By Adam Thompson | | 5 mins
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens Picks & SNF Betting Predictions
The stretch run for the Baltimore Ravens begins on Sunday Night Football, when Lamar Jackson & Co. host Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns. The Ravens (7-3) lead the AFC North, but every team in the division has a winning record, including the Browns (6-5).
Of Baltimore’s final seven games, five are against divisional foes, the other two are vs. the Packers and Rams. Cleveland has lost four of six and barely got past the winless Lions last Sunday. A win would be critical for both sides.
Take a look at Browns vs Ravens odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Browns vs. Ravens Key Matchups
Browns TEs vs. Ravens LBs: No team allows more yards per game to tight ends than the Ravens, and only one allows more TDs. TE David Njoku leads the Browns in receiving yards and fellow TE Austin Hooper leads in receptions.
Nick Chubb vs. Baltimore Front 7: Baltimore’s front ranks No. 2 in fewest yards allowed but only No. 12 in yards per rush. Chubb has 36 carries for 267 yards (7.4 average) the last two games.
Lamar Jackson vs. Myles Garrett: Jackson has been sacked 28 times, the most of any QB per game. Garrett leads the NFL with 13.5 sacks, with at least one half-sack in all but two games.
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5 Key Browns vs. Ravens Stats
1.0: Turnovers committed per game by the Browns, the fifth-lowest average. The Ravens defense ranks 30th in turnovers and have forced just one the last three games.
7.1: Yards rushing per game by quarterbacks against the Browns defense this season. Lamar Jackson averages 71 yards rushing per game, 10 times above that mark.
15: The Ravens’ NFL ranking in point differential this season. They were No. 1 in 2020 and 2019 and haven’t finished outside the top five since 2016.
201.6: The passing yards average of Browns QB Baker Mayfield in five victories. Discounting a 73-yard dud vs. the Patriots, his average in Cleveland’s other four losses is 271.3.
1,415: The combined receiving yards for Ravens WR Marquise Brown (719) and TE Mark Andrews (696). The only other teams with two pass-catchers in the top 20 in yards are the Chiefs and Chargers.
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Browns vs. Ravens Weather Forecast
Sunday night in Baltimore should be dry, but the air will be crisp. Players and fans can expect temperatures in the low 40s for kickoff, which might drop into the upper 30s by the fourth quarter. Winds will be light, so don’t expect Mother Nature to have a big impact on the outcome.
Browns vs. Ravens Moneyline
When it comes to NFL betting on the moneyline, favored Baltimore is a modest -200, while Cleveland is set at +160.
When it comes to matchups on the field, each team’s strength is negated. Each has as top-three rush offense and top-seven run defense. Their passing attacks match up similarly as well. The means the Browns have decent value at solid plus odds. But we can’t trust them to pull out a road upset win.
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Browns vs. Ravens Point Spread
The Ravens are favored by 4.5 points on a point spread line that makes Cleveland an enticing option. Neither of these teams have been good at meeting oddsmakers expectations; the Browns have covered just twice in the last seven games, the Ravens are also 1-3 ATS in their last four.
The edge for Cleveland comes with the points. These teams are evenly matched, assuming Lamar Jackson plays. Baltimore’s last two wins, and four of their seven overall, have been by a FG or less. Three of the Browns’ five losses have been by five or less. The Browns and the points are a heady play here.
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Browns vs. Ravens Totals
Sportsbooks have posted an Over/Under of 48.5 points for Sunday Night Football – that number dropped 1.5 points since opening, thanks to offensive outages on both sides last Sunday.
There is no doubt the Under is the trend for both sides here. Browns games have amazingly hit the Over twice, then the Under twice, since Week 1. The Under hit in Week 11, meaning it points that way again here. The Under has hit in Baltimore’s last two games and neither was in doubt. The Under has been the trend when these teams have faced off lately, too.
The number is high enough to back the Under on your NFL picks lineup for Week 12.
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