Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 5 mins

Packers vs Lions Picks Week 2 For Monday Night Football

Packers vs Lions Picks Week 2 For Monday Night Football
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NFC rivals licking their wounds from Week 1 losses look to rebound on Monday Night Football when Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers host Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions at Lambeau Field. The Packers were routed 38-3 by the New Orleans Saints, while the Lions trailed the San Francisco 49ers 41-17 in the fourth quarter before a late surge made it 41-33.

Betting sites and betting apps have installed Green Bay as hefty 10.5-point favorites, with an Over/Under of 48 points in the latest Lions vs. Packers odds.

But is this among the NFL spreads to attack or avoid?


RELATED: NFL Week 2 Odds & Betting Lines For All 16 Games


Lions vs. Packers Key Matchups

Aaron Rodgers vs. Himself: After a drama-filled offseason, Rodgers had one of the worst efforts of his Hall of Fame career vs. the Saints. The Lions don’t have the personnel to stop No. 12 on his game. The question is, will his head and heart allow it?

Jared Goff vs. Packers Pass D: Goff threw for 338 yards and three TDs in his Lions debut at QB, but nearly all of it came in the second half of a furious rally. Green Bay allowed five TDs to Jameis Winston but only 155 total yards.

D’Andre Swift vs. Packers Run D: Take away a 16-yard scamper and Swift had 10 carries for 23 yards otherwise. He averaged 4.6 ypc last year, however, and the Packers allowed 4.7 yards per rush at home last year, sixth-highest.


5 Key Lions vs. Packers Stats

.500: The win percentage by the Lions at Lambeau Field over the last six seasons. Prior to that run, Detroit had dropped 24 straight games in Wisconsin.

4: Missed field goals for Mason Crosby since October 2018, when he missed four in one game vs. the Lions. That’s a span of 41 games.

30: Targets for RBs D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams and TE T.J. Hockenson from Goff in Week 1. Starting receivers Kalif Raymond and Tyrell Williams combined for seven.

43: Yards rushing by the Packers vs. the Saints, including just nine yards on five carries from lead RB Aaron Jones. Detroit’s 5.0 yards allowed per carry on the road in 2020 was fourth worst.

120.25: The average QB rating for Aaron Rodgers in the week following a game in which his rating was under 60. It’s only happened twice since 2015 prior to the Packers’ Week 1 loss to the Saints. His QB Rating last Sunday was 36.8. Something for Michigan sports betting fans to keep in mind.

Packers vs Lions Picks Week 2 For Monday Night Football 1

Lions vs. Packers Weather Forecast

It’s unseasonably warm in northeastern Wisconsin. Monday’s high is slated to be in the upper 80s, with temps for game-time around 70 degrees. With clear skies and little wind, it is ideal weather for Monday Night Football at Lambeau Field.


Lions vs. Packers Moneyline

The Packers are a hefty -575 on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $575 wager to win $100 in profit. Conversely, the underdog Lions are +410 (a $100 winning bet means $410 in profit). It’s one of the bigger moneyline spreads at sportsbooks for NFL Week 2.

And it’s too big to bet on for the Packers, especially after their Week 1 drubbing at the hands of Jameis Winston and the Saints. As for the Lions, they’re also a wait-and-see team.

Will it be the Detroit team that fell behind huge to the Niners in Week 1, or the one that furiously rallied in the fourth quarter? Detroit hasn’t won since Oct. 27, 2020, a span of 10 losses straight. It’s a stay-away line.

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Lions vs. Packers Point Spread

Game Bet Pick Best Odds
Detroit Lions
DET
Green Bay Packers
GB
Spread
Detroit Lions
DET

The Packers are -10.5 on the point spread, which means sportsbooks are daring you to back Detroit in your weekly NFL betting lineup. The “hook” makes a Lions bet tempting.

While the Lions have dropped 10 in a row, only one of those defeats was by more than 10 points. There are, of course, stark differences between the Lions team of last year and this year, notably at QB – Jared Goff instead of Matthew Stafford – and a defense that is hopefully better than the last-ranked unit of a year ago.

As for the Packers, it’s more of a mystery as to which team shows up. The line isn’t enticing for Green Bay backers, but if you’re seeking to add a Monday bet to your NFL picks of the week, Lions +10.5 might be it. You can make the bet at BetMGM.

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Lions vs. Packers Totals

Game Bet Pick Best Odds
Detroit Lions
DET
Green Bay Packers
GB
Over/Under
Over

The Over/Under for Monday Night Football sits at 48. That is higher than the total for both matchups last year, which featured an MVP Rodgers guiding the top-scoring Pack, and a high-volume Stafford at QB. Those games finished at 45 and 43 points.

It’s tough to project which way the wind blows at Lambeau Field on Monday. Most assume Rodgers finds his form after a dreadful outing, overshadowed by a tumultuous offseason. The Lions scored 33 points in Week 1 and allowed 41. The Over looks better than the Under. You can make the bet at DraftKings.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson

NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He has consistently produced profitable seasons in NFL and college football and established himself as an elite MLB expert in 2018, hitting 61 percent of his money line picks for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players, ending the season on a 22-4 run including 100 percent on World Series games. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB and college football. Now he shares the insight he gained at Bookies.com through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles and on Twitter at @_Adam_Thompson_.