NL Rookie Of The Year Odds, Betting Tips & Expert Picks
The National League Rookie of the Year race is still up for grabs in the second half of the season. But the MLB betting board is almost unrecognizable compared to the MLB odds that were posted in April.
Reds second baseman Jonathan India is now the betting favorite with -150 odds on many sports betting sites. The 24-year-old took Rookie of the Month honors in July having posted a .319 batting average and a .470 on-base percentage. That bumped him up to the top of the board just a few weeks after he was available at +500.
Marlins starting pitcher Trevor Rogers is now second with +115 odds at most top sportsbooks after a stellar first half hardly anybody saw coming. The 23-year-old out of Carlsbad, New Mexico was a long shot at best this spring and opened at +3500 odds, arriving for his first full season in the bigs with little fanfare outside of South Florida.
Rogers’ dip coincided with a stint on the 10-day injured list, as well as another week off on the family medical emergency list.
Top 2021 NL Rookie of the Year Odds
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NL Rookie Of The Year Betting Tips
Many of these names are still new to casual fans, but a quick glance at recent winners like Pete Alonso, Ronald Acuna Jr., Kris Bryant, and Bryce Harper shows how quickly that can change.
Rogers might not have been on the radar just a few months ago, but he shot up the board in MLB futures markets by earning NL Rookie of the Month honors in April and May. He hasn’t had a lot of run support – hence the 7-6 record – but the 2.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP midway through the season is seriously impressive.
The Marlins’ future looks bright thanks to a stockpile of young, talented arms, and Rogers is clearly a big part of those plans. If Rogers comes back strong and gets back to the top of the board, he’d be the first starting pitcher to take NL ROY since Jacob deGrom in 2014. Solid company to say the least.
Cubs outfielder Patrick Wisdom was called up in late May and earned Rookie of the Month in June after he popped off for eight home runs and 16 RBI in 27 games. He slowed down a bit in July, but still sits third on the board at +2500 with DraftKings, and he's a similar price at other betting apps after a dream start in Chicago.
This now looks like a two-horse race with less than two months to go, and guys like Wisdom and Braves starter Ian Anderson need to have a monster second half in order to get back in the mix.
NL Rookie Of The Year Pick
It’s obviously tough to compare starting pitching and position players for these things. All the top candidates are bringing something different to the table. And this award generally isn’t married to team success – the Mets missed the postseason and finished below .500 when deGrom won it in 2014.
Rogers is actually on pace to surpass deGrom’s rookie numbers, and pitching dominated the first half of the MLB season. While he fell from the top of the board, it’s entirely due to missing two weeks for various reasons. We still think he’s the safe bet to surpass India and take NL Rookie of the Year.
And what an honor that would be to follow in the footsteps of the late Jose Fernandez, who won NL ROY with the Marlins after a dominant season on the mound in 2013.
The Pick: Trevor Rogers, Marlins (+115 at DraftKings)