Chiefs vs Ravens Picks Week 2 For Sunday Night Football
The AFC rivalry between Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson resumes on Sunday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens host the Kansas City Chiefs. One of these teams has finished with the best record in the AFC three years running.
Chiefs vs. Ravens Key Matchups
Lamar Jackson vs. Chiefs Pass Defense: In three games, Jackson has passed for 147, 267 and 97 yards. KC was torched by Baker Mayfield in Week 1 for 321 yards, but no TDs and a game-clinching INT in the end.
Sammy Watkins vs. Old Team: Watkins played three seasons with Mahomes and the Chiefs, but 2020 was his least-productive (37 catches, 421 yards, two TDs, all lows). In his first start for Baltimore, Watkins had a team-high eight targets, at 96 yards on four receptions, showcasing an immediate bond with Jackson. Watkins should be extra motivated in this spot against his old team.
CEH vs. Ravens Front 7: Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire managed only 43 yards on 14 carries (3.1 per carry) in Week 1. He’ll look to improve upon that, or at least closer to his 4.4 average, against a Ravens defense that allowed 4.3 per rush last year.
5 Key Chiefs vs. Ravens Stats
0: Career yards gained by Ravens RB Ty’Son Williams before gaining 65 yards on nine carries and a TD in Baltimore’s 33-27 OT loss to the Raiders. Latavius Murray led RBs with 10 carries, but for just 28 yards.
45: Wins by the Chiefs over the last three seasons and after Week 1, compared to just 12 defeats. No team has won more than KC in that span.
58.5: The QB rating for Jackson in three games against the Chiefs, all losses. He has just three TDs in those games and a 52.6% completion percentage.
99: Career wins in Kansas City for head coach Andy Reid. He compiled 130 wins with the Eagles; no coach has won 100 games with two franchises.
457: Yards allowed in Week 1 by the Chiefs, to Baker Mayfield (304 through the air) and the Browns run game (153), the most since the 490 given up in Week 5 of 2020 against the Raiders. They’d held seven of their previous eight regular season opponents to under 400.
Chiefs vs. Ravens Weather Forecast
Clear skies and temperatures in the 60s and 70s are expected for Sunday night in Baltimore. That’s following a sunny day in the 80s, meaning the field and conditions should be ideal for this marquee showdown.
Chiefs vs. Ravens Moneyline
When it comes to NFL betting on the moneyline in this rivalry, Mahomes has bested Jackson in all three career matchups. Last season it was a 34-20 handling in prime time; the other two matchups came down to one score.
For Sunday Night, the Chiefs are around -190 on the moneyline, the Ravens are +135. Certainly the Chiefs have had the Ravens’ number recently. More concerning for Baltimore was the beatdown put upon its defense by Derek Carr and the Raiders in Week 1.
Carr passed for 435 yards, the most of any QB in Week 1. That, coupled with Mahomes’ typical mastery and KC’s penchant for getting it done vs. Baltimore, makes KC an enticing ML pick. You can get the Chiefs -200 at BetMGM.
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Chiefs vs. Ravens Point Spread
The Chiefs are favored by a single field goal, but the game is on the road. Kansas City was favored in all eight road games last season, covering just three times. Baltimore was only 5-3 ATS at home in 2020, but its average margin of home games was +11.3, best in the NFL.
The last season the Ravens were underdogs at home, and they covered those two games by an average of 20 points.
Kansas City’s defense struggled with Cleveland’s run game in Week 1. Baltimore’s RBs aren’t as good as Cleveland’s, but Jackson can wreck havoc with his feet. KC needed a furious rally to beat the Browns.
It won’t be as likely against a Ravens defense that ranked No. 1 in fewest points allowed in 2020. Baltimore has more questions than answers following its Week 1 loss at Las Vegas. Let’s see if we can get value away from the three-point spread later in the week.
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Chiefs vs. Ravens Totals
NFL sportsbooks have posted the relatively high Over/Under of 55.5 points for Sunday Night Football. That’s the highest total of Week 2, just in front of the 55 posted for Cowboys vs. Chargers.
The three Mahomes vs. Jackson matchups have averaged 55.3 ppg. So does either side make sense when forming your own NFL picks for Week 2?
Judging from Week 1, the Over looks enticing. The Chiefs played the Browns to a 33-29 nail-biter, while the Ravens and Raiders played a wild 33-27 overtime showdown on Monday. Each totaled 60-plus points. Offenses should have the edge in this one, too. The Over looks better than the Under. You can get Over 54.5 at -115 with DraftKings.
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About the Author
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He has consistently produced profitable seasons in NFL and college football and established himself as an elite MLB expert in 2018, hitting 61 percent of his money line picks for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players, ending the season on a 22-4 run including 100 percent on World Series games. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB and college football. Now he shares the insight he gained at Bookies.com through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles and on Twitter at @_Adam_Thompson_.