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5 Best NBA Bubble Over/Under Wins Bets For 8-Game Restart

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 8 mins

5 Best NBA Bubble Over/Under Wins Bets For 8-Game Restart

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After a very long break, the 2020 NBA season resumes on July 31. All 22 teams invited to the restart will be in Orlando, where each team plays eight regular-season games before a full NBA Playoffs tips on Aug. 17.

With the rest of the regular-season schedule out, online sportsbooks have posted NBA betting over/under win totals for the remaining eight games before the playoffs. Here are the five best value plays.

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Trail BlazersOver 3.5 Wins+125PointsBet
SunsOver 2.5 Wins+150Unibet
MavericksUnder 4.5 Wins+120 BetMGM
RaptorsUnder 4.5 Wins-109FOXBet
WizardsUnder 1.5 Wins-125 FanDuel

Portland Trail Blazers – Over 3.5 Wins (+125)

The Blazers are on the outside looking in for a playoff berth in the Western Conference, but they have the tools to make an inspired run for it. In fact, if there is one team that should be better for the restart than it was during the regular season, it’s this one.

For the first time all season, Portland will be healthy, with post standout Jusuf Nurkic returning from his gruesome leg injury of a year ago, and Zach Collins, its starting forward who’s managed only three games.

That’s not counting stars Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, who were each battling through nagging issues.

Portland opened the season 6-2, so it knows how to start hot. Portland has been abysmal against its upcoming competition – just 3-12 during the regular season. We’re getting plus NBA odds because of it, but this Blazers team should be different from the one that limped through the season. Get the Blazers with solid odds at PointsBet.

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Phoenix Suns – Over 2.5 Wins (+150)

5 Best NBA Bubble Over/Under Wins Bets For 8-Game Restart 1
Devin Booker and the Phoenix Suns are the longest shot to make the playoffs of any team in Orlando.

On paper, the Suns have little to play for and a tough schedule to fight through. Plus Kelly Oubre, the team’s third-best player, is likely out.

But the schedule isn’t as brutal as it seems. Phoenix went a poor 4-9 against team teams it’ll see in the restart, but two of those losses were against the Wizards – who have completely mailed it in – and the Pacers, who will be without Victor Oladipo. Games against the 76ers and Heat look tough, but those two teams had by far the worst home vs. away differential of any team. The Suns also have a pair of matchups against a Mavericks team it crushed by 29 the last time out.

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The opening-game matchup vs. the Wizards is the only team Phoenix plays that hasn’t already clinched a playoff berth. No team will be in “must win” mode vs. the Suns.

Budding stars Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton may have something to show in Orlando. The Suns can win three out of eight games. Find good odds on the Suns at Unibet.

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Dallas Mavericks – Under 4.5 Wins (+120)

The Mavs face four teams fighting for a postseason berth, including their last two opponents. Dallas has nearly nothing to play for other than fine-tuning – it will be the No. 7 seed unless the Thunder or Rockets fall apart, then a No. 6 seed is slightly within reach.

With that in mind, the Mavs should be one of those teams playing more for a postseason run than for regular-season wins. They’ll be facing motivated opposition and the Mavs were a subpar 8-9 vs. their upcoming opponents. Against the four teams in the same “already qualified” boat, they were only 2-5.

Given both sides to that story, going 4-4 would be realistic for Dallas. Ultimately, there is no difference between 4-4, 3-5 and 2-6 for the Mavericks. Take the Under at DraftKings .

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Toronto Raptors – Under 4.5 Wins (-109)

5 Best NBA Bubble Over/Under Wins Bets For 8-Game Restart 2
Marc Gasol and the Raptors are very likely to be the No. 2 seed in the East so they have little to play for.

Every team should be relatively rested going into the restart, but in a time in which many teams will limit the minutes of their starters, Toronto could be most affected. It is the only squad with three players averaging more than 35 minutes per game.

Their stars won’t play that much, at least not right away.

Meanwhile, arguably no team is playing for less in this eight-game regular season finish than the Raptors. They’re 6.5 games out of the No. 1 spot in the Eastern Conference and three games ahead of No. 3 Boston (5.5 games up on No. 4 Miami). The motivation to win these regular-season games just won’t be there.

As great as the Raptors have been so far (46-18), they were only 7-8 vs. their upcoming opponents. In terms of opponent win percentage, Toronto’s .638 mark ranks as the single-toughest of the 22 teams in Orlando. With a tough slate and little reason to play to win, take the Under on the Raptors at FOXBet.

Washington Wizards – Under 1.5 Wins (-125)

At 5.5 games behind the Magic for the No. 8 spot and six games behind the Nets at No. 7, the Wizards faced longshot odds to make a dent in the Eastern Conference Playoffs landscape.

Then their chances all but ended when Bradley Beal announced he wouldn’t be joining his team in Orlando. Beal and his 30.5 points per game are out.

That was the final nail in the coffin after No. 2 scorer Davis Bertans (15.4 ppg) optioned out of the return. With John Wall also not coming back, that leaves a plethora of unproven youngsters, most of which aren’t even guaranteed to be back next year. The Wizards will treat this as a training camp.

Washington gets the Suns, Nets and Pacers in the opening three games – all potentially winnable, though the first two teams on the list are playing for real right off the bat. After that, it’s a gauntlet of opponents the decimated Wizards can’t match up with. Take the Under on Washington at FanDuel .

About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.