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Kevin Durant Trade Odds: Will Suns Star Get Moved Again?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Kevin Durant Trade Odds: Will Suns Star Get Moved Again?

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Last winter, Kevin Durant requested a trade from the Brooklyn Nets after two-plus seasons of frustration. He ended up in Phoenix to join Devin Booker and the also-acquired Bradley Beal to form a superteam out west. 

That hasn't gone so hot, either. The Suns finished sixth in the Western Conference then were unceremoniously swept out of the first round by the Minnesota Timberwolves. 

The Suns are in dire straits from a salary cap perspective, and have just two first-round picks over the next seven seasons. Teams and players around the league are watching anxiously to see if Durant gets put on the block one more time. Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has updated his hypothetical NBA odds as to where Durant plays for the 2024-25 season. 

Kevin Durant Next Team Odds

Team Odds Implied Probability
Phoenix Suns +150 40.0%
Houston Rockets +500 16.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder +600 14.3%
San Antonio Spurs +800 11.1%
Philadelphia 76ers +850 10.5%
New York Knicks +1200 7.7%
Miami Heat +1750 5.4%
New Orleans Pelicans +1800 5.3%
The Field +1150 8.0%

Odds are projected by Bookies.com and do not reflect any odds that may be available at legal betting sites or betting apps.

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Durant is still considered, by most pundits, to be one of the top 10 players in the NBA. In a league where stars win championships, some believe trading Durant puts management on the edge of insanity. But now both Brooklyn and Phoenix did not match expectations.  

Durant is due over $51-54 million annually over the next two seasons. The Suns can keep him or trade him anywhere and get a king’s ransom that could alter their entire roster for years to come. 

Why Durant and not another of the Big Three to move? Booker is eight years younger than Durant, while Beal -- the clear No. 1 choice to move if management has a choice -- has a no-trade clause. Also, he's the one reportedly unhappy with his personal role. Dump the malcontent and perhaps morale, and team play, improves? 

So which teams would want Kevin Durant? Short answer: All of them. Which teams could afford him in terms of salary and trade capital? Short answer: Not many. It’s likely to take three teams as part of a deal to move Durant, given the Suns' likely demands and KD's salary. 

Durant does not have a no-trade clause, so Phoenix can do what it wants without consulting its superstar. 


RELATED: Sorry Kevin Durant, The Super Team Era Is Dead And The Data Proves It


Only two teams could straight-up afford Durant. One of them is the Detroit Pistons, who are likely years from competing for an NBA title and probably don't want to add on an aging, ultra-pricey star at this point. 

The other, however, is the Philadelphia 76ers, who are desperate to win now before their own superstar, Joel Embiid, has to make a decision on a player option after the 2024-25 season. Philly has players worth dangling and a slew of draft picks, including seven first rounders through 2029. The Sixers probably have what it takes to add Durant to Embiid and Tyrese Maxey. 

Another team with a lot of dough, draft picks and drive is the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder made their only NBA Finals appearance with Durant leading the way in 2011-12. They're the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference this season; Durant wouldn't have to do it all and OKC adds an all-timer of a veteran. 

OKC also has the most draft capital of any team, with a whopping 36 picks over the next seven NBA Drafts, including 15 first-rounders. 

The Houston Rockets finished .500 and in 11th in the West, out of the postseason, but have a young corps and are in better cap shape than others on this list. They also just added draft picks in a wild trade, reportedly in an effort to make a run at KD. Durant pushes Houston into the mix.

The San Antonio Spurs have cap space and draft capital as well. A long, skinny star in Durant could be a perfect mentor and companion for the Spurs' current long, skinny star in Victor Wembanyama, and perhaps give coach Gregg Popovich one more run at a title. 

The New York Knicks and Miami Heat are also seeking to form a potent 1-2 punch for Jalen Brunson and Jimmy Butler, respectively. The Knicks are in a better position to make a move, though neither is in a great spot for cap reasons. 

The New Orleans Pelicans own 10 first-rounders in the next seven drafts and want to make the most of Zion Williamson on the roster. They were swept out of the first round as the No. 8 seed out West. 

The Field is led by Eastern Conference teams that showed considerable interest in the summer. That includes the Boston Celtics, Utah Jazz and Orlando Magic

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.