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2025 Oscars Odds: Picks, Ultimate Betting Guide For 97th Academy Awards

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

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2025 Oscars Odds: Picks, Ultimate Betting Guide For 97th Academy Awards

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The 97th Academy Awards will be announced on March 2, 2025. The ceremony airs starting at 7 p.m. ET on ABC. The show will be hosted for the first time by longtime TV late night host Conan O'Brien

Here is our 2025 Academy Awards betting guide, complete with odds, and predictions for the winners in the top key categories. We will continue to update this guide once full odds and, eventually, the nominees are announced. 

Wagering on the Oscars has been legal in the United States since 2019. Next year, betting sites in New Jersey, Michigan, Indiana, Arizona, Kansas, Colorado, Massachusetts and Louisiana are expected to take wagers on Hollywood’s biggest night of the year. Legal sports betting sites in Ontario are also booking action.

Not all legal sportsbooks are taking wagers on the Academy Awards, even if permitted to do so. 

Voting on the nominations takes place from January 8-12, 2025. Official Oscar nominations will be announced on January 17, 2025. Final voting takes place from February 11-18, 2025.

O'Brien replaces Jimmy Kimmel as the host. Viewership rebounded in 2024. About 19.5 million watched. That was a sizable jump from 18.7 million in 2023. Viewership bottomed in 2021 when just 10.4 million people watched. That was the smallest TV audience in Oscars history (since the first measurement in 1974). The numbers bounced back in 2022 to about 16 million thanks in large part to the Chris Rock-Will Smith slap and the stir it caused on social media.

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Betting Odds To Be Offered In 23 Categories

2025 Oscars Odds: Picks, Ultimate Betting Guide For 97th Academy Awards 1

FanDuel, for example, took Academy Awards bets just in New Jersey in 2024, and accepted wagers on just six categories.  BetMGM is approved for Academy Awards wagering in Indiana, Michigan, and Louisiana. DraftKings and Caesars Sportsbook had betting available in all states where it was allowed in 2024, except Colorado.

In 2025, DraftKings and FanDuel are expected to eventually offer markets on all 23 categories.

"We post these early odds on the Oscars because people are interested," DraftKings Director of Race and Sports Johnny Avello told bookies.com. "Many of these films have not yet been released. We'll see lots of changes for sure." 

The success of "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" at the box office helped push Oscar betting to a new record in 2024, operators said. "Oppenheimer" had 11 nominations and won 7 awards, including “Best Picture.”

"Barbie" had 8 nominations but took home just one statue for “Best Original Song."

The allowed amount of wagers varies by state.  Avello said most Oscars bets taken by his book range between $5-$500. He wrote his first ticket in Las Vegas in 1984 and invented the Oscars betting market during his days on the OG Strip.

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2024 Oscars Odds & Predictions

2025 Oscars Odds: Picks, Ultimate Betting Guide For 97th Academy Awards 2

There are multiple awards given out before the Oscars can be both predictive and drive these markets. Chief among them are the prizes awarded by the Screen Actors Guild, the Directors Guild of America, the British Film Academy Awards, and the Golden Globes. 

Here is a breakdown of the Oscars odds listed by their best available price, our picks, and the buzz on each of the six major Oscars categories.

Best Picture - Oscars 2024 Odds

FILM ODDS STUDIO
The Brutalist +225 A24
Anora +350 Neon
Sing Sing +550 A24
Emilia Perez +600 A24
Dune Part Two +650 Warner Bros.
Blitz +1000 Apple Original Films
The Room Next Door +1200 Sony Pictures Classics
Saturday Night +1200 Sony Pictures Classics
The Life of Chuck +1200 Sony Pictures Classics
Conclave +1200 Focus Features
Alto Knights +2000 Sony Pictures Classics
The Seed of the Sacred Fig +2000 Alamonde Film
The Nickel Boys +2000 Amazon MGM Studios
The Amateur +2000 20th Century Studios
Mother Mary +2000 A24
Mickey 17 +2000 Warner Bros.
Long Day’s Journey Into Night +2500 MGM
The Piano Lesson +2500 Neflix
Queer +2500 A24
A Real Pain +3500 Searchlight Pictures
Will and Harper +3500 Netflix
The Long Game +3500 Mucho Mas
Small Things Like These +3500 Lionsgate Films
All We Imagine as Light +3500 Arte France Cinema
A Different Man +3500 A24
A Complete Unknown +3500 Searchlight Pictures
The Supreme’s At Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat +3500 Searchlight Pictures
The Outrun +3500 StudioCanal
Oh, Canada +3500 Foregone Film PSC
Maria +3500 Netflix
Juror No. 2 +3500 Warner Bros.
Gladiator 2 +3500 Paramount Pictures
The Fire Inside +3500 Amazon MGM Studios
Eleanor the Great +4000 Sony Pictures Classics
Bird +4000 Mubi
The Actor +4000 Innerlight Films
Nosferatu +4000 Focus Features
Love Lies Bleeding +4000 A24
Kinds of Kindness +4000 Searchlight Pictures
The Beast +5000 Arte France, Others
We Live In Time +5000 A24
The Lord Of The Rings: The War of Rohirrim +5000 New Line Cinema
Shirley +5000 Netlix
Megalopolis +5000 Lionsgate Films
Hard Truths +5000 StudioCanal UK
Civil War +5000 A24
Challengers +6500 MGM, Others
Moana 2 +6500 Walt Disney Animation
The Bikeriders +6500 Focus Features
Parthenope +6500 The Apartment Pictures
Furiosa: A Max Max Saga +6500 Kennedy Miller Mitchell
Wicked +8000 Universal Pictures
Hit Man +8000 Netflix
Deadpool & Wolverine +8000 Walt Disney Studios
Bob Marley: One Love +10000 Paramount Pictures
A Quiet Place: Day One +10000 Paramount Pictures
The Substance +10000 Mubi
The Wild Robot +10000 Universal Pictures
Young Woman and the Sea +10000 Walt Disney Studios
Mufasa: The Lion King +10000 Walt Disney Studios
Knives Out 3 +10000 Netflix
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes +10000 20th Century
Joker: Folie a Deux +10000 Warner Bros.
Inside Out 2 +10000 Walt Disney Studios
Horizon: An American Saga +10000 New Line Cinema

(Odds via at DraftKings.) 

Oscars Best Picture Betting Analysis

The Buzz: Last year, “Oppenheimer" opened at +800 before peaking at -5000 after the SAG awards. This year, the field is wide open. Studios are still working on their strategy when it comes to making their own Oscar push. This year, “Gladiator II” appears to have the closest makeup in terms of matching “Oppenheimer” in terms of box office and Oscar success. 

Although we’re not ready to anoint any film just yet. The critical reaction to “G2” might be enough to push to the top of this market or bury it along with the rest of Ancient Rome. 

“The Brutalist,” like “Oppenheimer,” carries with it the push of real-life events driving its interest, and potentially box office and any platitudes. It debuted well at the Venice Film Festival in September. While the film is fictional, it’s based on the real-life story of director Brady Corbet and his mother. Look for Corbet to be atop the “Best Director” list when that market opens.

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What About Oscars Betting Surprises?

And even in Academy Awards betting, there are no true locks. There’s always an Anthony Hopkins out there. If he's not going to eat your liver, he might eat your money.

In 2021, the Academy re-designed the show to award the Best Actor statue at the end, predicting a posthumous win for Chadwick Boseman in “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.” When Anthony Hopkins (+800) won, the show went to credits as soon as the award was presented.

“That was a stunner. The people putting the show together weren't expecting it, because the acting category is never the last thing,” said Dominick Debonis. He led the WynnBET trading team on Oscar betting in 2023. “They set up the Best Actor as the last award, expecting the coordination and getting to honor him and all that. And then, they pretty much just cut to black when Anthony Hopkins was announced.”

“There’s always one category that does this,” added Avello. “This time it was at the end of the show.

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.