Bills-Cowboys Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back

By Adam Thompson

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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Playoff contenders face off in an important Thanksgiving Day showdown as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills head to Texas to face Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys.

The Bills are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six road games but the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:

Bills-Cowboys Best Bets

Pick Expired

OTHER BETS TO BACK

Highest-Scoring Quarter | Second +160 (DraftKings)
Total Match Turnovers | 2-3 +127 (William Hill)
Second-Half Moneyline | Cowboys -180 (William Hill)

All odds current as of publication but subject to change. Check out the latest Bills-Cowboys odds here.

PICK 1: Bills +7

Neither of these teams have built much of a resume despite above-.500 records. Buffalo is just 1-2 against playoff-contending teams, Dallas is 1-4, with the one victory over the Eagles.

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Dallas’ offense should be challenged by the Bills while Buffalo’s run-first offense should find some success against the Cowboys’ middle-of-the-road run defense.

The Cowboys are just 3-4 over the last seven Thanksgivings with only one win more than seven points (last year’s 31-23 nailbiter with the horrid Redskins).

PICK 2: Under 45 Points

Bills-Cowboys Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back — Rookie running back Devin Singletary has been a key find for the Bills. The third-round pick from Florida Atlantic has 490 yards on just 84 carries, an average of almost six yards a carry.

Both teams have running backs who will get the rock a lot (the Bills also have one of the top scrambling QBs). Both have passing defenses that will make establishing the run important as well. The Under is 6-1 in Buffalo’s last seven on the road, and it’s 5-1 against above-.500 teams.

PICK 3: Highest Scoring Quarter — Second

The Cowboys and Bills have struggled to open games but once they’re in the thick of it, scoring picks up. The second quarter has been the most-prolific for Dallas all season, and even more so lately, averaging nearly two TDs per game the last three weeks. The second has also been No. 1 for Buffalo lately and is also the quarter it allows the most points.

CHECK OUT: Bookies.com NFL Week 13 Betting Power Rankings

PICK 4: Total Match Turnovers — 2-3

Through 11 games, Cowboys games have a total of 26 turnovers – 2.4 per game. Through 11 games, Bills games have a total of 26 turnovers, too. A prop that covers two and three turnovers looks like a solid bet with a 22-game sample size that averages 2.4.

PICK 5: Second-Half Moneyline — Cowboys

Dallas has been a second-half team, nearly doubling up the competition all season after the break. The Bills have scored roughly 47 fewer second-half points and allowed more as well.

About the Author

Adam Thompson

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Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.