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Week 1 NFL 2020 Survivor Pool: Do Not Overthink First Pick

Week 1 NFL 2020 Survivor Pool: Do Not Overthink First Pick

By Adam Thompson Sep 11th, 2020 12:42 PM EDT |

Week 1 NFL 2020 Survivor Pool: Do Not Overthink First Pick

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NFL survivor pools have exploded in popularity. They have grown at levels for all kinds of fans, from family pools to those with thousands of dollars in cash prizes on the line.

The simple nature of it is a major NFL betting draw: Survivor Pools entail picking one team to win each week, but never picking the same team twice in a season.

CHECK OUT: The top sportsbooks in New Jersey | Pennsylvania | Colorado | Indiana

It's not how much your team wins by in a Survivor Pool. Simply, it's about picking a winner and moving on — and sometimes saving the biggest favorite for a future week.

We will share our picks each week, helping you get to the next week of your Survivor Pool and put you in good position for future weeks.

Here is the pick for Week 1:

New England Patriots

Last season, Tom Brady was under center and the Patriots had one of the league’s all-time great defenses through 10 weeks before New England tapered off down the stretch.

Week 1 NFL 2020 Survivor Pool: Do Not Overthink First Pick 1

Brady is gone, but Cam Newton is in — that’s quite a trade-off. Coach Bill Belichick and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels have had an offseason to think of ways to use Newton, a unique player and former NFL MVP.

New England’s defense has issues, but will still be a top-half unit. It certainly has the chops to take care of what Miami will bring to Foxborough on Sunday.

QB placeholder Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the nod over Tua Tagovailoa, which means now is a good time to fade the Dolphins. There is no run game to speak of and the run defense should be among the worst in the NFL as well. This type of game is a Belichick specialty. New England isn’t letting this one slip away at home as a 9.5-point NFL odds favorite.

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Other Week 1 contenders:

San Francisco 49ers: They host the Arizona Cardinals, but Kyler Murray gave them troubles and Arizona is an improved team.

Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is poised to challenge the Pats in the AFC East while the Jets are a mess. But I like the idea of holding on to the Bills for a future play.

Philadelphia Eagles: Philly should roll at Washington, but last year the Eagles barely beat the then-Redskins in Week 1, and that was at home.

About the Author

Adam Thompson

More About Adam

Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.

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