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Kirk Cousins Next Team Odds: Falcons, Raiders In The Mix

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Kirk Cousins Next Team Odds: Falcons, Raiders In The Mix

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Kirk Cousins played in eight games before an Achilles injury ended his season. But in those games, the Minnesota Vikings quarterback completed nearly 70% of his passes (third-highest of his career), averaging 291.4 yards per game (second-best of his career) with 18 TDs (on pace for a career-best) and just five INTs. 

Minnesota’s struggles at QB after his injury only highlighted the importance Cousins was to the Vikings’ successes. Now he’s a free agent, and even at the advanced age of 36, he’s likely to command a top-level salary. He is the consensus top free agent QB on the market. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker and NFL analyst Adam Thompson has revealed his NFL odds regarding where Cousins will take his snaps in 2024. 

Kirk Cousins' Next Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Atlanta Falcons+20033.3%
Las Vegas Raiders+35022.2%
Minnesota Vikings+45018.2%
Washington Commanders+85010.5%
New England Patriots+10009.1%
Denver Broncos+15006.3%
The Field+40020.0%

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The sports cap site Spotrac estimates a market value of three years and nearly $120 million, though he’s more likely to get around $35 million annually, which puts him just outside the Top 10 of QB salaries. 

That price weeds out some of the competition, perhaps including the Vikings, who reportedly are also skittish on offering Cousins a fully guaranteed deal. Minnesota has just over $40 million in cap space, need to re-sign star defender Danielle Hunter and offer an extension to WR Justin Jefferson. The Vikings' plate of needs might be too full to spend big on a veteran QB. 

A reunion with the Vikings isn’t out of the question, however, and both sides have been saying the right things. Paying him what he’s worth will take some financial juggling, but the prospect of going into the season with Nick Mullens may disgruntle Jefferson as he enters a contract year. 

Several teams with enough money to spend and a glaring need at the game’s most important position, however, will do so. 

As of March 7, there were 8-10 teams looking to lock down the QB1 on their depth charts. Of those teams, three of them -- the Chicago Bears, Washington Commanders and New England Patriots -- own the top three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft and are highly likely to use it on a heralded new quarterback. 

Raheem Morris is the new head coach for the Atlanta Falcons, who appear ready to move on from Desmond Ridder, and rank 14th in cap space; a couple of moves could put them in a financial spot to get Morris a veteran QB. The Falcons aren't flush with cap space the way the Commanders and Patriots are, but have reportedly shown the most interest, and offers Cousins a slew of offensive weapons as well. 

The Commanders have been seeking a reliable QB since parting ways with Cousins following six seasons, including three as a full-time starter. It hasn’t worked, so perhaps a reunion is in the works? No team has more than the $96.1 million in cap space this off-season. Washington has top-level weapons on offense; it needs a QB (and a far better O-line) to turn it into a powerhouse unit. A veteran over a rookie isn't out of the question. 

RELATED: Next Carolina Panthers Head Coach Odds

The Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders each also have cap space and questions at QB. Pats first-year head coach Jerod Mayo has Mac Jones, plus the second-most cap space available behind Washington. Antonio Pierce gets the interim tag removed to run the Raiders, who will be cutting Jimmy Garoppolo. 

While the Pats can probably offer more money, the Raiders could offer a better opportunity to win. For a QB at his age without a Super Bowl appearance, Vegas could get the edge. 

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The other team with an epic need at QB is the Denver Broncos, who will be cutting Russell Wilson but are in line to get crushed with dead cap space due to it. The Broncos would love to have Cousins, but it would take a few magic tricks to make a serious offer. Perhaps a sign-and-trade makes it work.

RELATED: Atlanta Falcons Next Coach Odds

The Field includes other possible sign-and-trade options, including the New York Giants, who have Daniel Jones and his huge contract in tow, and Seattle Seahawks, with the uninspiring Geno Smith one year into a new deal. It also includes the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are currently focused on bringing back Baker Mayfield, and the Pittsburgh Steelers, whose offense has struggled to secure a QB it can rely on since Ben Roethlisberger retired. 


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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.