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7 Likely Outcomes of the Transfer Window Based on Latest Odds

Greg Lea for Bookies.com

Greg Lea  | 4 mins

7 Likely Outcomes of the Transfer Window Based on Latest Odds

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The transfer window deadline is in touching distance and many Premier League clubs are still trying to piece together their squads before Friday’s opening fixture of the new season.

But what deals will get over the line and which ones will fall short? Here we’ve used betting odds from the best UK bookmakers to determine which outcomes are most likely at this late stage.

Paulo Dybala to Tottenham – 1/3 (Betfred)

The Juventus attacker rejected a move to Manchester United earlier this week and looked set to remain in Turin for the 2019/20 campaign. However, the opportunity to work with compatriot Mauricio Pochettino at a club who, unlike United, are in the Champions League could appeal to Dybala.

Able to play on the right with license to drift infield, the former Palermo man is nevertheless best deployed as a second striker. Technically gifted and in possession of a wonderful left foot, Dybala would represent an excellent signing for Spurs, who have reportedly had a £62m bid accepted by Juventus.

Adding such quality to a squad that finished third last time out could even propel Pochettino’s men into the title race.

Philippe Coutinho to Tottenham – 5/4 (Coral)

It is unlikely that Tottenham will capture both Dybala and Coutinho, but in some ways it is the latter who is more attainable. Barcelona are willing to let the Brazil international depart on a season-long loan, and Pochettino is said to be interested in reuniting with a player he coached with success at Espanyol.

The jury is still out on whether Coutinho can be considered world-class, but there is no doubt he has plenty of fine attributes. Reports that Arsenal were set to sign the ex-Liverpool man on Tuesday proved premature, but he could end up in north London after all.

Christian Eriksen to Manchester United – 4/5 (888Sport)

Related to Tottenham’s pursuit of the two players above is uncertainty over the future of Eriksen, who has emerged as a target for Manchester United. The Red Devils have tightened up their defence with the additions of Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Harry Maguire, but there is still work to be done in midfield and up top.

Eriksen has proven himself in the Premier League over a number of years and would certainly add invention to Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side. His presence in the United team would no doubt boost their chances of a top-four finish.

Joao Cancelo to Manchester City – Betting Suspended

Bookies have already stopped taking bets on Manchester City completing the purchase of Cancelo before Thursday’s transfer deadline, with Danilo poised to move in the opposite direction. The converted winger will provide competition for Kyle Walker at right-back, although there have been whispers that he could usurp Oleksandr Zinchenko on the opposite side of the defence.

City already have the strongest squad in the Premier League, but the addition of Cancelo would add further depth. This could finally be the year in which Pep Guardiola wins the Champions League away from Barcelona.

Paul Pogba to stay at Man Utd – 2/5 (Bet365)

It is more likely than not that Pogba remains at Manchester United at this late stage of the window, although it is worth bearing in mind that the market in England closes before the rest of Europe – so Real Madrid (6/4) and Juventus (20/1) would, in theory, still be able to sign him in the next few weeks.

Losing Pogba would be a massive blow to United, whose midfield has already been weakened this summer with the exit of Ander Herrera, who joined PSG on a free transfer.

Being without the France international could put the Red Devils’ top-six place in danger, particularly with the strengthening that has been done by the likes of Everton, Leicester City and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Wilfried Zaha to Everton – 11/4 (Paddy Power)

There is an argument that no player in the Premier League is as important to his club as Zaha is to Palace. The Eagles are heavily reliant on their star man for inspiration in attack, which is why they have publicly slapped an £80m asking price on his head.

As the deadline approaches, though, Palace may budge on that figure – and a report this week claimed that the Ivory Coast international expects to be an Everton player by Friday. Either way, the Toffees should have too much for Roy Hodgson’s men when they meet at Selhurst Park this weekend.

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Dayot Upamecano to Arsenal – Betting Suspended

Arsenal broke their transfer record to sign Nicolas Pepe from £72m, and the club’s fans will be licking their lips at a frontline which includes the former Lille man, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette.

Arsenal’s problems last term were at the other end of the field, though, which is why they are desperate to acquire a new centre-back before Thursday. The acquisition of Upamecano would leave them well placed for a top-four finish.

About the Author

A London-based soccer specialist, Greg Lea has been featured in The Guardian and ESPN for his coverage of the Premier League, Champions League and World Cup.