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Best Bets for NBA Games for April 25, 2026

Two First Round playoff series hang in the balance on Saturday, with both home teams looking to seize commanding advantages. The Hawks host the Knicks in a gritty Eastern Conference battle where Atlanta leads 2-1, while the Timberwolves look to push Denver to the brink in a star-studded Western showdown also tilted 2-1 in Minnesota's favor.

New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks

53-29 vs 46-36 — 6:00 PM ET — NBC/Peacock

🏥 Atlanta Hawks

❌ OUT: Jock Landale (right high ankle sprain)

🏥 New York Knicks

✅ RETURNING: OG Anunoby (left ankle sprain (cleared, no longer on injury report))

The under trend is hard to ignore with both teams playing suffocating late-game defense — six of New York's last seven and six of Atlanta's last nine have gone under. Atlanta's road ATS edge (.561) and two straight clutch home wins make the Hawks a live dog or slight lean at home despite being underdogs.

Game Synopsis

The Hawks (46-36) hold a 2-1 series lead over the Knicks (53-29), winning Games 2 and 3 by a combined three points to flip the series. Atlanta covered the spread 44 times in 82 regular season games and enters Game 4 with momentum after swiping 10 steals and recording 8 blocks in their Game 3 win. The under has hit in six of New York's last seven games and six of Atlanta's last nine, making the 214.5 total a key market to watch.

Pick 1: Under 214.5 (-110)

The under has cashed in six of New York's last seven games and six of Atlanta's last nine, and both teams have leaned on halfcourt, grind-it-out basketball in this series with Games 2 and 3 each finishing in the low 200s.

Pick 2: Atlanta Hawks +1.5 (-110)

Atlanta owns home-court, leads the series 2-1, and has won back-to-back nail-biters by a combined three points — backing the Hawks to cover a slim spread at State Farm Arena is the play with CJ McCollum and Jalen Johnson both in form.

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

54-28 vs 49-33 — 8:30 PM ET — ABC

🏥 Denver Nuggets

❌ OUT: Peyton Watson (right hamstring strain (out since April 4, no timetable))

🏥 Minnesota Timberwolves

❌ OUT: Jaylen Clark (illness)

❌ OUT: Terrence Shannon Jr. (illness)

✅ RETURNING: Anthony Edwards (left Game 3 early for undisclosed reasons but is not on injury report for Game 4)

Denver covered 44 times this season and figures to be desperate facing a 3-1 series hole — Jokić's triple-double upside makes the Nuggets plus the points attractive in a game they cannot afford to lose. The under also has teeth given Minnesota's home over rate was just 14-of-41 this season and the historical under trend in this rivalry.

Game Synopsis

Minnesota (49-33) leads Denver (54-28) 2-1 after blowing out the Nuggets 113-96 in Game 3, outscoring them in the paint 68-34 behind big nights from Jaden McDaniels and Ayo Dosunmu. The Timberwolves covered just 38 times in 82 games this season while the Nuggets led the league with 44 ATS covers, and the total has gone under in four of the last six meetings between these teams. Anthony Edwards is healthy enough to play but his effectiveness after leaving Game 3 early remains a key storyline.

Pick 1: Denver Nuggets +1.5 (-110)

The Nuggets led the league with 44 ATS covers and Nikola Jokić — averaging 27.7 points, 12.9 rebounds, and 10.7 assists — elevates his game in must-win spots, making Denver plus the points a strong value in an elimination-or-die situation.

Pick 2: Under 229.5 (-110)

The total has gone under in four of the last six Nuggets-Timberwolves matchups, Minnesota's home over rate was a league-low 14-of-41 this season, and both teams have defensive personnel — Gobert, Jokić — capable of controlling pace in a high-stakes Game 4.

🔥 SHARP PLAY: Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

8:30 PM ET — ABC

Denver +1.5 is the sharp lean — Jokić-led teams rarely go quietly when facing a 3-1 series deficit, and the Nuggets' league-best 44 ATS covers this season support backing them to keep it within the number on the road.