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Giants at Chiefs Picks, Predictions & MNF Betting Preview NFL Week 8

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 8 mins

Giants at Chiefs Picks, Predictions & MNF Betting Preview NFL Week 8

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The floundering Kansas City Chiefs, whose 3-4 record through seven games matches the total losses in any of the last three complete seasons, seek a turnaround in fortune on the Monday Night Football matchup of Week 8 when they host Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. Patrick Mahomes has struggled to avoid costly turnovers and the defense has struggled to stop anyone. The Giants (2-5) are coming off a thorough 25-3 win over the Panthers.

Betting sites and betting apps have Kansas City as a huge favorite, but not as huge at which it opened. The Chiefs are 10-point favorites, with an Over/Under of 52 points in the latest Chiefs vs. Giants odds.

But this is one of the NFL spreads that has moved dramatically, from an opening line of KC -13.

Check out the latest Chiefs vs. Giants odds ahead of the matchup on Monday Night Football. For local Giants fans, New York sports betting is coming soon. Bookmark our FanDuel promo code New York page to see offers when they become available.

Chiefs vs. Giants Key Matchups

Daniel Jones vs. Chiefs Run Defense: KC has allowed the most quarterback rushes, yards and TDs this season. Jones ranks third in the NFL among QBs in rush yards and second in TDs.

Travis Kelce vs. Giants LBs: New York has allowed the fifth-most pass yards to tight ends. Kelce is, once again, the NFL’s leader at his position in yards gained.

Patrick Mahomes vs. New York ball-hawkers: Mahomes has seven turnovers in the last three games alone. The Giants have forced at least one turnover in every game, and five in the last three.

RELATED: NFL Week 8 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games

5 Key Chiefs vs. Giants Stats

3: Points scored in Week 7 by the Chiefs, just the third regular season game with Patrick Mahomes at QB that Kansas City was held to under 20.

3.2: The average yards per carry for Devontae Booker the last three weeks, since Saquon Barkley (ankle) was injured. The Chiefs are allowing 4.7 ypc, ranking 28th.

8: QB sacks by the Chiefs defense, the lowest total in the NFL.

9: Interceptions thrown by Patrick Mahomes, tied for the most in the NFL. He had six INTs in 15 games last season and five in 14 games in 2019.

10.6: The receptions per game allowed to receivers by the Chiefs defense, the fifth-lowest in the NFL. Daniel Jones’ top four targets for the Giants are all WRs.

Chiefs vs. Giants Weather Forecast

Monday night in Kansas City is shaping up to be a little chilly but not unbearable for fall football. Skies should be clear with no chance of rain, little wind and temperatures in the 40s. Weather should not be a key factor as it was in the Week 7 prime-time games at San Francisco and Seattle.

Chiefs vs. Giants Player Props

Darrel Williams Over 78.5 Total Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

There is a direct correlation between Williams’ production and the Chiefs’ success over the last five weeks. In KC’s two wins with Williams as the lead back, he’s gained 69.5 total yards, including 89 in the last W; in the three losses, none went over 50. For a team struggling to find a rhythm, it might start with Williams.

Tyreek Hill Over 79.5 Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Speaking of direct correlations, here’s another one. In KC’s three wins, Hill is averaging 10.3 receptions for 153 yards. In the four losses, 5.3 receptions for 45.5 yards. The message is clear for Patrick Mahomes: Pass the ball early and often to Tyreek!

Daniel Jones Over 243.5 Pass Yards

Odds: -110 at FOX Bet

The Chiefs defense is allowing 286 pass yards per game, so immediately this number sounds low. The only times they didn’t allow at least 244 was vs. the Ravens (they allowed 230 plus 251 rush yards) and vs. Washington. Jones has finished between 242-267 yards in four of New York’s seven games, and 402 in one of the others. Jones should have a healthier corps of WRs than he’s been used to, and it’s likely the Giants will need to keep up with KC, and that means through the air.

Chiefs vs. Giants Moneyline

The Chiefs are at -450 on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $450 wager to win $100 in profit. Conversely, the underdog Giants are +340 (a $100 wager means $340 in profit). Nearly two-thirds of all moneyline picks at sportsbooks are siding with Kansas City despite the odds.

The Chiefs are a mess right now, certainly not worthy of any price this high. It’s a safer bet than the Giants, but New York is too inconsistent even at these odds. Stay away from the Monday night moneyline.

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Chiefs vs. Giants Point Spread

New York, coming off an impressive 25-3 win over the Panthers, is getting 10 points on the road here at KC. But the last two games the Giants have lost, vs. the Rams and Cowboys, were by 27 and 24 points. The Chiefs have been manhandled in two of their last three, but they’ve roughed up Washington (31-13) and Philadelphia (42-30), both on the road.

The Chiefs are at -10 on the point spread. Which side you pick depends on whether you believe KC’s defense is repairable, and if Patrick Mahomes can rein in his turnover issues. For those looking for a little Monday night NFL betting action, getting the points with the Giants is the best side, but neither looks great. You can get the Giants +10 (-115) at DraftKings.

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Chiefs vs. Giants Totals

The Over/Under for Monday Night Football sits at 52, among the highest totals for NFL Week 8. Is either side worth putting into your NFL picks lineup for Week 8?

This is the lowest O/U for any Chiefs game yet. The Giants have had just one number over 50 this season, a 52.5 O/U that easily hit Over, a 44-20 loss to Dallas. All that said, the Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings between these teams, the last four in KC games on Monday and in most trends involving the Giants. Side with the Under on Monday. You can get Under 52.5 (-110) at BetMGM.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.