How Much Would You Make Betting On Matt Ryan Each Week?

By Bill Speros Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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Quarterback Matt Ryan joins the Indianapolis Colts this NFL betting season after 14 years with the Atlanta Falcons. He’s won everything but a Super Bowl. And even then, he managed to give his team a 25-point lead before Tom Brady morphed into Tom Brady.

Ryan and his Colts begin the season Sept. 11 at Houston. In that game, the Colts carry the biggest line of Week 1 as 8.5-point favorites. How well has Ryan done against NFL spreads, and how much money would you have won betting on him each week of his career so far? Let's find out...

As a starter, Ryan is 113-117-2 against the spread at sportsbooks in his career, meaning he has covered in 48.7% of his starts. That’s a dip from his 124-108 overall record in 232 starts. These numbers include his 10 playoff appearances.

RELATED: NFL Week 1 Picks, Predictions And Best Bets To Back

Backing Ryan A Losing Proposition

Using our system of betting $100 on Ryan ATS each week of his career with the industry standard -110 line per point-spread bet available on most betting sites and betting apps, those who backed Ryan weekly are down $1,428 over the course of his career.

Not all spreads are created equally. In this instance we are using records against the spread for each game Ryan has started, according to Pro Football Reference.

This season, the Colts are a strong value play if you believe Ryan can be the difference in Indy. The Colts are priced at +2000 with BetMGM to win Super Bowl 57. That same site has the Colts at +1100 to win the AFC, and favored at -140 to win the AFC South.

Let’s take a quick look at the projected 2022 win totals and playoff odds for the Colts and Ryan. All bets in these two categories are voided if the Colts do not play a full 17-game NFL schedule.

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication.

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Tennessee won the AFC South last season with the best record in the conference. The Colts are priced right to win the division and make the playoffs. Their out-of-division schedule includes winnable home games against Washington, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and a road game at the Giants. They have a pair of toss-up road games at Minnesota and New England.

If the Colts can go 4-2 in the division, take the over on 10 wins at -105 at DraftKings, and also wager on the Colts winning the AFC South at +150 at the same site.

Matt Ryan 2022 Futures & Prop Bets To Watch

Ryan failed to throw for more than 4,000 yards last season for the first time since 2010. That was as much an indictment of his offensive line and the Falcons lack of talent or depth, as it was any drop-off in the QB’s abilities. His paltry 20 TDs tied his career low (his rookie season).

Here are some related NFL futures and prop bets featuring Ryan, and how best to play them this season.

Matt Ryan Props: Passing TDs

Here are the odds on total passing touchdowns for Ryan this season:

Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review for more information.

Ryan is amazingly durable. He has missed only three starts in his 13 seasons. He’s gone over this number in four of his past five seasons. His INT-to-ATT ratio was just 2.1% in 2021.

We back Ryan going over 25.5 TDs passing at +100 with DraftKings for the 2022 season.

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About the Author

Bill Speros

More About Bill

Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.