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DeAndre Hopkins Next Team Odds: 20% Chance Pats Sign WR

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

DeAndre Hopkins Next Team Odds: 20% Chance Pats Sign WR

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DeAndre Hopkins is coming off the two worst seasons of his NFL career. He reportedly asked for a change of scenery this past winter to try to find the form that made him a four-time All-Pro receiver. Now, the team has obliged due to his bloated salary. Arizona released him on the Friday before Memorial Day Weekend, setting off a free agent tour, with many teams interested.

Hopkins recently said on the I AM ATHLETE podcast that he wants a "stable management" and "a QB who loves the game." He's already met with the Titans, and the Patriots are next on his tour.

Hopkins will be 31 next season, but there are few receivers in the game like him when he's healthy and motivated. Where will D-Hop play in 2023?

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the sport to create these hypothetical NFL futures odds on Hopkins’ 2023 team. 

DeAndre Hopkins 2023 Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
New England Patriots+40020.0%
Dallas Cowboys+60014.3%
Chicago Bears+62514.8%
Buffalo Bills+65013.3%
Tennessee Titans+75011.8%
Detroit Lions+85010.5%
Carolina Panthers+85010.5%
Kansas City Chiefs+90010.0%
Los Angeles Chargers+11008.3%
The Field+15006.3%

Odds above are hypothetical and have been created by the Bookies.com team for entertainment purposes only. They are not widely available on legal betting apps or betting sites. They will not add up to 100% probability most times because they are designed to simulate a line a sportsbook would set.

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Who's in Play To Sign DeAndre Hopkins?

Hopkins was a star with the Texans after being drafted by the team in 2013. From 2017-19, the WR averaged 105 receptions, 1,372 yards and 10 touchdowns. He was shipped out of Houston and was sent to Arizona, where he and Kyler Murray connected 115 times for 1,407 yards and six scores in 2020. 

The last two seasons haven’t gone as smoothly. Injuries and his PED suspension limited Hopkins’ time on the field. Hopkins has three seasons with 111 or more receptions – but only 106 in the last two years combined. There will be hope he can produce WR1-level numbers again. 

Hopkins is reportedly seeking a one-year, $15 million deal with incentives similar to what Odell Beckham Jr. received from the Ravens. 

When asked over the last year which QBs he has said he wanted to play with, five were brought up: Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs, Josh Allen of the Bills, Jalen Hurts of the Eagles, Justin Herbert of the Chargers and Lamar Jackson of the Ravens. 

The Chiefs ($1.1 million) and Bills ($5.5M) would have to make major roster concessions to fit Hopkins under the cap. But both have shown some interest in adding the receiver to the mix. Nothing is impossible, though management will need to decide if the concessions made are worth it. 

Kansas City should be interested. The Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes but are without a true No. 1 receiver on the roster. 

The Eagles ($12.7M), Ravens ($12.2M) and Chargers ($11.8M) could make it work with a few moves. Eagles coach Nick Sirianni indicated he's very happy with the WR corps they have. 

RELATED: Dalvin Cook Next Team Odds: Jets & Cowboys Emerge as Options

Hopkins has reportedly visited with the Tennessee Titans and is set to meet with the New England Patriots. The Titans ($8.4M) aren't close to being able to pay Hopkins what he wants. The Pats ($12.2M) could make it work with a few moves. Each team is desperate to improve its WR room, especially in the ultra-competitive AFC. 

The Patriots were one win away from a postseason berth in a season that saw several bad luck/bizarre defeats. Mac Jones could use a No. 1 WR and there sure appears to be a mutual admiration between Hopkins and coach Bill Belichick

It could be argued that no semi-contender needs WR help more than the aforementioned Titans and Patriots. Of those two, New England can afford to pay the most, so it is the rightful favorite to secure Hopkins

The Dallas Cowboys were the early favorite because they check a lot of the boxes, in terms of QB and competitiveness. The Cowboys were linked to him earlier this offseason and they have $24.1M in cap space. Only the Bears and Panthers - non-contenders with unestablished QBs - can afford to pay Hopkins more.

Nothing is impossible, though owner Jerry Jones on Monday called such a move "unlikely" after adding Brandin Cooks into the mix. The Cowboys could also be in the mix for RB Dalvin Cook. They can't afford both. 

A few other teams have considerable cap space and a massive need at receiver. That includes the Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions and Carolina Panthers

The Bears have more salary cap space than any other team and want to give QB a fighting chance. They've added D.J. Moore in a trade; adding Hopkins as well turns Chicago's offense on its head compared to last year. Detroit is poised to make a massive push into NFC contender status and receiver has a depth issue after Jameson Williams' suspension for betting on sports. The Panthers need a WR1 after trading away Moore to acquire QB Bryce Young No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft. All have reason to kick the tires on Hopkins. 

None, however, possess that game-altering pass-first QB Hopkins appears to prefer. 

All three of those teams rank in the top five in cap space and can afford to pay Hopkins close to what he was getting in Arizona. The unanswered question: In what order are Hopkins' priorities? 

The Field in this market includes more of Hopkins' supposed favored locales, including the Eagles and Ravens, and quasi-playoff contenders that could use a WR, including the Green Bay Packers, Pittsburgh Steelers and Atlanta Falcons

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.
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