NFL Week 16 DFS Picks: NFC West Showdown Offers Great Value
We are down to the final "real" week of the season in DFS, as Week 16 will have several important games with playoff implications. Why is this the last real week of the regular? Because Week 17 tends to be a bit more random with so many teams out of the playoff hunt or resting starters before the tournament begins.
Coming off our strongest week of the season, Week 16 looks to be another wild week. To prepare you for the Sunday slate of games,
here are our best picks for Week 16, all with prices from DraftKings.
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Top DFS Team for NFL Week 16
|QB||Jared Goff||Rams at Seahawks||$5,900|
|RB||Darrell Henderson||Rams at Seahawks||$4,500|
|RB||Le’Veon Bell||Chiefs vs Falcons||$5,800|
|WR||Tyler Lockett||Seahawks vs Rams||$6,500|
|WR||Julio Jones||Falcons at Chiefs||$6,800|
|WR||Tee Higgins||Bengals at Texans||$4,700|
|TE||Mark Andrews||Ravens vs Giants||$5,700|
|FLEX||Diontae Johnson||Steelers vs Colts||$6,300|
|D/ST||Pittsburgh Steelers||Steelers vs Colts||$3,500|
Note: Based on a $50,000 salary cap for the week and for Sunday daytime contests
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Best Week 16 DFS QB
Rams QB Jared Goff ($5,900)
Matchup: at Seahawks
One of the strangest trends in DFS this season has been the home and road splits for Jared Goff. At home, Goff is averaging just 220 passing yards per game and 13.2 DFS points. But on the road, Goff becomes a week winner, averaging over 310 yards per game and nearly 25 points per game.
This week, his Rams will go on the road to play at Seattle. While it appears the Seahawks defense has improved over the last few weeks, the quarterbacks that they have faced (Dwayne Haskins, Sam Darnold, Colt McCoy, Carson Wentz) haven't been all that impressive. In a game the Rams must win if they want to steal the NFC West, look for Goff to come out throwing against this pass defense.
Don't be surprised if this is one of his biggest games of the season, as he should easily exceed 300 yards and get into the end zone multiple times. Given his price of only $5,900, Goff is the best value play at quarterback in Week 16.
Best Week 16 DFS RB
Rams RB Darrell Henderson ($4,500)
Matchup: at Seahawks
With Cam Akers likely out of this week due to a high-ankle sprain, Darrell Henderson is expected to start running back for the Rams this week. Henderson has been phased out of the offense some in the last few months, but we saw his potential earlier this season. From Weeks 2-7, Henderson averaged 86 yards per game and scored four total touchdowns. While those numbers aren't elite, they are certainly good enough for a robust RB2 play.
Against the Seahawks, Henderson could be in line for 15-16 touches, which makes him a fantastic play this week. Given his speed and ability to make plays in the passing game, he could be in for a career game. The Rams don't have many other options out of the backfield this week, so look for Henderson to easily return value on his $4,500 price tag.
Best Week 16 DFS WR
Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett ($6,500)
Matchup: vs. Rams
Sticking with the Game of the Week, Tyler Lockett is my favorite wide receiver play as he will likely avoid Jalen Ramsey for most of the day. Lockett's play has been inconsistent this season, but we know the type of ceiling he has with Russell Wilson.
In any game, he's capable of going for 200 yards and scoring multiple touchdowns. And we know that in big games, Wilson trusts Lockett to get open and make clutch plays. That's not to take anything away from D.K. Metcalf, but Lockett is the more reliable and battle-tested receiver at this stage of his career.
With this game likely to have a ton of scoring, look for Lockett to see double-digit targets for the first time since his monster performance against the Cardinals in Week 7. Lockett should go over 100 yards on Sunday for the third time this season. He's got legit WR1 potential here.
Best Week 16 DFS TE
Ravens TE Mark Andrews ($5,700)
Matchup: vs. Giants
Unless you are spending up for Travis Kelce again this week, the tight end position remains a difficult one to project. We did hit on Logan Thomas last week as he had a career game against Washington. And we are looking to strike gold for the second week in a row.
Our pick at tight end this week is Mark Andrews, who has been incredibly consistent over the last few games. Andrews has caught at least five passes in four straight games and has totaled 301 yards and two touchdowns during that period. He will face a Giants defense on Sunday that lacks the athletes and size to keep up with him in the middle of the field. While he will never see a ton of volume, his red-zone ability and consistent role in the offense make him a great play.
Best Week 16 DFS Flex
Steelers WR Diontae Johnson ($6,300)
Matchup: vs. Colts
The Steelers look broken on offense heading into Week 16. They failed to score more than 17 points in their third straight game, and even in their Week 12 win over the Ravens, the offense scored only 12 points. However, Diontae Johnson continues to be a useful DFS player for us as Ben Roethlisberger is force-feeding him targets.
Over the last seven weeks, Johnson has seen an incredible 82 targets and has turned that into 52 receptions for 520 yards and three touchdowns. While we would love to see Johnson become more efficient with those targets, the sheer volume makes him a serviceable WR2. Despite a tough matchup against the Colts this week, Johnson is a must-play FLEX option.