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Minnesota Vikings At Green Bay Packers Picks & SNF Betting Predictions
Adam Thompson | 5 mins
The Minnesota Vikings are in must-win mode with two weeks to go and one game out of the NFC playoffs, but it won’t be easy as they head to Lambeau Field to face Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football.
The Vikings edged the Packers 34-31 at home in one of the more entertaining NFL games this season, and they’re 3-2-1 in their last six trips to Green Bay. But the Packers are the league’s last remaining unbeaten team at home and are poised to lock up the No. 1 seed in the NFC. And Minnesota will be starting backup QB Sean Mannion after Kirk Cousins tested positive for COVID.
Betting sites and most betting apps have host Green Bay at -12.5 in the latest Vikings vs. Packers NFL spreads range, up from the -6.5 opening odds.
Check out the latest Packers vs Vikings odds, betting lines, injury report and more.
Vikings vs. Packers Key Matchups
Davante Adams vs. Vikings Secondary: Adams has 100-plus receiving yards in four of the last five games, including a 115-yard performance vs. Minnesota in Week 11. He also has 100-plus yards in four of his last five vs. the Vikings.
Aaron Rodgers vs. Vikings Defense: Rodgers’ rating in 26 games vs. Minnesota is 110.2, with a ridiculous 54-to-7 TD-to-INT ratio. Minnesota ranks 28th vs. the pass.
RELATED: NFL Week 17 odds & Betting Lines For All Games
5 Key Vikings vs. Packers Stats
1.6: Turnovers committed per game by the Packers and Vikings combined. Green Bay ranks No. 1 in fewest turnovers, Minnesota third.
8: Receiving TDs by Packers RBs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. The Packers and Vikings are tied for the fourth-most receiving TDs allowed to RBs. The Vikings have just one receiving TD to a back.
106: Receptions by WR Davante Adams. No other WR for the Packers has more than 30.
442: The rush yards allowed to QBs by the Packers, the highest mark in the NFL. Fortunately for Green Bay, Vikings QB Kirk Cousins averages 7.7 rushing yards per game.
2,822: The receiving yards allowed to WRs by the Vikings defense. Only the Titans have allowed more this season.
Vikings vs. Packers Weather Forecast
Sunday night in Green Bay is going to be brutal for the players and the 80,000 fans trying to stay warm. Temperatures all day are not expected to hit double figures, with an evening low of zero degrees and a wind chill that will dip into minus regions. Unlike Minnesota, there is no dome to protect anyone from the elements.
Vikings vs. Packers Moneyline
When it comes to NFL betting on the moneyline, favored Green Bay is a hefty -675 on the moneyline, while Minnesota is set at +435.
The Vikings beat the Packers just over one month ago, but that game was in the dome. This one is at Lambeau, and while Minnesota has had a track record of success here, this game is important to the Packers as well. The matchups are mostly even except for two key spots: Rodgers vs. Minnesota’s 28th-ranked pass defense, and the location. We’re not going with the Vikings, but the Packers’ price is higher than we prefer to back.
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Vikings vs. Packers Point Spread
The Packers are favored by 12.5 to 13 points on a point spread line that differs depending on the sportsbook. That line jumped up from Packers -6 after the Cousins news. Most Vikings games have been decided by a TD or less, but the Packers are the No. 1 home-covering team in the NFL, 6-1 ATS and covering by an average of 5.2 ppg.
The issue here is, which Vikings team will show up and how will Mannion perform? Minnesota hasn’t lost any game by more than eight points. Green Bay’s run defense is suspect, and the Vikings have two RBs that can push the ball. We favor the Packers, but don’t find enough value with either team at this number.
Vikings vs. Packers Totals
NFL sportsbooks have posted an Over/Under of 42 points for Sunday Night Football – that number has fallen from the opening line of 48, which is understandable based on the matchups.
But this number is too high for one key reason that can’t be found in any analytics. The number on the thermometer will be the difference. The high temperature for Sunday is nine degrees, and it won’t be nearly that warm when the sun goes down. Expect more running than usual, and shorter passes than usual in the sub-zero air. The Under is 3-4 at Lambeau this season and is worth strongly considering as part of your NFL picks package for Week 17.
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