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Best Bets for 🏀 NBA - Saturday, May 2, 2026

Game 7 between the 76ers and Celtics at TD Garden is the highest-stakes NBA game of the weekend, with Boston trying to avoid blowing a 3-1 series lead against a surging Philly squad riding Embiid's return. This is the first Game 7 of the 2026 playoffs, on national TV, and draws the biggest betting handle of any first-round matchup.

Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics

76ers 45-37 (7-seed, 24-20 road); Celtics 56-26 (2-seed, 31-13 home). Series tied 3-3.

7:30 PM ET·NBC, Peacock

Boston was up 3-1 but lost Games 5 and 6 — the last two by a combined 26 points — after Embiid returned from appendectomy surgery. Philadelphia held the Celtics under 100 points in all three of their wins and posted the 2nd-best turnover rate and 3rd-best defensive net rating among all 16 playoff teams over the past two games. Boston shot just 28-29% from three in those two losses; they make 41.7% from deep in their wins versus 27.7% in losses, making three-point variance the clearest line of demarcation. The spread has moved from an opening -9.5 down to -7.5, reflecting Philly's momentum and Tatum's calf scare, but Boston is 20-11 ATS at home as a favorite of 8.5+ points this season.

Injuries

🟢 Joel Embiid (post-appendectomy recovery) — PROBABLE

🟢 Tyrese Maxey (right finger tendon strain) — PROBABLE

🟢 Jayson Tatum (left calf tightness) — ACTIVE, confirmed to play

Best Bets

76ers +7.5-110

Philly covered as a 12-point road dog in Games 2 and 5, winning both by double digits. The line has compressed from -9.5 to -7.5 for good reason, this team is playing its best basketball and Embiid is averaging 26-8-7.3 since his return.

Under 206.5-110

Philadelphia held Boston under 100 in all three series wins. Boston averaged just 95.7 PPG in their three losses versus 119.7 in wins, a tight, defensive Game 7 environment heavily favors the under.

Jayson Tatum Over 10.5 Rebounds-118

Tatum is averaging 10.7 boards per game this series and has hit 11+ in four of six games, including 11 in a limited 28-minute Game 6 outing. Boston's frontcourt depth against Embiid forces Tatum to rebound heavily regardless of scoring output.

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