By Adam Thompson | | 4 mins
NL Cy Young Odds, 2020 Favorites & Bets You Should Back
Jacob deGrom won the 2018 National League Cy Young Award with 29 of 30 first-place votes. In 2019, he got 29 first-place votes in winning again.
Four weeks into the 2020 MLB betting seasonn, he’s not even the favorite.
DeGrom is seeing serious competition for a Three-peat, from the two pitchers for the Reds, as well as fellow Cy Young winner Max Scherzer, a three-time winner who took the award in 2016 and 2017.
Here are the latest odds and the top picks for the NL Cy Young Award 2020.
|Trevor Bauer, Cincinnati Reds||+350|
|Jacob deGrom, N.Y. Mets||+550|
|Sonny Gray, Cincinnati Reds||+650|
|Yu Darvish, Chicago Cubs||+700|
|Max Fried, Atlanta Braves||+1200|
|Dinelson Lamet, San Diego Padres||+1200|
|Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies||+1200|
|Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals||+2000|
|Jack Flaherty, St. Louis Cardinals||+2000|
|German Marquez, Colorado Rockies||+2000|
|Luis Castillo, Cincinnati Reds||+2100|
|Patrick Corbin, Washington Nationals||+2200|
|Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs||+2200|
|Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers||+3000|
|Walker Buehler, Los Angeles Dodgers||+3300|
MLB odds are current as of publication.
New Names To Consider
DeGrom has been there, done that. So has Scherzer.
But Dinelson Lamet? Max Fried? German Marquez?
It’s not uncommon to see a few longshots near the top of the field. It’s not impossible for newcomers to win, either. Tim Lincecum won the NL Cy Young in 2008 and 2009, his first two years in the majors.
Do any of these youngsters have a chance? The Rockies’ Marquez, 25, is a definite outsider. Pitching half his games in Colorado is a massive hurdle. In his last outing, he got crushed for 10 earned runs over five innings against the Astros and is now 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA.
The Padres’ Lamet, 28, is 2-1 with a stellar 1.89 ERA and .147 average. The Braves’ Fried, 26, is 3-0 with a 1.24 ERA in his second year as a starter. But neither has a track record of dominance. Fried had a 4.02 ERA in his other year as starter, Lamet was at 4.07 and 4.57 in two seasons.
The Reds’ Sonny Gray is 4-1 with a 2.221 ERA and leads the NL in strikeouts. Three of the last four NL Cy Young winners led the league in Ks.
Fading the Favorite
Trevor Bauer (+350) has been good for several years, but he’s been on a different level in 2020. Just four starts in he’s 3-0 with a 0.68 ERA, and opponents are hitting under .100 against him.
Regardless of the reason, Bauer would be a unanimous NL Cy Young winner if the season ended now. There are a few caveats with Bauer. Those four games have been against the Tigers (twice), Brewers and Royals.
We can argue he won’t keep up this run — his home games are at Great American Ballpark, which turns line drives into home runs more than most stadiums. But Bauer can win the award even with a short slide in the future.
In 2018 with the Indians, Bauer went 12-6 with a 2.21 ERA. But that’s the only time in his eight-year career his ERA was under 4.
NL Cy Young Picks
Jacob deGrom +550
The Mets star has been there, done that, winning the last two awards. He opened the season at +300, there wasn’t much value in betting on a third straight, given the competition and a perhaps-subconscious penchant for voters to spread the wealth.
But now we’re a few weeks into the season. Some contenders have faded, but deGrom isn’t one of them. His track record makes it likely he’ll be a top-three contender when the dust settle.
This year he’s 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA, hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any start with a .192 average allowed and 0.89 WHIP. He’ll be there at the end. Lock in deGrom for the best odds at DraftKings.
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Yu Darvish +700
Darvish he has the tools to be a Cy Young contender. In his seven seasons, he’s a four-time All-Star, and even finished second in AL Cy Young voting in 2013, leading the majors in strikeouts.
While Darvish has struggled to get on track in the Windy City, the second half of his 2019 season gives hope. Over his last 11 starts, Darvish managed a 2.76 ERA, with 118 strikeouts and just 59 hits and seven walks allowed. He averaged nearly eight innings per start in that span.
Darvish has picked up where he left off, 4-1 so far with a 1.80 ERA. After a subpar season opener, Darvish has allowed three runs over his last 26 innings. He has a WHIP under 1 and a .204 average against. Backed by a strong Cubs offense, he should get run support. Find the highest odds on Darvish at DraftKings.