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Cincinnati-Toronto MLS Betting Pick: Back Over 3 Goals

Ej Garr for Bookies.com

Ej Garr  | 3 mins

Cincinnati-Toronto MLS Betting Pick: Back Over 3 Goals

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

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With just over a month remaining in the Major League Soccer regular season, the battle for the postseason is in full swing. The pressure now falls on teams trying to secure one of 14 playoff berths.

Until they get there, we have some more MLS betting advice to hand out and you might feel a little deja vu with this weekend’s best bet to make.

Cincinnati vs. Toronto Over 3 at -115 with 888Sport

That’s right kids, it’s that magical total that has been one of the easiest tickets to cash this entire MLS regular season and the price works just fine as well.

And 888Sport is offering a pretty decent line of -115 on Over 3 goals when Toronto visits Cincinnati on Saturday. Obviously we will need that fourth ball to hit the back of the net to cash us out in full. Also, being in a position to push our action is never a bad thing either, so if they do get stuck at 2-1 there is no harm to our bankroll.

Cincinnati is going to give up the most goals in the history of MLS, dating to the league’s inaugural season in 1996. If you hadn’t noticed another stat to point out this season, the league is on pace to average just more than three goals per contest this regular season.

FC Cincinnati has already surrendered 67 goals through 28 games, and the MLS record for goals allowed in one season is 74. Orlando City pulled off that ugly number just last year, and the new addition to MLS this season has six games left to topple the mark. Will Cincinnati get there? You bet it will.

It might happen next weekend against the Montreal Impact, which has also been allowing goals in droves this season. Can I just give you the total for next weekend’s Montreal-Cincy game now too?

Seriously, it is that bad and Ron Jans has basically done nothing to change the dynamic for Cincinnati since taking over as head coach Aug. 4.When you simply do not have talent to work with it is rather difficult to change the scenery with any club in any league.

Kekuta Manneh is suspended this weekend after picking up a late red card against Dallas last weekend, but he only has four goals for Cincinnati anyway. His absence will have no influence on goals allowed by a defense that is obviously going to into the record books.

Since May 11 Cincinnati has allowed two goals in every match but one, a 2-1 win over Chicago. That was also the first-year expansion team’s most recent win.

I suppose the one concern is that Toronto hasn’t scored much over its past six road games, but we are talking about Cincinnati here. These two met once this year and we got three goals in that contest, a 2-1 Toronto win, so all we ask is for at least that to happen again this weekend. A pushed ticket gives us our money back, but I believe we will see a fourth goal to land us another MLS odds winner this weekend!

About the Author

Ej Garr writes about the MLS and soccer for Bookies.com. Known as "The Rainmaker" and an expert at handicapping international soccer as well as US soccer.