By Bookies.com | | | 5 mins
Atlanta Falcons At Buffalo Bills Free Picks & Betting Predictions
The mark of a great team is delivering their best performance on the biggest stage. That’s what the Buffalo Bills did Sunday at Foxborough. Throttling the New England Patriots 33-21, the 9-6 Bills regained control of the AFC East. With games against the 7-8 Atlanta Falcons and the 4-11 New York Jets to close out the regular season, destiny is certainly within Buffalo’s grasp.
At 7-8, the Falcons remain in with a postseason chance but Atlanta is about as legit as a playoff team as those Hallmark Christmas movies are Oscar worthy. It’s no surprise at all that betting sites have the Bills as 14-point favorites in the NFL picks.
Check out the latest Falcons vs Bills odds, betting lines, injury report and more.
Falcons vs Bills Key Matchups
Falcons vs Elite Opposition: Atlanta’s last three wins are against Jacksonville, Carolina and Detroit. The Falcons are 1-5 straight up this season against teams with winning records.
Josh Allen vs Atlanta Defense: Last week, Buffalo’s Allen became the first QB in NFL history with 100 TD passes and 20 TD runs in his first four seasons. The Falcons are 22nd at stopping the run and 23rd at preventing the pass, so Allen can slice them up with either or both of his double threats.
Bills Takeaways vs Falcons Giveaways: Only Dallas (33) and Indianapolis (31) have forced more takeaways than Buffalo (29). The Bills are fourth in the NFL with a turnover ratio of +10. Atlanta shows a -5 turnover ratio this season.
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5 Key Falcons vs Bills Stats
2: Or fewer TD passes in seven straight games for Falcons QB Matt Ryan. That’s a career high.
8-1: Buffalo’s record when scoring 30 points in a game this season.
4: TD passes by Ryan over his last seven games. He threw for 15 TDs over the first eight games of the season.
9: TD catches by Bills TE Dawson Knox. The previous Buffalo record for TDs in a season by a TE was six.
11: TDs by Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson this season. He scored 10 TDs in his first four NFL seasons.
Falcons vs Bills Weather Forecast
The weather is borderline Buffalo in January. Rain is in the forecast, with 6 mph wind and a temperature of 34 degrees. Just a slight drop in the mercury and field conditions could really become treacherous. The Falcons have lost their last three December/January games played outdoors at cold weather sites.
Falcons vs Bills Moneyline
Atlanta does have two wins in five trips to Buffalo. The Falcons have won four of the last five overall against the Bills. Buffalo is just 4-3 at home this season, while Atlanta is 5-3 on the road. The Falcons are 3-6 SU as an underdog. Buffalo is 7-5 SU as a favorite. Atlanta has won just seven of its last 20 games but the Falcons are 4-2 in their last six games played in January.
The Bills are 11-3 SU in their last 14 home games and 13-7 in their last 20 games. The Bills are going to win but at odds of -1000 in NFL betting, aren’t worth a moneyline play.
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Falcons vs Bills Point Spread
Last week Buffalo became the first team to win consecutive games in New England by double-digit margins. The Bills have won 16 consecutive games by 10+ points. That’s the longest streak of such length in the NFL since 1950. This is the sixth time in 16 games this season that the Bills find themselves at sportsbooks as the double-digit point chalk in the NFL spreads.
They are 3-1-1 ATS in the five previous games. The Bills are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against NFC opposition. Take the Bills and lay the 14 points.
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Falcons vs Bills Totals
The Bills have scored 30 points in each of their last two games. In fact, Buffalo has posted 18 games of 30+ points since the start of the 2020 season. Buffalo is the NFL’s No. 3 scoring offense, averaging 28.5 points per game. Atlanta rates as the 26th scoring offense (18.5 ppg).
The total has gone over in six of the past eight Bills-Falcons contests. The over has also been the play in four of Buffalo’s last five games and five of the Bills’ last seven contests with NFC South opponents. At betting apps, the total for this game is set at 44.5 points. The over is definitely the wager to make.
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