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Marcus Mosher for Bookies.com

By Marcus Mosher | | 8 mins

Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs Picks & Betting Predictions

Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs Picks & Betting Predictions

The appeal for this game was lessened on Wednesday when the Packers announced that Aaron Rodgers had tested positive for COVID-19 and would miss this week’s matchup with the Chiefs. Now, it will be Jordan Love’s chance to lead the Packers against Patrick Mahomes in Kansas City.

While the Chiefs do luck out some here, they have had their own set of problems this season. The offense isn’t clicking like we are used to seeing and Mahomes has become far too turnover prone. But can they get back on track against a compromised Packers team at home?

To get you ready for this huge NFC-AFC matchup, here is everything you need to know from an NFL betting perspective going into Week 9.

Check out the latest Packers vs. Chiefs odds ahead of the matchup in Week 9.

Packers vs. Chiefs Key Matchups

Packers WR Davante Adams vs. Chiefs CB L’Jarius Sneed: Adams should be back after missing last week due to COVID-19 and should be in for a big day on Sunday.

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce vs. Packers SS Darnell Savage: Kelce has not gone over 100 receiving yards since Week 3, but is this the game that he will have some success? Look for Savage and Adrian Amos to cover him a ton in Week 9.

Chiefs LT Orlando Brown vs. Packers EDGE Preston Smith: Smith is the best Edge rusher for the Packers and will almost exclusively rush off the blind side. These two former Ravens should be fun to watch on Sunday.

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Packers vs. Chiefs Stats

7-0: The Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games.

3-15-1: The Chiefs are 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games.

1: The Chiefs have covered the spread just once in their last 10 home games.

20.8: The Packers have the No. 9 scoring defense in the NFL, allowing 20.8 points per game.

6.43 The Chiefs allow the most yards per play (6.43) in the NFL.

RELATED: Aaron Rodgers COVID News Triggers Massive Odds Movement For Packers-Chiefs

Packers vs. Chiefs Player Props

Packers RB A.J. Dillon, Under 35.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: +105 at DraftKings

Most people believe that the Packers will try to run the ball on the Chiefs and that might be true. But don’t expect A.J. Dillon to get a ton of work in this game if the Packers are behind. He usually gets most of his carries when the Packers are trying to close out games, not stay close.


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Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill, Over 81.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Without Jaire Alexander, the Packers don’t have anyone who can remotely cover Hill. He should be in for a big day on Sunday against a young secondary for Green Bay.

Packers QB Jordan Love, Under 1.5 Passing TDs

Odds: -175 at DraftKings

Despite playing a bad defense, points are going to be tough to come by for Jordan Love. Look for the Packers to play it safe and run the ball near the end zone in this game.

RELATED: NFL Week 9 Picks & Best Bets For Every Game

Packers vs. Chiefs Moneyline

The Chiefs are big moneyline favorites in this game now with Rodgers out of the lineup. Heading into the week, both teams were listed as -105. Now, the Chiefs are anywhere from -365 to -390 favorites at home.

While the Chiefs should win this game, they have not played well enough as of late to trust them with that type of line. Pass on the moneyline in favor of the point spread.


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Packers vs. Chiefs Point Spread

The Chiefs have been one of the league’s worst teams against the spread over the last two seasons. In fact, they are just 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games. Even against Jordan Love in his first start, it’s tough to take the Chiefs here.

Green Bay can still run the ball and the defense has played well over the last couple of weeks. For that reason, take Green Bay +8 on FanDuel (-110) , and expect this to be a much closer game than many expect. However, be sure to shop around for the best odds on your favorite betting apps and sportsbooks.


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Packers vs. Chiefs Totals

Any game with a former MVP quarterback is going to have a high over/under and this one is no different. The line is set around 48 points at most sportsbooks and that feels about right. However, neither offense has been lights out this year as they both rank outside the top eight in points per game.

As much as we would like to see this be a shootout in Kansas City, look for the pace to be a bit slower and for both teams to try to establish the run. Take the Under 48 points (-110) on DraftKings and expect a 24-21 type of game in Kansas City.


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About the Author

Marcus Mosher for Bookies.com
Marcus Mosher
Marcus Mosher covers the NFL for Bookies.com. The managing editor of The Raiders Wire is also a contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly and FanSided.