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David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 17 mins

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds & Picks for NASCAR at COTA

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds & Picks for NASCAR at COTA

So far this NASCAR betting season, we’ve seen a +3300 winner at Daytona, a +2000 winner at Las Vegas, a +5000 winner at Phoenix and a +1200 winner at Atlanta. Will that type of balance carry over to a road course? Bettors are about to find out.

The series on Sunday competes at Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas, where the next-generation car introduced for this season will make its road course debut. Seven-time road course winner Chase Elliott, who claimed last season’s rain-shortened inaugural event on the 3.4-mile layout, is the NASCAR odds favorite. But little this year has gone according to plan, thanks to a car whose parts are now made by common manufacturers, and which seems to be living up to its goal of leveling the metaphorical playing field.

Road layouts, of course, are a different animal, and Elliott has been the clear frontrunner in that discipline for five years now. But there are a number of other very good road racers in the field who offer superior value on betting apps, and the topsy-turvy nature of this season so far might make them difficult to pass up.

EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds

Driver WinTop 3Top 5
Chase Elliott +250 -140 -320
Kyle Larson +300 -125 -265
Martin Truex Jr. +1000 +200 -140
Kyle Busch +1000 +200 -140
Austin Cindric +1400 +250 +100
Chase Briscoe +1600 +300 +100
AJ Allmendinger +1600 +300 +100
Denny Hamlin +1600 +300 -110

Odds current as of publication from DraftKings and subject to change.

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EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Betting Tips

Elliott’s stats on road courses are tough to ignore. In 19 career starts he’s won seven times, finished outside of the top-10 just six times, and owns an average finish of 7.9 that’s far and away the best among active drivers. Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch follow with four road wins each—but Busch hasn’t won a road race since 2015, Truex not since 2019, and drivers 30 or younger have now claimed 11 straight Cup Series events.

Elliott’s biggest threat might be Hendrick teammate Kyle Larson, who’s won three of the last five NASCAR road races with a runner-up finish thrown in. Christopher Bell won the road race at Daytona in 2021, and owns four top-10s in nine road starts. And while 40-year-old A.J. Allmendinger bucks the youth movement, his two Cup victories have both come on road layouts, most recently the Indianapolis Grand Prix last season.

While Kevin Harvick has two road wins, his most recent came in 2017, and he’s riding a winless streak that now stands at 48 consecutive starts. Denny Hamlin’s lone road victory came in 2016, and he’s had a miserable start to 2021 with three DNFs in five races. While Joey Logano’s lone road victory came back in 2015, he led more laps than anyone at COTA last season before finishing third in the interrupted and shortened event.

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EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Best Bets & Predictions

Kurt Busch top-5, +500

The ageless former champion is thriving in this new car, with top-10s in three of his last four starts that include fifth at Phoenix and third at Atlanta. No, Busch hasn’t won a road course event since 2011—but last season he was sixth at both Indy and Sonoma and fourth at Road America, and he placed fourth at the Charlotte Roval in 2020. The dude is a wheelman who’s once again reminding us of how good he can be.

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Chase Briscoe top-3, +300

Although he earned his first Cup Series victory on the 1-mile oval at Phoenix, Briscoe has always been an under-the-radar road course threat thanks to finishes like ninth at Watkins Glen and sixth at both Road America and COTA last season. While his 2022 results have been all over the place, he’s shown enough in his good runs to indicate that he has a feel for the new car, and his road course ability has never been in doubt.

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Michael McDowell top-10, +300

While his long-shot Daytona 500 victory in 2021 remains his claim to fame, McDowell came up in sports cars and has always been a fantastic road course racer—even if he hasn’t had the equipment to show it. Of his 18 career top-10 finishes, four have come on road courses, including a seventh-place run at COTA last season. If his equipment holds up, McDowell is very capable of recording a similar finish Sunday.

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EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Time, Date and TV

When: Sunday, 3.30 p.m. ET

Where: Circuit of the Americas, Austin, Texas

TV: FOX

About the Author

David Caraviello for Bookies.com
David Caraviello
Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.