

This is the second straight season in which Babers coached himself off the hot seat with a great start, only to come crashing back down again in the second half of the season. We had Babers high on our list to start the 2023 season, prior to a 4-0 start for the Orange. It's been all downhill since. 

That five-game losing streak included back-to-back losses to lowly Virginia Tech and Boston College. It's the same old story as last year, when the Orange started 6-0 before dropping five straight games. And it's probably time for some tough conversations for the once-proud Orange program. 

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Tom Allen, Indiana +600

Allen was in the top spot two weeks ago, but we gave him a bit of breathing room after a surprising 20-14 home win over Wisconsin. Now he's moving back up the board after an overtime loss to Illinois, one of many games the Hoosiers know they need to win in order to take a step up back into the middle of the Big Ten pack. 

We can't fault the effort and the team hasn't quit on Allen yet, with the Hoosiers competing hard in a close loss to Penn State three weeks ago.

We figured Allen would survive until December given that expectations aren't exactly sky-high in Bloomington, but it was an especially tough start to the year. There were a few promising signs recently, but nothing that suggests Allen is poised to take Indiana to the next level. 

Allen might not be in the Hoosiers' plans for 2024 regardless of what happens over the next two weeks, but it's looking like he'll survive the season at least.

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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.