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2025 Emmy Betting Odds: Who’s Favored in Drama Categories This Year?

Jeff Parker for Bookies.com

Jeff Parker  | 

2025 Emmy Betting Odds: Who’s Favored in Drama Categories This Year?

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Voting for the 77th annual Primetime Emmy Awards is officially underway, with nominations set to be unveiled on July 15th. Hosted by comedian Nate Bargatze, this year’s ceremony airs live on CBS, streaming on Paramount+, at 8pm EST on Sunday, September 14th.

Next year, betting sites in New Jersey, Michigan, Indiana, Arizona, Kansas, Massachusetts and Louisiana will be taking bets on one of Hollywood’s biggest nights of the year.

In the lead-up to the nominations announcement, Bookies.com breaks down the current frontrunners in the Drama Series categories, according to the latest betting odds.

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Emmy Odds Table

Emmy Award for Drama Series Odds

Show Odds Percentage Chance
Severance+27526.7%
The Pitt+45018.2%
The Last of Us+60014.3%
The White Lotus+60014.3%
Slow Horses+80011.1%
The Diplomat+10009.1%
The Field+12507.4%

Among oddsmakers, the current favorite to win the Emmy Award for Best Drama series is Apple TV+’s Severance (+275). Exuding a sharp cinematic style, fans of this mystery-box dystopian workplace drama are hoping for a bounce-back after Season One scored six Primetime Emmy nominations in 2022, but failed to earn a single victory. Meanwhile, medical procedural drama The Pitt (+450) — an HBO Max original streaming series — lands in second place on the oddsboard after its own buzzworthy first season. Meanwhile, HBO series The Last of Us and The White Lotus are tied at +600 to take home what many consider to be the Emmy’s top prize.

As you’ll see below, current betting odds indicate all four shows will be among the big winners when the official Emmy nominations are announced.

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Emmy Drama Actor Odds

Emmy Award for Drama Actor Odds

Actor Show Odds Percentage Chance
Noah Wyle The Pitt +315 24.1%
Adam Scott Severance +325 23.5%
Gary Oldman Slow Horses +500 16.7%
Pedro Pascal The Last of Us +600 14.3%
Sterling K. Brown Paradise +650 13.3%
The Field +1100 8.3%

A microcosm of the big drama in the Drama series categories, Best Actor is shaping up to be a two-man race between The Pitt’s Noah Wyle (+315) and Severance-star Adam Scott (+325). If Wyle’s nominated, it would be the actor’s sixth Emmy nod. He was recognized five times in the Best Supporting Actor in a Drama category for his role on the long-running series ER — with zero wins. For his part, Adam Scott was nominated in 2022 for his Severence’s role, but he also lost.

Drama Actress Emmy Odds

Emmy Award for Drama Actress Odds

Actress Show Odds Percentage Chance
Kathy Bates Matlock +275 26.7%
Bella Ramsey The Last of Us +400 20.0%
Keri Russell The Diplomat +425 19.1%
Britt Lower Severance +500 16.7%
Elisabeth Moss The Handmaid’s Tale +850 10.5%
The Field +1250 7.4%

After taking over the Matlock mantle from Andy Griffith in CBS’ re-imagining of the iconic legal procedural, Kathy Bates (+275) is the oddsmakers’ favorite to win Best Actress in a Drama series. Assuming she is recognized, it would be her fifteenth Emmy nomination. Meanwhile, Bella Ramsey (+400) lands second on the odds board for her performance in HBO’s video-game adaptation of The Last of Us, delivering an even more resonant performance as the emotional centre of Season Two.

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Emmy Supporting Odds

Emmy Award for Drama Supporting Actor Odds

Actor Show Odds Percentage Chance
Walton Goggins The White Lotus +250 28.6%
John Turturro Severance +275 26.7%
Tramell Tillman Severance +475 17.4%
Jason Isaacs The White Lotus +700 12.5%
Jack Lowden Slow Horses +900 10.0%
The Field +1500 6.3%

Emmy Award for Drama Supporting Actress Odds

Actress Show Odds Percentage Chance
Carrie Coon The White Lotus +275 26.7%
Parker Posey The White Lotus +425 19.1%
Allison Janney The Diplomat +550 15.4%
Aimee Lou Wood The White Lotus +550 15.4%
Natasha Rothwell The White Lotus +800 11.1%
The Field +700 12.5%

Assuming the best Supporting Actor and Actress - Drama categories play out as sportsbooks predict, expect a big party at The White Lotus resort this Fall. Oddsmakers have allotted six spots across both categories to the cast of HBO’s dark satire of wealth and privilege set against a tropical backdrop (Thailand in the case of Season Three).

In the Supporting Actor category, Walton Goggins (+250) is favoured for his role as Rick, a curmudgeonly traveller in Thailand on a quest to avenge his father’s mysterious death. By the odds, Goggins is in a virtual dead heat with John Turturro (+275), whose character Irving undergoes a notable transformation as he uncovers more about the world beyond his severed life at Lumon Industries.

As for the Supporting Actress category, where four of five nominations are predicted to go to The White Lotus cast members, Carrie Coon (+275) is favored for her turn as Laurie, a New York City lawyer struggling with her position in life, travelling to Thailand with a pair of high school girlfriends. 

Cast-mate Parker Posey (+425) is second on the odds board, playing an outsized role as the matriarch of an ultra-wealthy North Carolina family whose trip is spurred by her daughter’s desire to visit a nearby Buddhist monastery.

Emmy Guest Actor/Actress Odds

Emmy Award for Drama Guest Actor Odds

Actor Show Odds Percentage Chance
Jeffrey WrightThe Last of Us+32523.5%
Shawn HatosyThe Pitt+37521.1%
Scott GlennThe White Lotus+42519.1%
Joe PantolianoThe Last of Us+60014.3%
Mackenzie AstinThe Pitt+80011.1%
The Field+90010.0%

Emmy Award for Drama Guest Actress Odds

Actress Show Odds Percentage Chance
Kaitlyn DeverThe Last of Us+25028.6%
Catherine O’HaraThe Last of Us+32523.5%
Gwendoline ChristieSeverance+50016.7%
Merritt WeverSeverance+65013.3%
Cherry JonesThe Handmaid’s Tale+10009.1%
The Field+12507.4%

Finally, in the Outstanding Guest Actor and Actress in a Drama Series categories, fungal-apocalypse drama The Last of Us is predicted to make a big splash when the official Emmy noms are released. The series’ guest stars Kaitlyn Dever (+250) and Catherine O’Hara (+325) are the two frontrunners for Guest Actress, with Jeffrey Wright (+325) topping the Guest Actor oddsboard.

About the Author

Jeff Parker for Bookies.com
Jeff Parker
Jeff Parker is a sports and entertainment writer for Bookies.com. A writer for film, television and the internet, Jeff is a life long movie buff, with a Masters Degree in Popular Culture. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia, where he works full time as documentary filmmaker and producer.