NFL Win Total Prop For New York Teams: Best Bet Is J-E-T-S
The New York Jets went 7-9 in 2019, while the New York Giants were just 4-12. But each team has focused on its weaknesses in free agency and can continue to hammer at them in the 2020 NFL Draft.
But which team will do a better job at it, and which has the inside track for a stronger coming season?
Most Regular-Season Wins: Jets or Giants?
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Last season was the first for the Jets under Adam Gase, and there is significant room for improvement. Namely, they need to fix an offense that ranked last in the NFL in yards and 31st in scoring.
Sam Darnold and Le’Veon Bell should improve in their second year together, and the Jets made it a priority to improve one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. Adding a top receiver is the priority at the NFL Draft. New York’s defense ranked No. 7 — it just needs the offense to hold its end of the bargain to be a contender in what might be a wide-open AFC East.
Similarly, the Giants had a major issue on the offensive line, but they’re not done addressing it. That’s likely to be rectified with the NFL Draft — New York should have its pick of the best OL in the field.
The Giants’ offense has its core of young talent in QB Daniel Jones and RB Saquon Barkley. Give them a capable offensive line and look out.
But the defense isn’t where it needs to be, either. That side of the ball was a paltry 25th overall last season. But that was the focus in free agency, and where most of its cap space went. It should be improved in 2020.
On paper, the Jets are the better team.
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This is where things even out a bit.
The Jets’ schedule is a gauntlet, ranking as the second-hardest in the NFL for the coming season. The Jets play six games against the Patriots, Bills and Dolphins in what should be a balanced AFC East, something we haven’t seen with regularity in nearly two decades. New York could win any of those, it could lose any of those.
Other home games are against the Broncos (7-9 last season), Raiders (7-9), Browns (6-10), Cardinals (5-10-1) and 49ers (13-3). Several of those should be winnable or at least competitive.
The road traveled, however, is going to be a tough one. They’ll play at the Chiefs (12-4), Chargers (5-11), Rams, (9-7), Colts (7-9) and Seahawks (11-5). With two trips to Los Angeles and one to Seattle, the Jets will travel more than 21,000 miles, the second-most in franchise history.
The Giants’ NFC East games against the Cowboys and Eagles won’t be easy, but they’ll have two winnable matchups against the rebuilding Redskins.
Other home games include matchups with the Browns, Cardinals and 49ers — same as the Jets — but they also host the Steelers (8-8 but with Ben Roethlisberger returning) and Buccaneers (7-9 but now with Tom Brady).
Not much comes easy on the road, either, with out-of-division trips to Baltimore (14-2), Cincinnati (2-14) and Chicago (8-8) as well as West Coast trips to face the Rams and Seahawks.
Neither New York team is going to have it easy.
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FanDuel has posted games odds for each contest including the New York teams. The Jets are favored in just three of 16 matchups, the Giants just two.
Each team will likely do slightly better than the 3-13 and 2-14 projected there. But perhaps not a lot better.
Of the two, the Jets are the better team and have a better defense that can keep them in games. They’re also in a division that allows for success. New York could realistically go anywhere from 5-1 to 1-5 in the AFC East.
The Giants have a tough schedule, plus have more work to get to a competitive level. The NFC East likely offers a 3-3 best-case scenario.
Each New York team is still on the outside looking in regards to the playoffs. But in regards to each other, the Jets have a stronger shot at the better season, and at getting more victories. Take the Jets.
About the Author
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He has consistently produced profitable seasons in NFL and college football and established himself as an elite MLB expert in 2018, hitting 61 percent of his money line picks for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players, ending the season on a 22-4 run including 100 percent on World Series games. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB and college football. Now he shares the insight he gained at Bookies.com through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles and on Twitter at @_Adam_Thompson_.