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Next New England Patriots Head Coach Odds: Fingers Point to Jerod Mayo

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 6 mins

Next New England Patriots Head Coach Odds: Fingers Point to Jerod Mayo

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It is pretty easy to make the argument that Bill Belichick is the best NFL coach that’s ever lived. The eight Super Bowl rings are a good place to start. 

But in the ultra-fickle world of NFL coaching, nobody – not even the GOAT – is untouchable. Reports out of Foxborough are that Patriots owner Robert Kraft is growing impatient with the post-Tom Brady era of Patriots football. 

After all, Belichick is also the general manager, and the person who decided Brady wasn’t worth the two-year, $50 million offer he was seeking. 

If things don’t turn around this season, would Kraft do the unthinkable and move on from the 23-year Patriots leader? 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has revealed his NFL odds for the 2024 Patriots head coach gig – if it’s not Coach Bill. 

Next New England Patriots Head Coach Odds

CoachOddsImplied Probability
Jerod Mayo+30025.0%
Bill O'Brien+45018.2%
Kellen Moore+55015.4%
Brian Callahan+55015.4%
Kliff Kingsbury+62513.8%
Dan Quinn+65013.3%
Nathaniel Hackett+10009.1%
The Field+85010.5%

Odds above have been created by Bookies.com and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Since Brady left to Tampa Bay and immediately led the Buccaneers to a Super Bowl championship (ouch), the Patriots are 25-25 with a combination of Cam Newton, Mac Jones, and Bailey Zappe under center. Jones is the man under center for the 2023 season.

NBA Sports Boston analyst Tom Curran went on the Rich Eisen Show and detailed a myriad list of reasons why Belichick isn’t the invincible emperor he once was. 

It begins with the Brady negotiations but includes questionable coaching hires and a general sense of inorganization. The latest, a failure to bring in DeAndre Hopkins to fill a vital WR1 role, doesn’t help. 

“Last year, (Kraft) indicated that it’s been three years since we won a playoff game and I expect to win one now,” Curran said on the program. “They didn’t come close to doing that.”

If any writing is on the wall, Belichick, 71, may decide to go out on his own terms. 

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If Belichick is out, who is in? Most fingers point to Jerod Mayo, the linebackers coach and former standout himself at the position. Kraft extended Mayo’s contract as other teams came sniffing, and many believe he’s the heir apparent for the role. 

Who's In Line for the Patriots’ Next Head Coach Gig?

Bill O’Brien 

O'Brien was hired by Kraft this offseason to take over offensive coordinator duties from Matt Patricia, who was installed as OC despite having a defensive background and no play-calling experience. O’Brien, 53, was head coach of the Texans for seven seasons and their GM for one. 

It’s possible Mayo, just 37, has a stop as defensive coordinator first, before assuming a head role. In which case, the more-experienced O’Brien could get the nod. 

After those two, one must look outside the organization. There’s a good chance the Pats go from old school to new school with their next coach, one that knows the ins and outs of the modern NFL game. 

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Kliff Kingsbury 

Kliff Kingsbury was jettisoned out of Arizona, but many in the league believe the Cardinals’ sudden fall was less on him and more on a bad defense, erratic QB play, and questionable roster building.

Kingsbury’s Cardinals ascended up the standings for his first three seasons and was 11-6 and in the playoffs in 2021 before last year’s massive slide to 4-13. 

He’s considered an offensive guru and QB whisperer, which may be enticing to Kraft. He’s currently at USC as the quarterbacks' coach and senior offensive analyst. 

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Kellen Moore

Kellen Moore left the Dallas Cowboys after four seasons of OC duties and begins a new chapter with the same title for the L.A. Chargers. The time is coming for Moore, 35, the question is when. 

Brian Callahan

Cincinnati Bengals head coach Zac Taylor has effused praise on his offensive coordinator Brian Callahan to anyone that will listen. Callahan, 39, has coaching in his blood (his father Bill Callahan was head coach of the Raiders and Nebraska). 

A head coaching gig will come sooner than later. 

Dan Quinn

Dan Quinn, 52, coaches the defense for the Cowboys, but he was the NFL Assistant Coach of the Year for 2021. He had three head coaching interviews this offseason but decided to stick with the Cowboys another year. 

The New Jersey native may be enticed by a move back to the northeast. He has six years of head coaching experience, including taking the Falcons to a Super Bowl (we won’t get into how that worked out). 

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Nathaniel Hackett 

Nathaniel Hackett didn’t make it one season with the Broncos, as Russell Wilson and Co. bombed in 2022. Hackett bounced back; the former Green Bay Packers offensive coordinator is now the offensive coordinator for the New York Jets. He could parlay his experiences into a new HC spot. 

The Field

The Field includes a number of head coaching candidates that are due, including Rams defensive coordinator Raheem Morris, Broncos defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero and Eagles offensive assistant Marcus Brady

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.