First NFL Team Eliminated Odds: 2025 Playoff Predictions

By Adam Thompson Sep 9th, 2025 2:06 PM EDT

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We’re just one week in, but the 2025 NFL season is already shaping up to be a wild one. Super Bowl contenders such as Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens dropped openers, and scoring was way down, with the Under hitting on a whopping 12 of 16 games (75%).

So far, no team looks unbeatable.

But only 14 teams will advance to the NFL Playoffs, which means at some point prior to the Wild Card Round on Jan. 10, 18 teams will get the notification that their season won’t move on into the postseason.

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed his NFL odds as to which team is the first eliminated from postseason consideration for 2025. 

This hypothetical betting market is for entertainment purposes only and does not reflect any market that may be available on betting sites and betting apps. It has been created by Bookies.com. 

Teams Likely To Miss The 2025 NFL Playoffs

The Tennessee Titans (0-1) start as favorites to be the first team knocked out of playoff contention.

The Titans’ defense showed up and held a potentially potent Broncos team down, but the offense managed just 2.4 yards per play and Cam Ward was sacked six times.

The New Orleans Saints (0-1) actually outgained the Cardinals in yards, but couldn’t finish the job at home in a 20-13 defeat. Spencer Rattler is now 0-7 as a starter.

The Carolina Panthers (0-1) managed just 10 points in a listless loss to the Jaguars in Week 1. Through the first week, the Panthers rank 25th in offense and 24th in defense. They have an opportunity to make a statement at Arizona for Week 2.

The Cleveland Browns (0-1) and New York Giants (0-1) were offensive flops in Week 1. The Browns were in a position to upset the Cincinnati Bengals, but a missed extra point and short field goal were too much in a 17-16 home setback. Meanwhile, fans are already calling for a QB change in New York after Russell Wilson completed just 46% of his passes and team managed only six points at the Commanders.

The Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) just beat the New England Patriots (0-1), but both teams come up with identical odds so far. The Raiders’ brutal schedule in the AFC West is a big reason for that. The Pats’ remaining schedule ranks just 29th.

More is expected from the Miami Dolphins (0-1), but questions about after a 33-8 embarrassment at the hands of the Colts. The New York Jets (0-1) showed life with Justin Fields at QB, but the defense was gashed by Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers in Week 1.

The Field includes 1-0 teams such as the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts, as well as 0-1 teams that have potential to go in either direction, such as the Houston Texans, Dallas Cowboys and Atlanta Falcons.

About the Author

Adam Thompson

More About Adam

Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.

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