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Minnesota Vikings At Chicago Bears Free Picks & MNF Betting Predictions

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

Minnesota Vikings At Chicago Bears Free Picks & MNF Betting Predictions

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It’s win-or-bust time for Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears, as well as Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings, as the teams face off on a Monday Night Football matchup for Week 15. The Bears (4-9) would need a miracle to qualify for the postseason, though they are just two games out of the final spot. The Vikings are one of five NFC teams at 6-7, but right now just one of those is slotted to be in the playoffs due to tiebreakers – and it isn’t Minnesota.

These NFC North rivals haven’t faced off yet this season, but Chicago has won five of the last six meetings. The best US betting sites and top betting apps have Minnesota as a four-point road favorite, with an Over/Under of 43.5 points in the latest Vikings vs. Bears odds.

When it comes to NFL spreads in this rivalry, Chicago has covered in six of the last eight meetings, including four of five at Soldier Field.

Take a look at Bears vs. Vikings odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Vikings vs. Bears Key Matchups

Kirk Cousins vs. Bears DBs: Cousins had just two INTs in Minnesota’s first 11 games but three in the last three games. Chicago’s five INTs is the second-lowest, in front of only the Jets.

Cole Kmet vs. Vikings LBs: The Bears tight end is No. 2 in targets, receptions and yards for the Bears. Minnesota ranks 28th vs. the pass but No. 2 in the NFL in 3.5 receptions per game allowed to TEs.

Dalvin Cook vs. Bears Front 7: Cook has seven rushes of over 20 yards and 23 carries of over 10 yards in just 10 games of action. Chicago ranks a modest 24th vs. the run.

RELATED: NFL Week 15 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games

5 Key Vikings vs. Bears Stats

48: Pass TDs allowed by the Vikings and Bears – 24 for each team. That’s tied for the fourth-most in the league.

67.5: The against-the-spread win rate for the home team in the last 37 meetings between the Vikings and Bears. The road team has won the last three games straight-up.

68.5: Receiving yards average for Allen Robinson in his last four games vs. the Vikings, averaging 6.5 receptions in that span. Robinson hasn’t gone over 68 yards in any game this season.

69.2: The penalty yards per game by the Vikings, third-most in the NFL and just two yards fewer than last-place Las Vegas. On the road, however, Minnesota averages 79.9 ypg, 10 more than any other team.

100: A win-loss threshold for the Bears and their run defense. When Chicago holds an opponent to under 100 yards rushing, it is 4-1. When the total hits over 100, the Bears are 0-8.

Vikings vs. Bears Weather Forecast

It will be a chilly night at Soldier Field. Players and fans can expect clear skies with temperatures at kickoff likely to hover close to 30 degrees, and dip into the 20s during the evening. A wind of 10-15 mph might offer up a chill that makes it feel even cooler.

Vikings vs. Bears Moneyline

The Vikings are -180 favorites on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $180 wager to win $100 in profit. Conversely, underdog Chicago is +155 (a $100 bet means $155 in profit). A strong majority of moneyline picks at top sportsbooks have sided with Minnesota so far.

That’s despite when Minnesota does win games, it comes down to the final drive. All but one of its victories was by eight points or less and all seven of its losses were, too. The Bears swept the Vikings last season but Chicago owns the worst pass offense in the NFL. As much as everyone likes to pile on the Bears, they’re 3-0 straight-up vs. teams with a current losing record. Minnesota qualifies. There is some value in taking the home team here.

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Vikings vs. Bears Point Spread

The Vikings are at -3.5, down from -4. The hook is daring bettors to back the home Bears. We think that’s a hook worth lining. Minnesota has covered the spread just once in its last six games played in December, and failed to cover in its last seven vs. below-.500 teams.

Chicago has performed against the fellow downtrodden. Minnesota is fighting for a playoff berth, but its 6-7 record and inability to put away teams gives Chicago backers hope. Those looking for Monday night NFL betting action should consider taking the 3.5 points with Chicago. You can get Chicago +3.5 (-110) at BetMGM.

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Vikings vs. Bears Totals

The Over/Under for Monday Night Football sits at 44. The Over has hit in the last four Vikings games, but it’s also hit with ease in the last two Bears games, and four of six. When Minnesota is on the road the Over is 6-1, too.

The way these teams are playing, the Over makes sense here too. These teams are opposites in terms of strengths – the Bears have no offense, the Vikings no defense – but it’s enough especially with the run games to keep the ball moving. The Over is worth adding to your NFL picks lineup for Week 15.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.