Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 7 mins

Sunday NFL Picks & Week 7 Predictions: 5 Must-Bets To Make Today

Sunday NFL Picks & Week 7 Predictions: 5 Must-Bets To Make Today
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Love blowouts? Week 7 of the 2021 NFL season might be for you.

There are only 12 games on the schedule with six teams getting their bye week. Four of those 12 games offer point spreads of 9.5 points or higher. No other week this season has had more than three, and four of the previous six had just one game with a double-digit spread.

That doesn’t mean the NFL betting slate is void of intriguing games. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs visit Derrick Henry and the Titans in a game that should feature a lot of offense. The Bengals, at 4-2, get a good litmus test when they play at the 5-1 Ravens. We also get to see if last week’s rousing Raiders win in Denver under new coach Rich Bisaccia was an anomaly or the start of something special in Vegas when they host the Eagles.

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has hit on 62.5% of his best bets at sportsbooks in the 2021 NFL season, and finished over 60% the last three seasons. After looking through the NFL odds for this weekend's slate, here are his five NFL picks for Week 7:

Sunday NFL Week 7 Best Bets


RELATED: NFL Week 7 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games


Titans ATS over Chiefs

The Titans, fully healthy for the first time in weeks, downed the best team in the NFL on Monday night. Regardless of location, Tennessee is back to being an offensive force. The Chiefs’ offense can score, obviously, and going against Patrick Mahomes is always a risk. But no team is worse ATS than KC over the past year and it hasn’t covered a home game this season. The line has moved strongly in the Chiefs’ favor at betting sites, as it does most weeks. We’ll jump on it now before it reverses. (Locked in at +5.5 at BetMGM)

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Ravens ATS over Bengals

The 4-2 Bengals have been a feel good story, but let’s not get too ahead of ourselves. This is a buzzsaw of a situation, facing a Ravens team that rallied with a 22-3 run in the fourth quarter and OT to shock the Colts, then demolished the Chargers. Baltimore has dominated Cincy lately; Lamar Jackson has never lost to the Bengals and the last three wins were all by at least 24 points. The defensive pressure will be too much, as will Jackson’s playmaking abilities. (Locked in at -6 at bet365)


Raiders ATS over Eagles

I was not on board with the Raiders last week in Denver, but they rolled. Now I’m very much on board. The offense re-found its way and the defense has been a pleasant surprise. Philly’s offense has been exposed the last two weeks, albeit against the Panthers and Buccaneers. The Eagles have been among the worst team covering tight ends, and Vegas has the most un-guardable TE in the game. (Locked in at -3 at BetMGM)

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Colts ATS over 49ers

The Colts offense is humming along now, as Carson Wentz and Jonathan Taylor have developed a rapport. There is talent on the defense and now it’s showing, too. As for the Niners, Jimmy Garoppolo is likely back under center. If the Colts O-line can keep Wentz on his feet, Indy can pull out a straight-up win. With one too many fourth-quarter duds this season, we’ll take the points on our sports betting app. (Locked in at +4.5 at DraftKings)

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Saints ATS over Seahawks

The Seahawks nearly won at Pittsburgh with Geno Smith at QB. But the game wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicated, and Seattle was even-more banged up on offense following it. Statistically, the Seahawks have the worst defense in a decade and the Saints have been elite coming off their bye weeks. Smith is capable of a back-door cover but New Orleans and Jameis Winston, who isn’t committing turnovers in droves as he has in the past, can pull away. (Locked in at -4.5 at BetMGM)

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com.