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Las Vegas Raiders Next Head Coach Odds: Johnson, Rivera Or Smith?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Las Vegas Raiders Next Head Coach Odds: Johnson, Rivera Or Smith?

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The Las Vegas Raiders will be looking for a new coach for 2024 with the firing of Josh McDaniels after less than two seasons at the helm. Our betting apps are prepared with the best NFL odds for this event.

Vegas will go the interim route for the remainder of this season, but it won’t be long before one of the premier brands in football seeks a new long-term leader. 

Candidates will vary from established head coaches to up-and-coming coordinators and those from the college ranks. Whoever it is will need to get the green light from owner Mark Davis, whose last two hires – McDaniels and Jon Gruden – will be paid tens of millions of dollars not to coach the team.

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league to create his hypothetical NFL futures odds on who’s leading the Raiders out of the tunnel in 2024.

Next Las Vegas Raiders Head Coach Odds

CoachOddsImplied Probability
Ben Johnson (Lions OC)+35022.2%
Ron Rivera (Commanders HC)+40020.0%
Frank Smith (Dolphins OC)+42519.1%
Jim Harbaugh (Michigan HC)+75011.8%
Dan Quinn (Cowboys CC)+85010.5%
Raheem Morris (Rams DC)+10009.1%
Deion Sanders (Colorado HC)+12007.7%
Urban Meyer (FOX analyst)+25003.9%
The Field+55015.4

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Who Will Be Raiders Next Head Coach?

McDaniels was supposed to lead the team away from Gruden, who was fired after a chain of disparaging emails were made public. Instead, he lasted 1.5 seasons in Vegas, going 6-11 in 2022 before a 3-5 start this season. Tensions were flaring for the Raiders, who had higher expectations. 

McDaniels is still owed 4.5 years of salary, and Gruden is still getting paid out. That could affect the decision for Davis, who is shelling out a lot of dough for his own hiring mistakes. 

Promoting a coordinator to be a head coach for the first time is often the cheapest way to go, and it often produces diamonds. When it comes to the coordinator front, two stand out. 

Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and Dolphins offensive coordinator Frank Smith have made their marks with their teams. Detroit and Miami are among the most prolific offenses in the NFL. 

The Dolphins are rife with elite weaponry. While the Lions aren’t so bad themselves, Johnson’s work with Jared Goff has turned heads and made the coach a leading candidate to be a head coach somewhere soon, perhaps in 2024. 

While OCs often get the first look in today’s NFL, defensive coordinators get nods as well. Dan Quinn of the Cowboys and Raheem Morris of the Rams could be the first names off the board for different reasons. Quinn led the Falcons to a Super Bowl as a head coach and could get a second opportunity. 

Morris, who led the Buccaneers to a few ill-fated seasons, has established himself as one of the rising stars on that side of the ball and could get another look as well. The college ranks are where Davis could turn this time. 

Jim Harbaugh was a success at the 49ers before returning to his alma mater and leading Michigan back to national prominence. However, Harbaugh has already been suspended once for breaking rules, it appears it’s going to happen again, and probably may even be in the cards. 

Despite that, Michigan reportedly is set to offer Harbaugh an extension that makes him the highest-paid coach in college. Given how much Davis is shelling out for former coaches, it might be too high of a price to lure Harbaugh back to the pro ranks. 

Deion Sanders looked like he was going to have a meteoric climb up the college ranks after his Colorado team upended ranked TCU in Game 1 with the Buffaloes. His brash style certainly lends itself to the Raiders, but the Buffaloes have come back to earth and may not even qualify for a bowl.

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At the risk of tampering, Ron Rivera may be the next coach in Vegas. Rivera is in a bit of a prove-it season with the Commanders for new owner Mark Harris. 

But now Washington sold off two of its top defensive players at the deadline, making it a much tougher ask for Rivera, whose team is 3-5. Rivera is well-respected and might be the antithesis of a Vegas Raiders coach. But perhaps that’s exactly what the franchise needs and Davis knows it. 

Former coaches-turned-analysts have received looks as well, including Gruden. Urban Meyer was a star coach in college at Utah, Florida, and Ohio State, but his one NFL stint in Jacksonville proved to be an abject disaster. Still, Davis likes making headlines. Meyer would do that. 

The Field includes successful defensive coordinators on the rise, including the Panthers’ Ejiro Evero and the Ravens’ Mike Macdonald, as well as former coaches-turned-talking heads such as Rex Ryan and Bill Cowher

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.