MLB First Manager Fired Odds: Who’s On The Hot Seat In 2025?

MLB teams have played close to 30 teams so far this season, meaning we are about 20% of the way through the year. While several baseball squads look like World Series contenders, such as the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers, some teams have been disappointing to start the year. Naturally, calls for managers to get fired are starting to come in from their fan bases.

With several MLB managers on the hot seat with about a fifth of the way through the season, Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has put together MLB odds for who will be the first MLB manager fired.

Odds above are projected by Bookies.com and are not currently available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps.

The MLB season is heating up — and some managers are already on the hot seat. Here are the top betting favorites to be the first manager fired in 2025.

Bud Black, Rockies (+250)

Bud Black is in his ninth season with the Colorado Rockies, and the team is in dead last place in the NL West, having an even worse record than the Chicago White Sox, which is hard to do. Black is in the last season of his contract, and although he is well respected in the game, the Rockies’ poor record has to have Black sitting on the hot seat as the first MLB manager fired.

John Schneider, Blue Jays (+450)

The Toronto Blue Jays have one of the highest payrolls in the MLB, but they are currently in fourth place in the AL East, and that just won’t cut it. Schneider is in his fourth season with the Blue Jays, and the team missed the playoffs last season. If the Blue Jays do not turn things around quickly, do not be surprised if the team decides to make a move and give him the boot.

Ron Washington, Angels (+500)

The Los Angeles Angels are once again looking destined to have another playoff-less year, as the team currently sits in last place in the AL West. Manager Ron Washington is highly respected in the game, but after missing the playoffs last season and having another poor start to the year, Washington is likely among the first managers an MLB team will consider firing.

Oliver Marmol, Cardinals (+500)

The St. Louis Cardinals are one of the winningest franchises in MLB history, but after missing the playoffs the last two seasons, and currently sitting in fourth in the NL Central, Oliver Marmol has to be feeling the heat, as he could be fired soon if the team doesn’t turn things around fast.

Rocco Baldelli, Twins (+800)

The Minnesota Twins are currently in fourth place in the AL Central, so if ownership feels a spark is needed, Rocco Baldelli could be let go, even though he has made the playoffs three times during his six years with the Twins.

Dave Martinez, Nationals (+900)

The Washington Nationals won the World Series in 2019 under Dave Martinez’s leadership, but the team has not made the playoffs since. The Nationals are currently in fourth place in the NL East, and Martinez could get the boot if the team feels like it needs a new voice on the bench.

Joe Espada, Astros (+1200)

The Houston Astros do have a positive record right now, and the team made the playoffs last year, but Astros owner Jim Crane doesn’t tolerate losing at all, and if the Astros hit a tailspin at any point soon, Espada could very well be in trouble.

The Field (+1000)

There are other teams not mentioned here that have had rough starts to the year, and anytime a team doesn’t live up to expectations, the manager could be fired by the front office, making the field a viable option to get the first boot.