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Best Bets for NBA Games for May 7, 2026

The 2026 NBA Playoffs roll into Thursday with two high-stakes Conference Semifinal Game 2s, both on Prime Video. Detroit looks to go up 2-0 on Cleveland at home while Oklahoma City — an overwhelming favorite — tries to bury the injury-depleted Lakers. Sharp money and public money are pointing in very different directions tonight.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons

56-34 vs 64-18 (series: DET leads 1-0) — 7:00 PM ET — Prime Video

🏥 Detroit Pistons

❌ OUT: Kevin Huerter (adductor (doubtful))

Detroit's relentless home-court pressure and Cleveland's 0-5 ATS mark in their last five road games make the Pistons -3.5 the play. The under is equally compelling given both teams' recent scoring tendencies and Detroit's defensive dominance holding opponents to 42.2% shooting over their last four wins.

Game Synopsis

Detroit won Game 1 111-101 behind 19 forced turnovers, a massive free throw disparity (35 vs. 16), and Jalen Duren's seven offensive rebounds that limited Jarrett Allen to just 18 minutes. The Pistons are 12-2 SU and 9-5 ATS in their last 14 home games since March 12, while Cleveland is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS as a road underdog since February 27. Four of five matchups between these teams this season — including Game 1 — have gone under the total.

Pick 1: Detroit Pistons -3.5 (-110)

Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in their last five road games and 0-4 SU in this playoff run away from home. Detroit's turnover edge and free throw disparity from Game 1 are structural advantages that won't disappear overnight.

Pick 2: Under 215.5 (-110)

Four of five head-to-head matchups this season have gone under, and Detroit has held opponents to 95.8 points on 42.2% shooting over their last four wins. Cleveland's road offensive struggles compound the case for the under.

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