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Best Bets for 🏀 NBA for Monday Night, May 4, 2026

The 2026 NBA Playoffs second round opens tonight with the marquee matchup: the Philadelphia 76ers at Madison Square Garden to face the New York Knicks. Embiid is back, Maxey is scorching, and the Philly-New York rivalry is one of the heaviest-bet series of any postseason.

Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks

76ers (No. 7 seed, beat No. 2 Celtics 4-3 from 3-1 down) vs. Knicks (No. 3 seed, beat Hawks 4-2)

8:00 PM ET·NBC, Peacock

Philadelphia pulled off one of the more stunning first-round comebacks in recent memory, erasing a 3-1 deficit against Boston behind Embiid's return from emergency appendix surgery. Embiid enters Game 1 listed as probable with a right hip contusion and a history of knee discomfort from Game 7, but is widely expected to play. The Knicks covered in 27 of 40 home games this season (27-13-0 ATS at home), but they are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games versus Philadelphia, with three of those blown covers being outright losses. Embiid averaged 32.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 5.0 assists in two regular-season meetings with New York this year, which makes the 76ers a live underdog at +7.5.

Injuries

NBA Best Bets

76ers +7.5 -110

Philadelphia is 27-18 ATS on the road this season, second-best in the league, and the Knicks have failed to cover in five of their last six home games against this opponent.

Under 212.5 -110

Knicks home games hit the over only 47.5% of the time this season, and a physically taxed Embiid playing through a hip contusion reduces Philadelphia's offensive ceiling in Game 1.

Joel Embiid Over 4.5 Assists -140

Embiid averaged 7.0 assists in four playoff games this round and the Knicks will send help defenders at him, forcing him to read and distribute all night..