Liverpool’s Odds-Defying Win Over Barcelona By The Numbers
Liverpool’s 4-0 victory over Barcelona on Tuesday will go down as one of the greatest nights in European football history.
Two goals apiece from Divock Origi and Gini Wijnaldum fired the Reds into the Champions League final as they overhauled a 3-0 first-leg deficit.
And so unexpected was the result, many fans had written off Liverpool’s chances of claiming anything from the game.
Indeed, some online bookmakers were even pricing the Reds as high as 50/1 to progress as they tried to tempt punters into backing a long-odds bet.
|Outcome||Pre-Game Odds||Probability Defied|
|Liverpool to win on the night||1/1||50%|
|Liverpool to win 4-0||50/1||2%|
|Divock Origi first scorer||7/1||12.5%|
|Liverpool to win the tie||10/1||9.1%|
|Liverpool score within 15 mins||7/2||22.2%|
|Liverpool clean sheet||13/5||27.8%|
And there will be some football bettors who woke up on Wednesday morning delighted with their decision to bet on the Reds at such a long price.
Sportsbooks such as Bet365 have already seen Liverpool’s odds on winning the Champions League crash from 20/1 (+2000) after the semi-final first leg to just 4/9 (-255) now.
The exact moment of Origi’s winning goal appears to have been picked up on MoPlay’s live odds tracker, with a price of 18/1 (+1800) collapsing to 4/9 (-255) as the game neared its conclusion.
Liverpool Double Odds
Among all the hype of Tuesday’s European exploits, some fans may have forgotten Liverpool are also in the Premier League title race.
This weekend the Reds play their final league game against Wolves as they sit a point behind leaders Manchester City.
City travel to Brighton in a match many believe could be a banana skin. BlackType have Liverpool at 7/1 (+700) to win the title, which would need City to not win at the Amex Stadium and Liverpool to beat Wolves.
But can Liverpool really do a league and European double? It’s a rare feat for English clubs to do but Liverpool have successfully done so in 1984 and 1977.
Beating Wolves and relying on City to slip up almost seems the hard part compared to edging one of Tottenham or Ajax in the Champions League final, which is perhaps why 888Sport have priced Liverpool at 8/1 (+800) to secure the double.
And it shows how far Jurgen Klopp’s men have come considering they were 66/1 (+6600) at one point to win two trophies this season.
Tottenham Price Shifts
Liverpool knocking out Barcelona also saw Tottenham’s price on winning the Champions League shift from 12/1 (+1200) to 8/1 (+800) with William Hill.
But Spurs face the uphill task in overturning a 1-0 first-leg deficit in Amsterdam on Wednesday night against an Ajax side that has already knocked Juventus and Madrid out of the competition.
Ajax themselves are 3/1 (+300) to win the whole thing, with Liverpool now firm favourites to clinch a sixth European Cup.