Next Michigan Football Head Coach Odds

What looked like a settled coaching carousel in the FBS ranks has suddenly spun to life. The Michigan Wolverines fired head coach Sherrone Moore for cause on Wednesday afternoon, according to a university statement.
To get a sense of where athletic director Warde Manuel will go in replacing Moore in Ann Arbor, Bookies.com created these hypothetical next Michigan football head coach odds. These odds are exclusive to Bookies.com, home of the top sportsbook promo codes.
Next Michigan Head Coach Odds
| Coach | Current Position | Pct. Chance | Odds |
| Jedd Fisch | Washington Head Coach | 18.2% | +450 |
| Kalen DeBoer | Alabama Head Coach | 17.4% | +475 |
| Marcus Freeman | Notre Dame Head Coach | 12.5% | +700 |
| Jesse Minter | Chargers Defensive Coordinator | 8.3% | +1100 |
| Biff Poggi | Michigan Interim Head Coach | 8.3% | +1100 |
| Lincoln Riley | USC Head Coach | 6.3% | +1500 |
| Joe Brady | Bills Offensive Coordinator | 6.3% | +1500 |
| Brian Kelly | Former LSU Head Coach | 3.8% | +2500 |
| Jon Gruden | Former Raiders Head Coach | 3.8% | +2500 |
| Dan Lanning | Oregon Head Coach | 2.0% | +5000 |
| Curt Cignetti | Indiana Head Coach | 2.0% | +5000 |
| The Field | 13.3% | +650 |
Stick to Bookies for more college football betting insight as the bowl season gets underway this weekend.
Top Next Michigan Head Coach Candidates
Jedd Fisch (Washington head coach): +450
When it comes to skipping around the country in search of a bigger stage, few college coaches have done so more than Jedd Fisch of Washington, a fairly new Big Ten rival for Michigan. Fisch was the head coach at Arizona for three years (2021-23), with five stops in the NCAA and NFL between 2015 and 2019.
One of those stops was a two-year stint as Michigan’s quarterbacks and wide receivers coach, while also serving as Jim Harbaugh’s passing game coordinator. His experience on this staff could entice the 49-year-old to come back to Ann Arbor this time around and make more college football news.
For now, we’re giving Fisch +450 odds of doing just that, with a manageable $10 million contract buyout at UW and deep connections with the University of Michigan.
Kalen DeBoer (Alabama head coach): +475
Should Manuel and company opt for a total reboot, there would be a seismic option in Tuscaloosa. Second-year Alabama head coach Kalen DeBoer is sitting pretty as a potential replacement option at UM.
DeBoer’s buyout is rumored to be between $60 million to 70 million. But he’d be a noteworthy hire for UM, with a CFP runner-up finish during his final season at Washington in 2023 and 19 wins in 26 games coaching the Crimson Tide.
We’re giving DeBoer a puncher’s chance at the UM opening, with a 17.4% implied probability. That would translate to +475 odds if it were available as a prop wager at top US sportsbooks. The chances of this happening might rest more on whether DeBoer wants to depart Alabama than anything to do with the Wolverines opening.
Marcus Freeman (Notre Dame head coach): +700
Another head coach as a traditional powerhouse program who might be an option is Marcus Freeman of Notre Dame. He is only 39 and led the Fighting Irish to the CFP title game last season, the highlight of his run in South Bend over four full seasons.
After Notre Dame’s snub from this year’s CFP, Freeman could view UM as a safer bet (though, starting next season, the Fighting Irish will get an automatic CFP bid if they are in the final top 12). Freeman is familiar with the Big Ten, having played at Michigan’s archrival, Ohio State.
Freeman enters the Michigan carousel at +700 odds on our board to be the next man up in Ann Arbor, ranking third overall.
Jesse Minter (Chargers defensive coordinator): +1100
Another familiar option for Manuel would be to bring back former Wolverines defensive coordinator Jesse Minter, an assistant under Harbaugh from 2022 to 2023 at UM who moved with Harbaugh to the NFL.
Minter’s time at UM netted the school a CFP title (in 2023) and saw him build one of the nation’s most ferocious defenses, which could be enticing to Wolverines leadership.
We’re not writing Minter off, but we are guessing that Manuel and his team will want someone with a little more head coaching experience this time around. So the current Chargers DC enters the cycle at +1100 on our list to be the next head coach of the Wolverines.
Biff Poggi (Michigan interim head coach): +1100
Our other Michigan candidate listed at +1100 is the man who’ll lead the Wolverines in the upcoming Cheez-It Citrus Bowl – interim head coach Biff Poggi.
At DraftKings Sportsbook on Wednesday afternoon, Michigan was a 6.5-point underdog to Texas in the Citrus Bowl on Dec. 31. But that line might move in the weeks before the bowl game, depending on any further news out of Ann Arbor.
Poggi has some head coaching experience, going 8-16 at Charlotte as head coach from 2023 to 2024. He returned to Ann Arbor this season as associate head coach, putting him in line to potentially get the job full time in 2026.
We’re giving the former hedge fund manager from Baltimore +1100 odds of doing so, speaking to the power that comes from landing the Michigan job (even temporarily) during bowl season. Our best sportsbook apps reviews let you compare lines on bowl games and choose an operator.
Who Else Could Land the Job?
We also considered some longshot candidates who could step in and surprise people.
That list includes USC’s Lincoln Riley and Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Joe Brady at +1500 apiece, then former LSU head coach Brian Kelly and former NFL head coach Jon Gruden at +2500.
Finally, two candidates co-listed at +5000 are already head coaches in the Big Ten: Oregon’s Dan Lanning and Indiana’s Curt Cignetti. Both landed their teams in the 12-team CFP field this year, potentially keeping them occupied too long to even get a crack at the Wolverines opening.
What we know for sure is that Michigan will need a new head coach for the first time since Moore replaced Harbaugh in 2024, with a host of in-and-out of house options to choose from in Ann Arbor.
And for postseason insight, our College Football Bowl Betting Guide has tips covering the next several weeks of action.
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