Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 7 mins

Genesis Invitational Picks: Odds & Predictions To Back

Genesis Invitational Picks: Odds & Predictions To Back
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The West Coast swing continues this week with the Genesis Invitational at iconic Riviera Country Club. And golf betting fans have a loaded board at their disposal. The field includes seven of the top-10 players in the world, including Dustin Johnson. The current world No. 1 gets back in action this week after withdrawing from Pebble Beach coming off his victory in Saudi Arabia.

Johnson is the heavy betting favorite at +550 odds in the latest Genesis Invitational odds. Jon Rahm, a two-time winner last season, is next up at +1200. Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele round out the top five with +1400 odds.

2021 Genesis Invitational Best Bets

Bet Odds
Bryson DeChambeau over Tony Finau -125
Bet it at DraftKings
Joaquin Niemann over Adam Scott -110
Bet it at BetMGM
Corey Conners Top-10 Finish +750
Bet it at Unibet
Gary Woodland to Miss the Cut +150
Bet it at PointsBet
Cameron Tringale over Cameron Smith -116
Bet it at FanDuel

Golf odds current as of publication but subject to change

Bryson DeChambeau (-125) over Tony Finau

Finau has been a top-10 machine all season, but we still like DeChambeau in this matchup. His ridiculous distance off the tee is a big advantage, and the overall game is in a great place right now. DeChambeau leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Total and Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. He’s also 10th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green and 18th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.

Riviera is a long, complete test and DeChambeau has played well here in the past with a T-5 last year and T-15 in 2019. We like DeChambeau in this matchup at DraftKings.

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Joaquin Niemann (-110) over Adam Scott

Tough to fade the defending champ, especially a guy like Scott who’s been so consistently good here over the years. Niemann doesn’t have any past success at Riv, but he’s only 22 and enjoying the best stretch of his career so far – the ballstriking has been exceptional and he had back-to-back runner-up finishes at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open.

He’s made all nine cuts this season with eight top-25 finishes and continues to fly somewhat under the radar. Scott will be a widely popular pick this week. We’re going with the sneakier Niemann in this matchup at BetMGM.

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Corey Conners Top-10 Finish (+750)

Conners is definitely our favorite guy in this price range. He’s pure tee-to-green and extremely accurate with the driver, ranking 11th on Tour at 71.38% fairways hit. That’s important at Riviera, a lengthy course that punishes wayward tee shots. He also makes a lot of birdies and has finished T-37 or better in eight consecutive tournaments, with three top-10s in that stretch. We’ll bank on another strong week from Conners and take him top-10 at Unibet.

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Gary Woodland to Miss the Cut (+150)

We think this is a pretty safe bet at +150 odds. Woodland has been spraying it all over this season and ranks outside the top 200 on Tour in both driving accuracy and greens in regulation. Fairways and greens are the name of the game at Riv, and Woodland hasn’t played here since 2016. He’s missed the cut twice in four starts at this tournament and is really fighting his game lately – Woodland has shot 75 or higher in three of his last six rounds on Tour. We predict a Friday trunk slam and a missed cut for Woodland at PointsBet.

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Cameron Tringale (-116) over Cameron Smith

We like Tringale in the battle of the Camerons. Smith does have a top-10 finish at Riv, but he missed the cut last year and was T-49 in 2019. He also hasn’t done anything of note since the runner-up Masters finish and shot a second-round 79 to miss the cut in his last start at Torrey Pines.

Tringale is riding a hot streak with three consecutive top-20 finishes, including a T-7 last week at Pebble Beach. He also has the far better course history with eight of nine cuts made and five top-25 finishes. We expect Tringale to turn in another great showing this week and cash on a -116 matchup win at FanDuel.

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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.