By Adam Thompson | | 5 mins
Top Pick For Worst 2020 NFL Record? Take The Washington Club
The most popular NFL futures typically involve picking the best of the best, whether it’s Super Bowl champion, conference winners, Most Valuable Players awards, and the list goes on.
But what about winning by picking teams that can’t win?
Top NFL futures odds have been posted as to which team will secure the fewest victories in the 2020 NFL season.
Here are the best odds for teams posted at lower than +4000:
|Jacksonville Jaguars||+400 (BetMGM)|
|Carolina Panthers||+800 (DraftKings)|
|Cincinnati Bengals||+900 (DraftKings)|
|Miami Dolphins||+1200 (PointsBet)|
|New York Giants||+1400 (FanDuel)|
|New York Jets||+1400 (BetMGM)|
|Detroit Lions||+1700 (FanDuel)|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+2500 (PointsBet)|
|Arizona Cardinals||+3000 (DraftKings)|
|Atlanta Falcons||+3000 (PointsBet)|
|Houston Texans||+3300 (DraftKings)|
|Denver Broncos||+3500 (FanDuel)|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+4000 (PointsBet)|
|Chicago Bears||+4000 (PointsBet)|
NFL odds are current as of publication
Here’s a breakdown of the odds and the picks to make:
One Big Nosedive
There are always bottom-feeders in the NFL season, but one team often stands out as definitively the worst.
While there is often a tie for most wins in a season in the NFL, the “award” for fewest wins has gone to a single team. In 2019, the Bengals won just two games to secure the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft to take Joe Burrow. In 2018 the Cardinals won just three then drafted Kyler Murray. In 2017 and 2016, the Browns won a combined one game to earn the moniker, and in 2015 they tied with the Titans for fewest wins, each going 3-13.
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While several teams may be in the running in the “Trevor Lawrence Sweepstakes,” history suggests it won’t come down to any tiebreaker.
Bad Team, Good Division
Strength of schedule is a crapshoot that some teams win and some teams lose. While divisional finish is a big part of it, so too is the inter-conference rotation that changes every year.
That’s why the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins, which last year combined to go just 12-20 in 2019, have the second- and third-toughest schedules in 2020. That’s not great news for two teams in the middle of rebuilds.
The Lions, Falcons, Cardinals and Texans are all in the top-eight of toughest schedules based on last season’s opponent win percentage.
There are teams on the list that have it easier than others. Cleveland has the fourth-easiest schedule, with Washington, Cincinnati and the New York Giants right behind the Browns.
The Jaguars aren’t going to be great, but there isn’t a lot of value in taking the favorite here. Plus, Jacksonville had an offseason of a team trying to win a few games, adding a few keys to a porous defense and drafting a slew of rookies who will end up on the two-deep. If Leonard Fournette re-discovers his form and Gardner Minshew has his magic, Jacksonville might win a few games.
Washington had some nice additions of its own, including Chase Young at DE, but not on the same level of quantity as Jacksonville. And the team was truly bad in 2019. Whereas Jacksonville went 6-10 with three losses by a TD or less, Washington lost all 13 by at least five points or more, 10 by at least nine points. It ranked dead-last in points.
Washington was bad last year and is going to be bad this year. When it comes to the “favorites” to win few games, Washington looks to be a sound bet in 2020. Find it at +650 over at PointsBet.
Detroit Lions +1700
If Matthew Stafford plays, the Lions aren’t likely to finish with the fewest wins. But it he doesn’t play many games, Detroit might be a low-risk, high-reward sneaky pick.
Last season the Lions were a respectable 3-4-1 and Stafford was a dark horse MVP pick if he could turn the team’s fortunes around. Instead, he missed the rest of the year with a back injury, and the Lions didn’t win another game.
The offseason was one filled with questions. They traded away their best defensive player (Darius Slay), and replaced him with a slightly lesser version (Desmond Trufant), gave bigger deals to unproven commodities and the likely offensive line took a step back.
With the Packers and Vikings legit contenders in the NFC North and the Bears likely rising by finally moving on from Mitchell Trubisky, the Lions are going to need Stafford to carry the team. If he can’t, the Lions are in a world of trouble. Find value in the Lions as an upset fewest-wins selection at FanDuel.