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New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings Predictions, Wild Card Picks & Best Bets

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings Predictions, Wild Card Picks & Best Bets

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Kirk Cousins guides a hungry Minnesota Vikings team eager to win their first playoff game since 2019, as they host Daniel Jones and the New York Giants, embarking on their first playoff game since 2016. 

The Sunday afternoon Wild Card Weekend matchup is a rematch from Week 16, a 27-24 Vikings win in Minnesota. Cousins and Jones combined for 633 pass yards in that one. 

Oddsmakers at NFL betting sites are expecting points to be scored here, too. The Over/Under for the game is 48.5 points, the highest total of Wild Card Weekend. Minnesota is favored by three points in the latest Giants vs. Vikings odds.

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – focused on hitting over 60% of his NFL picks for a fourth-consecutive season – reveals his NFL betting picks and props for this NFC rematch. 

Giants at Vikings Point Spread Pick

Minnesota’s defense is always a concern, but the Giants don’t put pressure on defenses, opting to keep things conservative. Minnesota can outscore conservative opponents, especially at home. New York is also just 2-6 vs. playoff teams, including the loss to these Vikings. 

When it comes to playoff experience, Cousins and Co. have it, Jones and his cohorts don’t. QBs making their first playoff starts are 17-36-1 ATS over the last 20 years. The Vikings aren’t without flaws, but this is a good matchup and we’ll lay a field goal with them at home on betting sites

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Giants vs. Vikings Over/Under Best Bet

This is a big total, and it makes sense considering Minnesota’s potential on offense and its defensive struggles. Vikings games had hit 49-plus points in six of the last seven weeks, the Giants have had 48 total points in five of eight games. 

According to the numbers, however, it’s a little high. Combined with road/home splits, these teams are averaging 47.5 ppg while allowing 47.0. We have a much better grasp as to who wins this game and by how much, compared to how many points will be tallied. Shy from the total in favor of other wagers. Pass.

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Giants vs. Vikings Moneyline Pick

The Vikings are -165 on the moneyline, while the Giants are posted at +140. New York certainly has reasons to believe it has a chance here. Minnesota against the spread has been only 7-9-1 but it’s a perfect 11-0 straight-up in one-score games. 

We’re siding with the Vikings to cover, but to win might be the better play if you don’t mind the tighter line, especially if it jumps past -3.5 on their end. We like Vikings moneyline but prefer the spread scenario overall on sports betting apps.

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Best Giants vs. Vikings Player Props

Kirk Cousins, Under 0.5 INTs

Odds: -140 at DraftKings

These are semi-lofty odds, but the Vikings do or die by their QB. When he tosses at least two TDs, his team is 8-1. His team is 7-2 when he doesn’t toss an INT. He threw just four INTs in nine home games. On the flip side, the Giants’ defense has just six INTs in 17 games – the lowest total in the NFL. 

Dalvin Cook, Over 70.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -105 at BetMGM

The Giants rank 27th in run defense and 31st in yards per attempt, a whopping 5.2. Only once in 10 games did Cook finish under 70 yards when he averaged at least 4.0 yards per carry. Feed the beast against this defense. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.