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Mike Evans Next Team Odds: Bucs Fighting With Texans, Chiefs For All-Pro WR

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Mike Evans Next Team Odds: Bucs Fighting With Texans, Chiefs For All-Pro WR

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Justin Jefferson did not lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns in 2023. Neither did Ja’Marr Chase, or Cooper Kupp, or Tyree Hill. Mike Evans topped them all. 

In fact, Evans scored 13 TDs through the air for the third time in four seasons. He formed a connection with new Bucs QB Baker Mayfield and behind them, the team exceeded expectations, with a playoff berth and a first-round upset of the Eagles. 

Evans enters the off-season as an unrestricted free agent – as does Mayfield. When you consider the franchise tags that will be used by other teams, Evans is expected to be the No. 1 wideout in free agency. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league to update his NFL futures odds as to where Evans will be playing next season. 

Mike Evans 2024 Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Houston Texans+35022.2%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+40020.0%
Kansas City Chiefs+65013.3%
Chicago Bears+75011.8%
Carolina Panthers+75011.8%
Chicago Bears+80011.1%
New York Giants+15006.3%
Baltimore Ravens+15006.3%
Tennessee Titans+20004.8%
The Field+70012.5%

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Evans didn’t miss a game in 2023, his 10th season as a pro. In fact, he’s played in at least 15 games in all but one year, and was still a Pro Bowler in 2019 when he managed a still-solid 13. 

Evans has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in all 10 seasons. His 1,255 yards in 2023 was the third-highest total of his career. Few receivers in NFL history can boast such consistent production. 

Most teams are likely to consider WR as a spot to improve this off-season. Yet Evans isn’t a no-brainer for all 32 teams. His advanced age for a star receiver (31 by the start of next season) could mean the slew of nagging injuries he’s battled through may start costing him games. 

The belief is he’ll command upwards of $20 million annually, on a deal that could range 3-4 years.

Where Will Mike Evans Land?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offer a spot to finish up his career as the only place he’s played. Re-signing Evans and Mayfield are the top priorities for the Bucs, and they have the cap space to make it happen. 

Evans and the team did not meet the deadline for a contract extension, so now Tampa Bay is on the same level as everyone else. 

If money is the top priority (as agents and the players' union often push to make it so), other teams with a need for a big target (Evans is 6-5, 230 pounds) could outbid the Bucs. 

The Houston Texans could offer the best of both worlds for Evans. They could be interested in adding a big WR (Tank Dell is coming off a season-ending injury and Noah Brown is a free agent), have the money to overspend, and give Evans a lead role on a team poised to contend for years to come. 

C.J. Stroud has already established himself as one of the premier young QBs in the game. That he’s from the Houston area and played his college ball at Texas A&M gives Houston the best chance at pulling Evans out of central Florida.  

The Kansas City Chiefs don’t have the cap space that Houston or Tampa Bay does. But they do have Patrick Mahomes, and a glaring need for a go-to receiver, especially one with size. It’s worth wondering if KC can afford Evans – it has $28.2 million in available cap space but has the fewest players under contract going into the off-season. 

Still, the idea of playing with Mahomes as the Chiefs go for a Threepeat must be enticing. 

The Chicago Bears, New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans all have more money than those aforementioned teams, and obvious needs at the position. All three teams have question marks at QB, and are longer-shot playoff hopefuls at this point. 

Veteran receivers on the move usually prefer to go into situations with veteran QBs, or teams with playoff aspirations. 

That takes out several teams who have modest cap space but a great need at WR, but lack a calming QB presence or real postseason hopes, such as the Carolina Panthers, New York Giants and Arizona Cardinals (who can re-sign Marquise Brown). 

The Baltimore Ravens must replace Odell Beckham Jr., but their cap space ($12.1M) suggests not shelling out $20M+ for a new wideout. The thought of playing with Lamar Jackson and competing for a Super Bowl keeps open a glimmer of a shot. The Panthers just signed Buccaneers offensive coordinator Dave Canales to be their head coach, giving them a level of comfort for Evans. Their desparation to give Bryce Young a legit WR1 could get them to offer over market value. 

The Field includes the Cardinals and Giants, and other teams that would like to improve at receiver, but likely must look elsewhere due to cap concerns, including the Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns and New York Jets

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.