Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 3 mins

MLB Playoffs Picks & Props: Best Bets for Red Sox-Astros ALCS Game 6

MLB Playoffs Picks & Props: Best Bets for Red Sox-Astros ALCS Game 6
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It’s do-or-die time for the Boston Red Sox entering Game 6 of Friday night’s ALCS game.

The Red Sox have dropped two straight to the Houston Astros and trail 3-2 with an elimination game on deck. The bats have gone cold with just three runs in the past two games, and Boston is looking for a strong performance from starter Nathan Eovaldi. The righty gave up four earned runs in just 0.2 innings of relief during a 9-2 loss Tuesday in Game 4.

Houston counters with rookie Luis Garcia, who got touched up for five earned runs and lasted just one inning in his last start in Game 2.

The MLB odds have the Astros as a slight favorite, around -120 on the moneyline. The total is set at 9 on betting apps for the 8:08 p.m. start in Houston.

Let’s take a deeper dive into the game from an MLB betting perspective and see where the best value is.


Be sure to check out more free MLB picks with odds from top betting sites.


Today’s MLB Playoffs Betting Lines

Today’s Best MLB Playoffs Pick

Red Sox Moneyline Over Astros

Game Bet Pick Best Odds
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Houston Astros
HOU
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox
BOS

We don’t trust Garcia in this spot for the Astros. The rookie seems to have hit a major wall, lasting just 3.2 combined innings in his first two starts. He’s also given up 16 runs over his last 8.2 innings dating back to his final start of the regular season. Not good.

Boston’s starter has had issues of his own, but overall Eovaldi has been far more consistent. He’s 2-0 in his two postseason starts and has a 3.26 career playoff ERA. He’ll need some help from a lineup that went ice cold at the worst time, but a travel day is often good for slumping bats. We like the odds and are on the Red Sox to cash on the moneyline and force a Game 7 with a win over the Astros Friday night.

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Today’s Best MLB Playoffs Prop Bet

J.D. Martinez, Over 1.5 Total Bases

Odds: +180 at DraftKings

Martinez is 0 for 4 with a pair of walks in his last two games, but we expect a strong showing tonight. The Red Sox DH has been crushing it with four multi-hit games this postseason, and he racked up 11 total bases combined in Games 2 and 3.

Garcia is giving up a ton of contact lately, with 15 hits allowed over his last 8.2 innings. A day off should be good for Martinez, and the Red Sox need their middle of the order to deliver tonight. We’re on Martinez Over 1.5 total bases at +180.

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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.