Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds, Tips & Expert Predictions

By Dan Kilbridge

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

Used 27 Times Today

Bet $10 Get $365 Win or Lose

Bonus Code

No Code Required

Visit Site

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ). Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). CALL 1-877-770-STOP (LA). 21+ only (18+ in KY). Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Licensee partner Amelia Belle Casino. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.

There’s a reason so many players circle this week’s Tour stop on their calendar. There’s a reason the greater Orlando crowds are so big and passionate at Bay Hill. There’s a reason the quote “You must play boldly to win,” is seen on scoreboards and repeated throughout the broadcast each year at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

There’s also a reason the golf betting action is always so intriguing at this event. This week’s tournament is all about honoring its namesake, and Arnold Palmer played like a gambler – go big, or go home. No hedging.

That same style of play is a common characteristic among the top contenders on betting sites and betting apps, with reigning U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm a significant favorite at +750 odds. Oddsmakers had to adjust the board when defending champ Bryson DeChambeau withdrew due to injury on Monday morning.

Rory McIlroy, the 2018 API champ, is next with golf odds of +1000. Recent Phoenix Open winner Scottie Scheffler is third at +1600 while Viktor Hovland (+1800) and 2019 API runner-up Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2000) round out the top five.

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review for more information.

Used 27 Times Today

Bet $5 Get $100 in Bonus Bets + One Month of ESPN Unlimited

Bonus Code

No Code Required

Visit Site

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $100 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Plus, upon bet placement, get 1 promo code to redeem a 1-month ESPN Unlimited subscription, courtesy of DraftKings. New and eligible returning ESPN subscribers only. Subscription auto-renews monthly at then-current price (currently $29.99/mo) (plus tax, where applicable); cancel anytime. FOR EXISTING DISNEY+ AND HULU SUBSCRIBERS: offer cannot be bundled with Disney+ and Hulu. This is an offer for a separate ESPN Unlimited subscription and must be managed separately. Disney+, Hulu, ESPN Unlimited bundle available via http://plus.espn.com. Promo code expires 1/7/27. Subject to ESPN’s Subscriber Agreement. Terms: http://sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 5/31/26 at 11:59 PM ET.

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Pick & Betting Tips

Best Bet: Max Homa Top-10 Finish

Odds: +350 at BetMGM

It’s no secret that Homa has a great appreciation for the classic Tour layouts, with victories at Quail Hollow and Riviera Country Club already on the resume. He’d sure like to add another at Bay Hill, where the 31-year-old has finished T-10 and T-24 in two prior starts.

Homa’s irons have been sharp all season and the game is clearly in great form, with three top-15 finishes in his last four starts. He also skipped last week’s Honda Classic and will be well-rested for another Thursday tee time in Orlando.

He’s plenty long off the tee and should find himself into contention with a little cooperation from the flat stick.

We like the odds at BetMGM on Homa for a top-10 finish at +350.

Used 25 Times Today

Bet $10 Get $365 Win or Lose

Bonus Code

No Code Required

Visit Site

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ). Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). CALL 1-877-770-STOP (LA). 21+ only (18+ in KY). Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Licensee partner Amelia Belle Casino. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips

There’s nothing too tricky about Bay Hill. It’s a classic country club setup with several good scoring holes and others where players are grateful to get out with a par on Sunday – most notably the 220-yard par-3 17th.

Distance isn’t all that matters here – it’s a second-shot golf course and the best iron players are usually rewarded. But it’s a huge help on a number of holes and it wasn’t surprising to see DeChambeau get it done with his newfound distance a year ago.

Accuracy off the tee is important on many holes as well. The rough isn’t quite U.S. Open-levels of thick, but it’s not far off. Hitting the green with the second shot into No. 18 is almost impossible from off the fairway, and you can’t fake it around Bay Hill when the swing isn’t dialed in.

We’re looking for guys with all-around solid games, who don’t do one thing drastically better than others. Age isn’t a big factor, as we saw with 48-year-old Lee Westwood coming up one stroke shy a year ago. It’s all about players who are dialed in with the swing and at their very best for one of the tougher events on the calendar.

Used 30 Times Today

Bet $5, Get $150 If Your Bet Wins

Bonus Code

No Code Required

Visit Site

Must be 21+ to participate. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV). GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

Arnold Palmer Invitational, Date & TV

When: Thursday-Sunday, March 3-6

Where: Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida

TV: Golf Channel, NBC

About the Author

Dan Kilbridge

More About Dan

Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.