In a season-opening matchup against FCS Eastern Washington, UNLV came away with an embarrassing home loss. Meanwhile, Arizona State head coach Herm Edwards said his team’s 27-point win over FCS Southern Utah was “embarrassing football.” So that’s where these two schools are at right now.

Expectations are much higher for the Sun Devils, and that’s certainly reflected in the current college football odds. Arizona State is favored by more than four touchdowns against UNLV ahead of Saturday’s game at Sun Devil Stadium at 7:30 p.m. local time (10:30 p.m. ET).

The Sun Devils couldn’t cover as massive favorites last time, and the Rebels are getting more points on the spread than they’ve seen since Sept. 23, 2017 at Ohio State. With legal sports betting in Arizona now live, check out our college football picks for this matchup before placing your wagers.

Odds are current as of publication. Betting sites may indicate odds changes closer to kickoff.

5 Key UNLV vs Arizona State Stats

Discipline needs to be there: Why did Edwards call Arizona State’s win “embarrassing”? A big reason was their 13 penalties, the most the Sun Devils have committed in a game since 2010. On the plus side, 11 of those came in the first half, so perhaps they have already made the necessary adjustments.

Running wild: All six Sun Devil scores came on the ground last week, which is no coincidence. With a mobile quarterback and four returnees on the offensive line, Arizona State wants to power through its opponents.

Win-free since ‘19: UNLV went 0-6 in its shortened season last year (losing by 13-plus points each game), and of course the Rebels lost in Week 1 of this season. That means they haven’t won since Nov. 30, 2019.

The FCS team was favored: Just so you’re aware of the state of UNLV football right now, it’s worth noting that Eastern Washington was a 2.5-point road favorite against the Rebels in Week 1. Perhaps UNLV’s silver lining is that they covered in a 35-33 (OT) defeat.

Just cramps for Daniels: Arizona State quarterback Jayden Daniels left last week’s game early, which drew some suspicion of injury. It turns out he was dealing with cramps, and that shouldn’t have any effect on his availability for Saturday.

UNLV vs. Arizona State Weather Forecast

It’s the desert, and it’s hot. Tempe, Arizona, will see temperatures hovering around 100 degrees on Saturday night with limited wind and zero chance of precipitation.

UNLV vs Arizona State Moneyline

Look, stranger things have happened, but Arizona State is in excellent shape to win this game. As such, sportsbooks aren’t giving them any straight-up value whatsoever (-10000).

Sure, you can bet on the Sun Devils and likely earn an infinitesimal return. Or if you have a few bucks you can live without, take a stab at UNLV. But we’d prefer to stay away from this action.

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UNLV vs Arizona State Point Spread

Take a look at UNLV’s college football betting past, and you’ll see they aren’t afforded this much cushion very often. Yes, they’ve been underdogs for almost three consecutive years’ worth of games, but not like this. As 31.5-point underdogs on betting apps, we see some value.

The line has already shifted by one point and the vig has slid from -110 to -114. So we aren’t the only ones who see an opportunity here. Arizona State was 18 points short of covering a 45-point spread last week, and we think they’ll come up short this time, too. You can take the bet at BetMGM .

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UNLV vs Arizona State Totals

Both teams cleared the 54.5-point total in their opening games, and we think that should happen again. Arizona State has the potential to be dominant with its ground attack, and UNLV gave a late flash of what it can do offensively by scoring three times in the fourth quarter against Eastern Washington.

The Sun Devils should accrue the lion’s share of the game’s points, but together the Over is quite attainable. Take the Over 53-points bet at DraftKings .

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