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Best Bets for NBA Games for May 6, 2026

The NBA Playoffs second round kicks into high gear Wednesday with two Conference Semifinals Game 2s. The Knicks look to go up 2-0 after a historically dominant Game 1 win, while the Spurs aim to even their series after being stunned by the Timberwolves on their home floor.

Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks

45-37 vs 53-29 — 7:00 PM ET — ESPN

🏥 Philadelphia 76ers

✅ RETURNING: Joel Embiid (right ankle sprain (probable))

New York's MSG dominance as a big favorite is historically overwhelming, but Philadelphia has gone 9-3 SU and 7-5 ATS this season after losing by 20+, and the total has gone under in three of the Knicks' last six home games — making the under and a Sixers cover both worth consideration.

Game Synopsis

The Knicks blew out the 76ers by 39 points in Game 1 and are the first team in NBA history to win three consecutive postseason games by 25+ points. New York is 21-7 ATS (75%) when laying more than five points at MSG, including 3-1 ATS in these playoffs. Philadelphia rallied from a 3-1 deficit to beat Boston in the first round but is 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS in Game 2s after losing Game 1 on the road since 2018.

Pick 1: Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 (-110)

The 76ers are 7-5 ATS this season after a 20-point loss, Embiid is expected to play with more minutes, and a 39-point blowout invites natural regression — expect Philadelphia to keep it closer in Game 2.

Pick 2: Under 215.5 (-110)

The total has gone under in three of the Knicks' last six home games, and if Philadelphia tightens its defense and reduces turnovers from 19, this figures to be a lower-possession, grind-it-out game.

Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

49-33 vs 62-20 — 9:30 PM ET — ESPN

🏥 Minnesota Timberwolves

✅ RETURNING: Anthony Edwards (deep bone bruise (expected to play))

The Spurs dropped two points off the opening line after losing Game 1 at home as large favorites — San Antonio's offense stalled late and the market hasn't fully punished them, making Minnesota's ability to cover again worth monitoring given Edwards' clutch performance.

Game Synopsis

Minnesota stole Game 1 in San Antonio 104-102 as double-digit underdogs, with Anthony Edwards scoring 18 points on 8-of-13 shooting despite playing through a bone bruise. The Spurs finished 62-20 and went 34-10 at home in the regular season, and San Antonio is a 78% implied favorite to win Game 2. Victor Wembanyama recorded 12 blocks in Game 1 but the Spurs still fell short, raising major questions about their ability to generate offense when it matters most.

Pick 1: Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 (-110)

Minnesota already covered +11.5 in Game 1 on the road, Edwards is expected to be healthy enough to play, and the Spurs have shown they struggle to close out tight games — the Wolves have the personnel to stay within single digits again.

Pick 2: Under 215.5 (-110)

Game 1 finished 104-102 well under the total, Wembanyama's 12 blocks signal a suffocating defensive presence, and both teams play at a controlled pace — the under looks sharp here.

🔥 SHARP PLAY: Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

9:30 PM ET — ESPN

The line dropping from +11.5 to +9.5 after Minnesota won Game 1 outright signals sharp money on the Timberwolves — the public typically fades road underdogs who stole Game 1, but the number movement suggests books respect Minnesota's chances of covering again.

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