David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 4 mins

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds & Picks for NASCAR at COTA

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds & Picks for NASCAR at COTA

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It’s 20 turns, 3.41 miles, and one huge question for fans of NASCAR betting: what to make of COTA?

That would be Circuit of the Americas, the road course in Austin, Texas, which this weekend hosts stock cars for the first time (with a Lamborghini support race tossed in, just to keep it classy). A staple on the Formula 1 circuit since 2012, COTA is known for its long, fast straights and dizzying elevation changes, all of which will pose a unique challenge to the less-nimble vehicles used in NASCAR’s Cup Series.

But how to bet it? Goodness knows there have been enough surprises already in this unpredictable NASCAR campaign, most recently +1800 Alex Bowman prevailing at Dover last week.

That uncertainty is reflected in the NASCAR odds for Sunday’s 68-lap EchoPark Texas Grand Prix, where Chase Elliott is the favorite at +240 but only three drivers – Elliott, Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin – are sporting odds lower than +1300.

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds

Driver WinTop 3Top 10
Chase Elliott +240 -148-770
Martin Truex Jr. +450 +125 -400
Denny Hamlin +1000 +250 -182
Kyle Busch +1300 +350 -143
Kyle Larson +1400 +375 -134
Ryan Blaney +1600 +375 -122
William Bryon +1800 +500 -112
Kevin Harvick +1800 +500 -112

Odds current as of publication from DraftKings and subject to change. Check out the latest EchoPark Texas Grand Prix odds.

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EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Predictions & Betting Tips

Kyle Larson to Win, +1400

Elliott is the odds favorite for a reason, given that he’s run very well the past three weeks and has five career victories on road courses. It’s almost unfair that he was chosen as one of the drivers to tire test at COTA.

But Elliott is still human, as his 21st-place finish at the Daytona road course showed, and in this crazy season, it’s worth chasing better value.

This NASCAR season has featured more parity than we’ve witnessed in years, and none of the Cup regulars have competed at COTA before. Only a few have some very limited track time there.

That leads us to Larson, who’s notched back-to-back runner-up finishes and has posted several strong runs at Watkins Glen, perhaps the closest parallel in NASCAR to COTA.

Larson has also shown an amazing ability to adapt given that he sat out most of last season, and as Elliott’s Hendrick teammate he’s surely privy to all the intel Elliott gleaned during the COTA tire test in March.

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For more great expert NASCAR picks for the EchoPark Texas GP from our team of handicappers, check out bookiesEDGE:

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Betting Tips

Elliott, Brad Keselowski and Martin Truex Jr. were the three drivers who tire tested at COTA, and Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Cole Custer, Tyler Reddick and Austin Dillon are all competing in the weekend’s Xfinity event. For bettors, keeping an eye on that group is a good start.

Also make sure to check out the results of Saturday’s hour-long practice session, the first time most drivers will get to see COTA from behind the wheel.

Beyond that, you’re looking for drivers who have strong road-course records, to go with strong recent performance. Chase Elliott certainly fits that bill, although his lack of value might encourage looking elsewhere.

Truex has four career road course victories and has been sixth or better in four of his last six starts, with a pair of wins in that span. Four-time road course winner Kyle Busch has also shown signs of life in recent weeks, while Kevin Harvick has a pair of road course triumphs and has come up empty despite being in the mix to win four straight weeks.

If I were taking a top three, it would be Larson to win at +1400, Ryan Blaney (a Charlotte Roval victory, and four road course top-fives) top-3 at +375, and Truex top-3 at +125.

Drivers are likely to be four-wide screaming into COTA’s first turn, so don’t discount some mayhem and someone like Matt DiBenedetto (fourth at Sonoma in 2019) crashing the party. It’s that kind of season, after all.


EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Time, Date and TV

When: Sunday, 2.30 p.m. ET

Where: Circuit of the Americas, Austin, Texas

TV: FS1