March Madness Picks & Best Bets 2026 NCAA Tournament - First Round & First Four

The Road To Indianapolis begins Tuesday with the so-called First Four games of the NCAA Tournament. This year, March Madness ends in April with the National Championship Game on April 6. After checking the latest college basketball odds, be sure to check our March Madness Picks & Best Bets below once the bracket is set Sunday night.

Recent NCAA Tournament history has been very kind to No. 1 seeds.

In all, 17 of the past 25 and 7 of the past 8 national champions were No. 1 seeds. The most recent exception was Connecticut in 2023. Those Huskies entered the tournament as a No. 4 seed. Of course, UConn proceeded to win back-to-back national titles as Danny Hurley kept the bulk of his team in-tact.


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Want a bigger dog than the 2023 Huskies – in terms of seeding – to win a national title? You’ll have to back to the 2014 UConn Huskies. Those pups were a No. 7 seed before running the table and cutting down the nets at Jerry World. Those Huskies were +9500 to win the Tournament.

Three No. 3 seeds have won the Tourname since 2000, and one No. 2 seed has won during that time.


March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Game-By-Game Predictions

Here are our predictions for each of the First Four and First Round Games of the NCAA Men’s Tournament:

First Four

Dates: Tuesday & Wednesday
Site: UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)
Picks:
TBA


March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Schedule, Dates To Watch

Here are our key March Madness Picks & Best Bets key dates to mark on your calendar and upcoming schedule:

  • First Four: March 17-18
  • First round: March 19-20
  • Second round: March 21-23
  • Sweet 16: March 26-27
  • Elite Eight: March 28-29
  • Final Four: Saturday, April 4
  • National championship game: Monday, April 6
March Madness Schedule
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Round ▲▼Dates ▲▼City ▲▼Venue ▲▼Host(s) ▲▼
First FourMarch 17 & 18Dayton, OHUD ArenaUniversity of Dayton
First/SecondMarch 19 & 21Buffalo, NYKeyBank CenterMetro Atlantic Athletic Conference; Canisius College; Niagara University
First/SecondMarch 19 & 21Greenville, SCBon Secours Wellness ArenaFurman; Southern Conference
First/SecondMarch 19 & 21Oklahoma City, OKPaycom CenterBig 12 Conference
First/SecondMarch 19 & 21Portland, ORModa CenterOregon State University
First/SecondMarch 20 & 22Tampa, FLBenchmark International ArenaUniversity of South Florida
First/SecondMarch 20 & 22Philadelphia, PAXfinity Mobile ArenaSaint Joseph's University
First/SecondMarch 20 & 22San Diego, CAViejas ArenaSan Diego State University
First/SecondMarch 20 & 22St. Louis, MOEnterprise CenterMissouri Valley Conference
South RegionalMarch 26 & 28Houston, TXToyota CenterRice University
West RegionalMarch 26 & 28San Jose, CASAP CenterSan Jose State University
Midwest RegionalMarch 27 & 29Chicago, ILUnited CenterNorthwestern University
East RegionalMarch 27 & 29Washington, D.C.Capital One ArenaGeorgetown University
Final FourApril 4 & 6Indianapolis, INLucas Oil StadiumHorizon League; IU Indianapolis

March Madness Picks & Best Bets: All-Time Longshots To Win

Going back to the expansion of the field to 64 teams in 1985, here's a look as the longest pre=tournament odds for the NCCA winner.

oddsYEARTeamSEEDFINAL OPP.SCORE
+95002014UConnNo. 7Kentucky60-54
+35001985VillanovaNo. 8G'town66-64
+25002011UConnNo. 3Butler53-41
+20001988KentuckyNo. 6Oklahom83-79
+18001997ArizonaNo, 6Kentucky84-79 (OT)
+16002023UConnNo. 4San Diego76-59

Here's a look at some trends and history surrounding the March Madness top seeds:

  • Most times seeded No. 1: North Carolina (18)
  • All four No. 1 seeds made Final Four: Twice (2008, 2025)
  • No No. 1 seeds made Final Four: Four (1980, 2006, 2011, 2023)
  • Championship games featuring two No. 1 seeds: 11 (1982, 1983, 1999, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2015, 2017, 2021, 2024, 2025)
  • Championship game featuring no No. 1 seeds (modern era): Eight
  • Only team to beat three No. 1 seeds: Arizona (1997 - beat No. 1 Kansas in Elite Eight, No. 1 North Carolina in Final Four, No. 1 Kentucky in championship game)

March Madness Picks & Best Bets: Best Finish By Seed

In all the No. 1 see has won 26 national championships since the NCAA Tournament expanded to its current (legitimate) 64-team field in 1985,

SEEDBEST FINISHTIMES
No. 1National Champion26
No. 2National Champion5
No. 3National Champion4
No. 4 National Champion2
No. 5Runner-up4
No. 6 National Champion1
No. 7National Champion1
No. 8 National Champion1
No. 9 Final Four2
No. 10 Final Four1
No. 11Final Four6
No. 12Elite Eight2
No. 13Sweet 163
No. 14Sweet 162
No. 15Elite Eight2
No. 16Second round2

March Madness Picks & Best Bets: SU Record By Seed

The No. 1 rocks on the moneyline, going 537-134 (.800) straight-up in the NCAA Tournament going back to 1939. In all, seeds 1 through 5 are historically above water in terms of winning straight up. Here's a look.

SeedOverall record
No. 1537-134
No. 2373-155
No. 3294-156
No. 4 250-158
No. 5183-160
No. 6 168-159
No. 7141-159
No. 8 113-159
No. 9 98-160
No. 10 97-159
No. 11105-160
No. 1281-160
No. 1339-160
No. 1425-160
No. 1516-160
No. 162-160