• Bookies
  • MLB
  • MLB Picks
  • Astros vs Rays Picks, ALCS Odds & Complete Betting Guide
Most Valuable Offer

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Visit site
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

Astros vs Rays Picks, ALCS Odds & Complete Betting Guide

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 3 mins

Astros vs Rays Picks, ALCS Odds & Complete Betting Guide

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Visit site
Used 12 Times Today
Popular in Virginia
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

The Houston Astros finished the regular season with a losing record. They dealt with hisses and intentional beaning all season. They lost ace Gerrit Cole to free agency and Justin Verlander to injury. But here they are, four wins from reaching another World Series.

The Astros and Tampa Bay Rays face off in the American League Championship Series. Game 1 is Sunday at Petco Park in San Diego. Houston is the underdog in the latest MLB odds.

Experience counted for the Astros, the defending American League champions who despite their subpar year are back in the ALCS for the fourth consecutive year. It’s the first championship series since 2008 for the top-seeded Rays.

CHECK OUT & BOOKMARK: Daily Expert MLB Picks Throughout The Playoffs

ALCS Astros vs Rays Odds & Pick

THE ODDS: Rays -167, Astros +135

The great thing about the baseball postseason is any team that gets hot can make a run. That’s the case with the Astros, who were averaging just 3.8 runs per game in September; only the Pirates scored fewer. But against Oakland’s top-shelf corps, the Astros plated 8.8 rpg over five games.

As great as Oakland’s pitching was, the Tampa staff takes it up a notch. The Rays earned the No. 1 seed in the AL with their arms. They ranked just 12th in MLB in scoring and 14th in home runs, however their pitchers ranked third in overall ERA and they have three aces in Tyler Glasnow, Blake Snell and Charlie Morton.

RELATED: Our Betting Guide To The Dodgers-Braves NLCS Series

The hot/cold Rays bats scored seven-plus runs in three of their seven playoff games, but three runs or less in the other four. They went 2-2 when they scored three or less; 3-0 when they didn’t.

The Rays had to use up Glasnow in Game 5 to advance. That means less of him vs. Houston. That could loom large. But Tampa’s depth is too much, its strategies too diverse, its options too numerous. Houston needs its bats to beat you. The Rays (40-20 in the regular season) have found myriad ways to beat everyone.

THE PICK: Rays in 6

No Sweat First Bet Up To $1,000 + An All Sport SGP Insurance

Visit site
Used 63 Times Today
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

3 NLCS Betting Tips

1. Homers Uptick: The Astros bashed 12 homers in the five-game NLDS, tying the A’s for a record. The Padres proved this season that Petco can be a HR park when HR-hitting teams embrace it – the Yankees and Rays combined for 21 homers in five games at Petco for their ALDS. Look for more homers, perhaps more than oddsmakers expect.

2. Favor Pitchers: The offense of the Astros and Rays came through when needed in their divisional series. But among the final eight teams in the playoffs, these were the two coldest-hitting teams, combining for an average of 8.0 runs per game. Each team had better pitching than hitting. Over/Unders at or above 8.5 could offer opportunity to go low.

3. One-Run Wonders: If the Rays have the lead after six or seven innings, expect them to hold onto it. They were 14-5 in one-run games this season, the best mark in the majors. The Astros played more one-run games than any team in the regular season – 24 of their 60 contests – but went just 10-14 in them.

Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Promo Code: BOOKIES

Visit site
Used 67 Times Today
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for T&Cs. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

Adam Thompson’s AL Playoffs Betting Recap

AL Wild-Card Picks: Rays (-210) over Blue Jays, White Sox (+110) over A’s, Twins (-120) over Astros, Yankees (-135) over Indians. Record: 2-2 (-20)

ALDS Picks: Rays (+120) over Yankees, A's (-118) over Astros. Record: 1-1 (+2)

Overall record: 3-3 (-18)

COMPARE: The Latest World Series Odds From Top Sportsbooks

About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.