March Madness Picks & Best Bets 2026 NCAA Tournament - First Round & First Four

The Road To Indianapolis begins Tuesday with the so-called First Four games of the NCAA Tournament. This year, March Madness ends in April with the National Championship Game on April 6. After checking the latest college basketball odds, be sure to check our March Madness Picks & Best Bets below once the bracket is set Sunday night.
Recent NCAA Tournament history has been very kind to No. 1 seeds.
In all, 17 of the past 25 and 7 of the past 8 national champions were No. 1 seeds. The most recent exception was Connecticut in 2023. Those Huskies entered the tournament as a No. 4 seed. Of course, UConn proceeded to win back-to-back national titles as Danny Hurley kept the bulk of his team in-tact.
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Want a bigger dog than the 2023 Huskies – in terms of seeding – to win a national title? You’ll have to back to the 2014 UConn Huskies. Those pups were a No. 7 seed before running the table and cutting down the nets at Jerry World. Those Huskies were +9500 to win the Tournament.
Three No. 3 seeds have won the Tourname since 2000, and one No. 2 seed has won during that time.
March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Game-By-Game Predictions
Here are our predictions for each of the First Four and First Round Games of the NCAA Men’s Tournament:
First Four
Dates: Tuesday & Wednesday
Site: UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)
Picks: TBA
March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Schedule, Dates To Watch
Here are our key March Madness Picks & Best Bets key dates to mark on your calendar and upcoming schedule:
- First Four: March 17-18
- First round: March 19-20
- Second round: March 21-23
- Sweet 16: March 26-27
- Elite Eight: March 28-29
- Final Four: Saturday, April 4
- National championship game: Monday, April 6
| Round ▲▼ | Dates ▲▼ | City ▲▼ | Venue ▲▼ | Host(s) ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Four | March 17 & 18 | Dayton, OH | UD Arena | University of Dayton |
| First/Second | March 19 & 21 | Buffalo, NY | KeyBank Center | Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference; Canisius College; Niagara University |
| First/Second | March 19 & 21 | Greenville, SC | Bon Secours Wellness Arena | Furman; Southern Conference |
| First/Second | March 19 & 21 | Oklahoma City, OK | Paycom Center | Big 12 Conference |
| First/Second | March 19 & 21 | Portland, OR | Moda Center | Oregon State University |
| First/Second | March 20 & 22 | Tampa, FL | Benchmark International Arena | University of South Florida |
| First/Second | March 20 & 22 | Philadelphia, PA | Xfinity Mobile Arena | Saint Joseph's University |
| First/Second | March 20 & 22 | San Diego, CA | Viejas Arena | San Diego State University |
| First/Second | March 20 & 22 | St. Louis, MO | Enterprise Center | Missouri Valley Conference |
| South Regional | March 26 & 28 | Houston, TX | Toyota Center | Rice University |
| West Regional | March 26 & 28 | San Jose, CA | SAP Center | San Jose State University |
| Midwest Regional | March 27 & 29 | Chicago, IL | United Center | Northwestern University |
| East Regional | March 27 & 29 | Washington, D.C. | Capital One Arena | Georgetown University |
| Final Four | April 4 & 6 | Indianapolis, IN | Lucas Oil Stadium | Horizon League; IU Indianapolis |
First Four • March 17 & 18 • Dayton, OH
First/Second • March 19 & 21 • Buffalo, NY
First/Second • March 19 & 21 • Greenville, SC
First/Second • March 19 & 21 • Oklahoma City, OK
First/Second • March 19 & 21 • Portland, OR
First/Second • March 20 & 22 • Tampa, FL
First/Second • March 20 & 22 • Philadelphia, PA
First/Second • March 20 & 22 • San Diego, CA
First/Second • March 20 & 22 • St. Louis, MO
South Regional • March 26 & 28 • Houston, TX
West Regional • March 26 & 28 • San Jose, CA
Midwest Regional • March 27 & 29 • Chicago, IL
East Regional • March 27 & 29 • Washington, D.C.
Final Four • April 4 & 6 • Indianapolis, IN
March Madness Picks & Best Bets: All-Time Longshots To Win
Going back to the expansion of the field to 64 teams in 1985, here's a look as the longest pre=tournament odds for the NCCA winner.
| odds | YEAR | Team | SEED | FINAL OPP. | SCORE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +9500 | 2014 | UConn | No. 7 | Kentucky | 60-54 |
| +3500 | 1985 | Villanova | No. 8 | G'town | 66-64 |
| +2500 | 2011 | UConn | No. 3 | Butler | 53-41 |
| +2000 | 1988 | Kentucky | No. 6 | Oklahom | 83-79 |
| +1800 | 1997 | Arizona | No, 6 | Kentucky | 84-79 (OT) |
| +1600 | 2023 | UConn | No. 4 | San Diego | 76-59 |
March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Betting Trends To Watch
Here's a look at some trends and history surrounding the March Madness top seeds:
- Most times seeded No. 1: North Carolina (18)
- All four No. 1 seeds made Final Four: Twice (2008, 2025)
- No No. 1 seeds made Final Four: Four (1980, 2006, 2011, 2023)
- Championship games featuring two No. 1 seeds: 11 (1982, 1983, 1999, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2015, 2017, 2021, 2024, 2025)
- Championship game featuring no No. 1 seeds (modern era): Eight
- Only team to beat three No. 1 seeds: Arizona (1997 - beat No. 1 Kansas in Elite Eight, No. 1 North Carolina in Final Four, No. 1 Kentucky in championship game)
March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Best Finish By Seed
In all the No. 1 see has won 26 national championships since the NCAA Tournament expanded to its current (legitimate) 64-team field in 1985,
| SEED | BEST FINISH | TIMES |
|---|---|---|
| No. 1 | National Champion | 26 |
| No. 2 | National Champion | 5 |
| No. 3 | National Champion | 4 |
| No. 4 | National Champion | 2 |
| No. 5 | Runner-up | 4 |
| No. 6 | National Champion | 1 |
| No. 7 | National Champion | 1 |
| No. 8 | National Champion | 1 |
| No. 9 | Final Four | 2 |
| No. 10 | Final Four | 1 |
| No. 11 | Final Four | 6 |
| No. 12 | Elite Eight | 2 |
| No. 13 | Sweet 16 | 3 |
| No. 14 | Sweet 16 | 2 |
| No. 15 | Elite Eight | 2 |
| No. 16 | Second round | 2 |
March Madness Picks & Best Bets: SU Record By Seed
The No. 1 rocks on the moneyline, going 537-134 (.800) straight-up in the NCAA Tournament going back to 1939. In all, seeds 1 through 5 are historically above water in terms of winning straight up. Here's a look.
| Seed | Overall record |
| No. 1 | 537-134 |
| No. 2 | 373-155 |
| No. 3 | 294-156 |
| No. 4 | 250-158 |
| No. 5 | 183-160 |
| No. 6 | 168-159 |
| No. 7 | 141-159 |
| No. 8 | 113-159 |
| No. 9 | 98-160 |
| No. 10 | 97-159 |
| No. 11 | 105-160 |
| No. 12 | 81-160 |
| No. 13 | 39-160 |
| No. 14 | 25-160 |
| No. 15 | 16-160 |
| No. 16 | 2-160 |
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