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By Adam Thompson | | 3 mins

Bills-Cowboys Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back

Bills-Cowboys Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back

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Playoff contenders face off in an important Thanksgiving Day showdown as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills head to Texas to face Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys.

The Bills are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six road games but the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:

Bills-Cowboys Best Bets

Pick Expired


All odds current as of publication but subject to change. Check out the latest Bills-Cowboys odds here.

PICK 1: Bills +7

Neither of these teams have built much of a resume despite above-.500 records. Buffalo is just 1-2 against playoff-contending teams, Dallas is 1-4, with the one victory over the Eagles.

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Dallas’ offense should be challenged by the Bills while Buffalo’s run-first offense should find some success against the Cowboys’ middle-of-the-road run defense.

The Cowboys are just 3-4 over the last seven Thanksgivings with only one win more than seven points (last year’s 31-23 nailbiter with the horrid Redskins).

PICK 2: Under 45 Points

Bills-Cowboys Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back 1
Rookie running back Devin Singletary has been a key find for the Bills. The third-round pick from Florida Atlantic has 490 yards on just 84 carries, an average of almost six yards a carry.

Both teams have running backs who will get the rock a lot (the Bills also have one of the top scrambling QBs). Both have passing defenses that will make establishing the run important as well. The Under is 6-1 in Buffalo’s last seven on the road, and it’s 5-1 against above-.500 teams.

PICK 3: Highest Scoring Quarter — Second

The Cowboys and Bills have struggled to open games but once they’re in the thick of it, scoring picks up. The second quarter has been the most-prolific for Dallas all season, and even more so lately, averaging nearly two TDs per game the last three weeks. The second has also been No. 1 for Buffalo lately and is also the quarter it allows the most points.

CHECK OUT: NFL Week 13 Betting Power Rankings

PICK 4: Total Match Turnovers — 2-3

Through 11 games, Cowboys games have a total of 26 turnovers – 2.4 per game. Through 11 games, Bills games have a total of 26 turnovers, too. A prop that covers two and three turnovers looks like a solid bet with a 22-game sample size that averages 2.4.

Bills-Cowboys Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back 2
The Dallas Cowboys would like nothing more than to have Ezekiel Elliott run the ball in the second half and close out the game Thursday. He has 919 yards on 215 carries this season.

PICK 5: Second-Half Moneyline — Cowboys

Dallas has been a second-half team, nearly doubling up the competition all season after the break. The Bills have scored roughly 47 fewer second-half points and allowed more as well.

About the Author

Adam Thompson for
Adam Thompson

NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and He has consistently produced profitable seasons in NFL and college football and established himself as an elite MLB expert in 2018, hitting 61 percent of his money line picks for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players, ending the season on a 22-4 run including 100 percent on World Series games. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB and college football. Now he shares the insight he gained at through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles and on Twitter at @_Adam_Thompson_.