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Pete Alonso Next Team Odds: 83% Chance Slugger is Traded, But Where?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

Pete Alonso Next Team Odds: 83% Chance Slugger is Traded, But Where?

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Pete Alonso became the face of the New York Mets franchise when he crushed 53 home runs in his rookie season of 2019. Since then, Alonso has been a consistent 40 HR/100 RBI guy while making two All-Star appearances in the past three seasons. 

But the Mets overspent this offseason and are in disarray. New York had the highest payroll in baseball history. Yet, as September approaches, the Mets are in last place in the NL East  - and it's the latest they've been in last place in a season since 2005. 

High-priced pitchers Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander have already been shipped out of town. Alonso, who will be 29 by the start of next season, could be next. The Mets strongly considered trading Alonso to the Milwaukee Brewers prior to the trade deadline. With just one more season of arbitration until he becomes a free agent, Alonso might be on the move this offseason. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has locked in hypothetical MLB odds as to where Alonso is playing for the 2024 season. 

Pete Alonso 2024 Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
San Diego Padres+40020.0%
Boston Red Sox+45018.2%
Seattle Mariners+50016.7%
New York Mets+50016.7%
Los Angeles Angels+60014.3%
Milwaukee Brewers+65013.3%
The Field+40020.0%

Odds are projected and do not reflect any odds that may be available at legal betting sites or betting apps.

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Alonso has one of MLB’s most-powerful swings. This season, however, his average plummeted. As of Aug. 29, he was hitting .221, 32 points below his career average and 50 points under last year’s mark. 

Still, there are many teams who would love to add Alonso to the clean-up spot. His consistency at the premium position of first base doesn’t hurt. The Mets have failed to make substantial progress on an extension for Alonso. Teams have been told that anyone not signed after 2024 is available, as New York’s master plan is more pointed to the near future. 

“The fact that they had every opportunity to sign this guy, and didn’t, speaks volumes about his future,” one GM told USA Today. 

Who Is In The Running To Trade For Alonso?

The Mets are in the running, but it appears they’re very prepared to move on. Sports salary site Spotrac posted Alonso’s calculated market value at $37.1 million annually, with the notion he could command upwards of $370 million on a 10-year deal. 

That’s a huge number that prices out a majority of MLB teams – for 2025. As for 2024, Alonso is a modestly priced slugger that most teams could afford to bring in. 

Most of the teams atop these MLB odds are quasi-contenders that could use a slugging first baseman now, some of which could splurge to sign Alonso to a long-term deal.

The San Diego Padres desperately want to win a championship. They’ve spent a ton of money already on one of the premier batting orders, at least on paper. It hasn’t worked out, but the lineup is in place for another run next year. Upgrading at first base may be the top priority this offseason. Alonso checks that box in a big-time way. 

The Boston Red Sox could be on the verge of returning to postseason competitiveness. The rising Seattle Mariners lead an ultra-competitive AL West. Each team has a hole at first base and a slugger in the middle of their lineup. Both have strong incentives to pursue Alonso. 

The Los Angeles Angels appear likely to lose Shohei Ohtani this offseason. But Mike Trout will be back, and other moves made this season for a run will return, too. While the moves don’t seem to pan out, the Angels are a team that tries. 

The Milwaukee Brewers lead the NL West despite one of the bottom power-hitting lineups in baseball. Alonso, if only for a season, makes a world of sense, especially with other key players coming off the books following 2024. 

The Field includes a slew of teams looking to make a push or improve at a position that may not be an immediate need, but would still be an upgrade. That includes the Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox, New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.