For a team from a cold-weather city, the Buffalo Bills sure feast when basking in the sunshine. Bills quarterback Josh Allen’s record against NFL teams from Florida is 8-1. He’s 3-1 in games played in Florida.

The 5-2 Bills are 14-point NFL pick favorites at NFL betting sites over the 1-6 Jaguars and it’s difficult to envision a scenario that doesn’t involve Buffalo winning this game.

Check out the latest Bills vs. Jaguars odds ahead of the matchup in Week 9.

Bills vs Jaguars Key Matchups

Trevor Lawrence vs Bills Defense: Jaguars rookie QB Trevor Lawrence shares the NFL lead for INTs among QBs, having thrown nine interceptions. The Bills own a share of the NFL lead with 11 pickoffs. This figures to be a lethal combo in the demise of the Jags. Buffalo has allowed an NFL-low five TD passes.

Bills Takeaways vs Jaguars Giveaways: Expanding on the tale of the turnover, Buffalo owns an NFL-leading +13 takeaway/giveaway ratio. Jacksonville is an NFL-worst -11. Teams that win the turnover battle generally win the day.

Buffalo’s Stopping Ability vs Jacksonville’s Open Wounds: The Bills are the NFL’s No. 1 defense in terms of the fewest yards allowed per play (4.6). Jacksonville is 27th in the 32-team NFL in this department (6.1).

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5 Key Bills vs Jaguars Stats

19: Number of games Bills QB Allen has recorded a TD pass and a rushing TD since 2018. That’s the most in the NFL. Buffalo is 19-0 in those games.

31: Points surrendered by the Jaguars last week to Seattle backup QB Geno Smith.

5: Number of consecutive games that Allen’s passer rating has gone over 100.

13-42: Jacksonville’s record over the past four seasons. That’s the worst in the NFL.

23: Number of consecutive games that Buffalo has recorded 20+ first downs. That’s the longest active streak in the NFL.

Bills vs Jaguars Weather Forecast

It figures to be a bit chilly by Florida standards for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Jacksonville’s TIAA Field. The weather forecast is calling for clear skies and 6 mph wind conditions. It is November, but the game-time temperature of 54 degrees does seem somewhat tepid for the Sunshine State.

Bills vs Jaguars Player Props

Bills QB Josh Allen, Over 286.5 Passing Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Miami held Allen to 249 yards last week. The previous two times Allen dipped below 250, he threw for over 300 yards the following game.

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Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence, Under 232.5 Yards Passing

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

The Bills are the NFL’s No. 1 pass defense (182.4 yards per game).

Bills WR Emmanuel Sanders, Over 53.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -114 at FanDuel

Sanders has bettered this total in four of the past five games.

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Bills vs Jaguars Moneyline

Jacksonville has lost 19 of 20 games overall and 10 of the last 11 the Jaguars have played at home. Buffalo is 9-3 straight up in the club’s past 12 road games. Two of those three losses were at Tennessee and the other to Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game.

Jacksonville is 3-12 SU in the last 15 games when the team kicked off as a home underdog. Buffalo is 8-2 SU as the away chalk over the same span. The Bills are -1000 on the moneyline in NFL betting on this game. That simply isn’t worth a play.

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Bills vs Jaguars Point Spread

The Bills are all about big NFL spreads and we don’t mean their post-game meal. Each of Buffalo’s last 12 wins have been by a margin of at least 10 points. That’s the longest such streak since the 1998-99 Rams.

NFL betting apps show that the Bills are 4-2-1 this season against the spread and 1-0-1 ATS as a double-digit point favorite. Buffalo is 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 games and 10-5 ATS in the last 15 games against the Jaguars. The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games at Jacksonville. Take the Bills and lay the 14 points at DraftKings.

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Bills vs Jaguars Totals

The total has gone over in nine of Buffalo’s last 12 road games. Overall this season, though, the Bills are just 3-4 on the total. Jacksonville has gone over in only two of seven games. The established total at sportsbooks on this game is 48.5 points.

The Bills figure to do their part. Buffalo is the NFL’s No. 1 scoring offense (32.7 points per game). Jacksonville rates 27th in scoring offense (17.6 ppg). The total has gone under in five of the Jags’ last six games. However, it’s gone over in six of the last seven against Buffalo. Take the Over 48.5 (-114) at FanDuel as the play here.

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