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Kevin Durant Trade Odds: Next To Leave After Kyrie Irving?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

Kevin Durant Trade Odds: Next To Leave After Kyrie Irving?

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Kevin Durant requested a trade from the Brooklyn Nets last offseason. It didn't work out, so he agreed to return to work with Kyrie Irving in leading a presumed championship contender. 

Yeah, it hasn't really worked out that way. 

The Nets' "superteam" led by Durant, Irving and James Harden won just a single playoff series. Now the team-destroying Irving is off to the Mavericks to pair with Luka Doncic. Harden is in Philadelphia, and Durant is sitting in Brooklyn with the enigma Ben Simmons. KD is also nursing a knee injury. 

Teams and players around the league are watching anxiously to see if Durant is next to be moved. As Thursday's NBA trade deadline looms, Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed his hypothetical NBA odds as to where Durant plays out the remainder of the 2022-23 season. 

Kevin Durant Next Team Odds

Team Odds Implied Probability
Brooklyn Nets +300 25.0%
Phoenix Suns +500 16.7%
Golden State Warriors +550 15.4%
Toronto Raptors +600 14.3%
New York Knicks +650 13.3%
Portland Trail Blazers +1000 9.1%
Sacramento Kings +1200 7.7%
The Field +440 18.5%

Odds are projected by Bookies.com and do not reflect any odds that may be available at legal betting sites or betting apps.

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Durant is considered, by most pundits, to be one of the top five players in the NBA. In a league where stars win championships, some believe trading Durant puts management on the edge of insanity. Brooklyn is in a respectable fourth place in the Eastern Conference, but many are skeptical the Nets are on the same level as the Bucks and Celtics, or even the No. 3 seed 76ers. Especially now with Kyrie out of the picture. 

Durant is due over $46 million annually over the next three seasons (he's in the first year of a 4-year, $194 million deal that has no options). The Nets can keep him or trade him anywhere and get a king’s ransom that could alter their entire roster for years to come. 

At this stage the Nets' asking price for Durant seems too steep for many teams but if management believes a rebuild is better than the current situation, reducing the demands and trading Durant could put that rebuild into the fast lane. 

The haul for Durant could be akin, or bigger, to what the New Orleans Pelicans received from the Los Angeles Lakers when they shipped Anthony Davis for three starters and three first-round draft picks. That helped build the Pelicans into a potential Western Conference contender for years to come. The offseason trade that sent center Rudy Gobert trade to the Timberwolves – for five players and five picks – only increased the price tag for KD. 

So which teams would want Kevin Durant? Short answer: All of them. Which teams could afford him in terms of salary and trade capital? Short answer: Not many. It’s likely to take three teams as part of a deal to move Durant, given Brooklyn’s demands and KD's salary. 

Durant does not have a no-trade clause, so Brooklyn can do what it wants without consulting its superstar. 

RELATED: Sorry Kevin Durant, The Super Team Era Is Dead And The Data Proves It

Most teams favored to acquire Durant are contenders with at least one star and significant, viable draft picks. Phoenix was long considered the favorite to land Durant, but the Suns' matching of the Pacers' four-year, $133 million offer sheet for Deandre Ayton made a KD move to Arizona much more complicated. 

After that deal, league rules dictated Ayton couldn't be traded until Jan. 15. We've passed that mark on the calendar. Phoenix can dangle Ayton (who has a no-trade clause), along with Chris Paul and Jae Crowder, budding wing standouts Mikal Bridges and Cam Johnson, plus picks. No team likely has the capital to make a move work without adding a third team to the equation. 

Durant, it has been reported, has Phoenix as his preferred destination. It's why we had Phoenix out in front in terms of likely destinations for Durant in our initial NBA betting market last offseason. 

After that, the top teams that may want him are in the Eastern Conference, and it seems unlikely Brooklyn makes such a move with hours on the clock. In the offseason? Perhaps. That said, the Nets are likely to get a better "bang for your buck" by trading him now rather than later. 

The lone exception could be the Toronto Raptors. 2022 NBA Rookie of the Year Scottie Barnes was untradeable during offseason talks involving Durant, but underachieving Toronto could dangle Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby, and it owns first-round picks. The Raptors could be intrigued in building around Durant for three seasons. 

The New York Knicks own a pile of first-rounders and have players worthy of acquiring, including RJ Barrett. If Durant can talk his way into staying in NYC and the Knicks offer a haul that makes Brooklyn content with trading him across the East River, anything is possible. 

The Golden State Warriors have James Wiseman and first-rounders to highlight a move, and big-salary veterans such as Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins to make it work. The Warriors are in the No. 8 spot in the West but only 1.5 games out of No. 4. This could be the move that propels the proud franchise back into legit title conversations. 

The Portland Trail Blazers might sell everything if the opportunity arose to add a piece to play alongside Damian Lillard. The Sacramento Kings are building something nice, but they could accelerate the program by dishing future picks and budding players for KD. Each is possible, especially if Brooklyn refuses to talk with Eastern rivals like the Raptors and Knicks. 

The Field is led by Eastern Conference teams that showed considerable interest in the summer. That includes the Boston Celtics, Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks, as well as the West-leading Denver Nuggets

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.