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How Daniel Jones Starting QB Decision Impacts Giants Odds

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

How Daniel Jones Starting QB Decision Impacts Giants Odds

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The Daniel Jones era begins Sunday, and the decision to go with Jones has triggered a big change in his NFL Rookie of the Year honors.

However, New York Giants head coach Pat Shurmur’s announcement Tuesday that the rookie quarterback from Duke will make his first start when the Giants face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers didn’t make a blip on the Giants odds for success in 2019.

Jones’ odds to win NFL Rookie of the Year honors were sliced in half, from +2000 to +1000 at 888sport. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is the big favorite at +175, followed by Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (+500) and Ravens WR Marquise Brown (+500), then Jones.

In the eyes of oddsmakers, however, Jones’ increased playing time didn’t do much for the Giants. New York’s odds to win the NFC East didn’t change following the announcement, staying steady at +2500 – well above the front-running Cowboys and Eagles (each at -112).

The Buccaneers (1-1) opened as four-point favorites Sunday at home and the Giants with the line moving to -6.5 on Monday. The line crept to -7 on some sites following Tuesday’s decision, including at 888sport and FanDuel.

CHECK OUT: Should You Bet on Daniel Jones to Win Rookie of the Year?

What Daniel Jones Brings to Giants Offense

The Giants’ offense could certainly use a wake-up call on offense. New York averaged 15.5 points in double-digit losses to the Cowboys and Bills. Manning completed 62.9% of his passes with two TDs and three turnovers.

Jones, meanwhile, had a stellar preseason and offers a new wrinkle with his scrambling ability. In games that didn’t count, he completed 29-of-34 passes for 416 yards, two TDs and no INTs.

The writing was put on the wall Monday when Shurmur declined to name a starting QB. The change was made official the next day.

Benching Manning this early into the season wasn’t the original plan. Giants GM Dave Gettleman initially thought Jones could sit and learn behind Manning for three years, calling it the “Green Bay model,” referring to the Brett Favre-to-Aaron Rodgers transition.

Will “Danny Dimes” Reward Giants for Draft Day Surprise?

How Daniel Jones Starting QB Decision Impacts Giants Odds 1

Jones earned the nickname “Danny Dimes” for his prolific passing despite playing for an often-overmatched Blue Devils team in the ACC. He passed for 8,201 yards, 52 TDs and 29 INTs in three seasons. He led Duke to an 8-5 record and No. 22 ranking as a senior.

The Giants shocked the NFL world when they took Jones with the No. 6 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft – far lower than most mock drafts had him going, and in front of other regarded QBs Dwayne Haskins and Drew Lock. He’ll be the second rookie QB to take charge under center, following in the footsteps of No. 1 overall pick Murray, who has led the Cardinals offense since Day 1.

"Ultimately, this is a move that I felt was best for this team at this time," Shurmur told reporters Tuesday morning. "I have said it since I got here, I am very fond of Eli. His work ethic, his preparation, his football intelligence. All those attributes are as good as I have ever seen in a player. And Eli worked as hard as you could ask of anybody to get ready for this season. This move is more about Daniel moving forward than about Eli."

If Manning has started for the last time in New York, it was quite a run. His regular-season numbers aren’t spectacular – 362 TDs to 241 INTs on 60.3 percent passing over 16-plus seasons. He led the Giants to winning seasons seven times and just once since 2012. But most-important, he guided New York to a pair of Super Bowl championships, in 2011 (after a 9-7 regular season) and 2007 (in his third full season as starter). He is still owed $23.5 million this season.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.